Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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State Polls Aggregate

Compilation: Average of all polls since 2004-10-15. If < 3 polls, average of most recent three polls.

Polls Map

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem:	228
Rep:	269
Tos:	41

State Polls Aggregate

Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

Polls Map

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem:	207
Rep:	222
Tos:	109

Polls Aggregate EV History

50-State Polls

Date	Poll Source	EV(D)	EV(R)	EV(T)	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Und	Sample
2004-09-21	ARG	222	244	72	47%	46%	1%	6%	600 L

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
NH	11-01	University of New Hampshire	K +1	48%	49%	1%	1%	3%	963 L	0
IA	11-01	Survey USA	K +3	47%	50%	2%	1%	4%	519 L	0
AR	11-01	Survey USA	B +5	51%	46%	2%	1%	4%	550 L	0
PA	11-01	Survey USA	K +1	48%	49%	1%	2%	4%	657 L	0
WA	10-31	Survey USA	K +4	47%	51%	1%	1%	4%	622 L	0
CA	10-31	Survey USA	K +11	43%	54%	3%	1%	4%	767 L	0
FL	10-31	Survey USA	B +1	49%	48%	1%	1%	4%	742 L	0
OH	10-31	Survey USA	B +2	49%	47%	2%	2%	4%	816 L	0
MO	10-31	Survey USA	B +5	52%	47%	1%	1%	4%	694 L	0
NC	10-31	Survey USA	B +8	53%	45%	1%	1%	4%	620 L	0
SC	10-31	Survey USA	B +11	54%	43%	2%	1%	4%	635 L	0
OH	10-31	University of Cincinnati	B +1	50%	49%	1%	0%	3%	877 L	0
NJ	10-31	Quinnipiac University	K +5	43%	48%	2%	6%	3%	984 L	0
PA	10-31	Quinnipiac University	Tie	47%	47%	0%	6%	3%	1,022 L	0
FL	10-31	Quinnipiac University	B +8	51%	43%	1%	4%	3%	1,098 L	2
PA	10-31	Gallup	B +4	50%	46%	0%	4%	3%	1,082 L	0
OH	10-31	Gallup	K +4	46%	50%	0%	4%	3%	1,111 L	0
WI	10-30	Gallup	B +8	52%	44%	1%	3%	3%	1,119 L	2
MN	10-30	Gallup	K +8	44%	52%	1%	3%	3%	1,078 L	0
IA	10-30	Gallup	B +2	48%	46%	2%	4%	3%	1,119 L	0
FL	10-30	Gallup	K +3	46%	49%	0%	5%	3%	1,138 L	0
TN	10-30	Survey USA	B +18	58%	40%	0%	2%	4%	629 L	0
GA	10-30	Survey USA	B +12	55%	43%	1%	1%	4%	628 L	0
OK	10-30	Survey USA	B +30	64%	34%	1%	1%	4%	662 L	0
AZ	10-30	Survey USA	B +15	56%	41%	2%	1%	4%	599 L	0
KY	10-30	Survey USA	B +21	59%	38%	1%	1%	4%	636 L	0
ME	10-30	Survey USA	K +8	44%	52%	2%	1%	3%	1,008 L	0
CO	10-30	Survey USA	B +6	52%	46%	2%	1%	4%	626 L	0
IA	10-30	Survey USA	Tie	49%	49%	1%	1%	4%	661 L	0
MI	10-30	Survey USA	K +3	47%	50%	2%	1%	4%	671 L	0
NJ	10-30	Rasmussen	K +12	41%	53%	2%	4%	5%	400 L	0
NM	10-30	ARG	K +1	47%	48%	1%	4%	4%	600 L	0
NH	10-30	ARG	Tie	47%	47%	2%	4%	4%	600 L	0
WV	10-29	Mason-Dixon	B +8	51%	43%	0%	6%	4%	625 L	1
OH	10-29	Mason-Dixon	B +2	48%	46%	1%	5%	4%	625 L	0

Vorlon's Poll Averages

September 11, 2004
September 8, 2004
August 30, 2004 (pre-RNC)
August 21, 2004
August 19, 2004
August 14, 2004

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