The youngest voters from 2004-2008
State 2004 Margin 2008 Margin Swing
The Mid-Atlantic
PA 60-39 Kerry 66-34 Obama D + 6
DE 54-45 Kerry 71-25 Obama D + 17
Much is appreciated of your efforts. But you're looking strictly at how the Democratic candidates of 2004 [John Kerry] and 2008 [Barack Obama] performed.
What you're not doing is considering—and comparing—the
margins in this group between the two major parties: Republican and Democratic.
They're even
greater.
Yes, Obama had six more points in Pennsylvania than John Kerry. But get this: Kerry had 21 points over Bush with this group in 2004 Pa. Obama had 32 points over McCain with the same group in 2008 Pa. That's an 11-point Democratic swing.
In 2004 Delaware, Kerry won the group over Bush by 9 points. In 2008 Del., Obama won the group over McCain by 46 points. That's a 37-point Democratic swing.