PA-Muhlenberg College/Morning Call: Obama leads by 7%

[ucscgaldamez]

Yeah, and Santorum was very close to winning in PA.

I do think, however, that the results in PA will be close but Obama will win by a small margin.

[ucscgaldamez]

We'll see come election day who was right.

[ucscgaldamez]

Ohh, I'm looking at new voter registration for PA. Democrats are increasing their numbers, e.g. for the week of Sept. 21st., Dems registered 20,000~ voters and Republicans 9,000~ for a net gain of 11,000 votes in one week. I agree that Pennsylvania will be close because of seniors. Dems also have the advantage in voters changing their party affiliation. The week ending Sept. 21st, more voters changed their affiliation to Democrats than Republicans in the county of Lancaster!(A very conservative county). However, it is hard for me to believe that McCain will win Pennsylvania. If he does, that would be pretty much the end of this election, unless Obama can win a couple of red states. I just don't trust Phil to make an honest assessment of Pennsylvania.

[ucscgaldamez]

No, I don't think you are lying about your "anecdotes." However, it is hard to make an assessment based on what people tell you in the larger scheme of things. I havea lot of friends around me who are Republicans voting for Obama. But, I don't see Obama winning more than 20% of Republicans here in this state.  You just don't have a good track record. Sorry.

[ucscgaldamez]

A little heavy? lol

[ucscgaldamez]

I meant registration voters. Not all will show up, but why would you register towards the end of the registration period and not vote? Doesn't make much sense. I think I would be more likely to vote.

[ucscgaldamez]

Yea, I don't think we need to get on Phil's case too much. There will be plenty of time for that.