Summer TL: President Henry Wallace (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 13, 2024, 08:17:14 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Summer TL: President Henry Wallace (search mode)
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4
Author Topic: Summer TL: President Henry Wallace  (Read 69909 times)
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #25 on: June 14, 2009, 08:47:32 AM »

Is anyone else disturbed by the 1960 Democratic Convention brochure?
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #26 on: June 14, 2009, 05:56:30 PM »


I actually think the combination of Happy Chandler's expression, followed by the brochure, shows that in 1960, the Democrats may represent the creepy older men party. However I am okay with this.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #27 on: June 14, 2009, 07:10:52 PM »

1960 Republican Convention

The contest for the 1960 Republican Nomination early on hinged on the prescience of one man: "the comeback kid" and 1956 GOP nominee Richard Nixon. Despite losing the 1956 General Election, he had won election to the Senate in 1958. In his return to the Senate he had remained a voice for social conservatism, while also supporting many of the President's foreign policy decisions. Many in the Republican party leadership believed that Nixon would be the early front runner if he was too run, but he repeatedly told newspapers that "I have run for the Presidency, and while I was honored to serve my party, I would much rather remain in the United States Senate and represent California." This turned out to be more than just talk, as Nixon did not enter his name into the competition.

However Nixon would offer his strong endorsement of a fellow Senator, John Bricker of Ohio. After barely winning reelection in 1958, Bricker recognized a narrow opportunity to capitalize on a victory that he would not likely repeat. Running as a "Taft Conservative", Bricker emphasized a foreign policy less focused on challenging communism than strengthening the US military so that "if the Soviets were to attack, we would be prepared to send them back across the Iron Curtain. Today we are trying to fight a battle that we may or may not win. However this battle matters less than the one which me may need to fight in the near future. But by fighting the battle against each and every communist nation that comes around we may be risking a victory in the upcoming one." Bricker also emphasized lowering spending on domestic programs and lowering taxes.

The other major candidate in the race was a man who required little introduction. Nelson Rockefeller, the Governor of New York and member of America's most famous industrial family, through his name into the ring in a massive event at Yankee Stadium in New York City. With deafening cheers from an energetic audience of both white and black, male and female, Rockefeller declared his candidacy in a dynamic speech. "We must move beyond the boundaries of the past! It is time to create a new future for our children and our grandchildren. For many years America has been confined, not by our people but by our government. We have not allowed for the sort of creativity, growth, and expansion that has been the staple of American greatness and success. We need a government which will stimulate, and energize the private and public sectors, as well as one which will be smart with our hard earned money. For many years we have heard it be said that we can have it one way or another: You can have big government or poverty, prosperity for some or growth for all. But I say we can do both! We can have a government which fights for all Americans! Rich, poor, black, white. We are Americans and we can do this!" Rockefeller also drew the endorsement of former President Dewey, as well as much of the Republican establishment who viewed him as the candidate who could take back the White House.

Both campaigns would go back and forth in the primaries, Bricker doing well in the mid-west and south, Rockefeller in the northeast and west coast. Heading into the convention Rockefeller had a narrow lead, but not enough to clinch the nomination. Many Bricker delegates feared that Rockefeller's nomination would give too much sway to liberals and feared that they would loose their influence. Despite enigmatic speeches by Dewey and many other party leaders for Rockefeller, they would not break ranks. However Rockefeller would pull one out of his bag of tricks to win. With Nixon scheduled to speak right before the second ballot, Rockefeller would call him into his box in the Convention. There he would make the deal that would seal him the nomination. He promised Nixon the Vice-Presidential nomination if he would go on the stage and endorse Rockefeller instead of continue to support Bricker. While Rockefeller knew that he would likely win the nomination on one of the later ballots, he also saw the possibility of a compromise candidate being floated (Wallace's UN ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge's name was already beginning to float around the hall). Nixon saw this as a chance to get back into national politics without having to bring back the demons of '56. Nixon accepted and took the stage with a speech that lacked fire, but got the wood burning nonetheless. "Governor Rockefeller is the right choice right now. He is not the perfect man for the job, but continuing to fight this battle will cost our party more by the hour. It is time to accept that once again the Governor of New York will be our proud party's nominee."

Rockefeller would not win a huge majority on the second ballot, but he would still win enough to clinch the nomination. He would follow through with his choice of Nixon, though he made sure there was little hoopla so that Bricker delegates would not make a big fuss.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #28 on: June 15, 2009, 01:25:36 PM »

The 1960 Presidential Election

After the temoultous election of 1956, many worried that it would be another close call in 1960. Vice-President Chandler focused his campaign theme on apealing to labor and blue-collar voters, while also rallying his base of southern whites. Rockefeller on the other hand ran more of a national campaign, holding massive rallies in stadiums and other large areas. Recognizing that the liberal republican brand name was not particularly powerful outside of the Northeast, Rockefeller spoke more of generating new economic growth and and making America "the greatest it can be."

Despite the close nature of the race, neither campaigns went negative. There was little contrast in the two candidates and campaigns, other than their backgrounds. Chandler, a classic Kentucky boy, was a throwback to Estes Kefauver and Rob Kerr, speaking with a slight drawl and letting his beeming smile and positive demeanor do the real talking. Rockefeller, viewed by many as one of America's most handsome politicians, was quite charismatic, yet not as comfortable with the crowds as Chandler. However Rocky revolutionized campaigning by ignoring endorsements and common party events and instead focusing on large rallies where the focus was on the candidate, and less the party or platform.

The real contrast came in the Vice-President candidates. Kennedy was far more charismatic than Nixon and traveled through the northeast talking primarily to organized labor and other groups skeptical of some of the views of Chandler. He also talked to Catholics and ethinic groups who were getting a little sick of southern and western Democratic nominees. Nixon on the other hand worked primarily on appealing to conservative groups who worried about many of Rockefeller's liberal views. He assured them that Rockefeller would not be "a democrat in republican's clothing" and that they would have the biggest seat at the table.

When comparing the two candidates on the issues, there was little concrete difference. Chandler talked primarily about continuing the gains of the Wallace White House, while also focusing a great deal on rural issues and speaking to "the farmers, the laborers, and the hard-working folks who need a voice in Washington." When Rockefeller did talk about the issues he focused on the economy and foreign policy. Along with his emphasis on stimulating growth, he also talked about continuing the foreign policy of Wallace, without directly confronting the Soviets. When in the mid-west he also talked about his "law and order" views in regards to the death penalty and tough laws in regards to crime. Despite the close nature of the campaign, the polls began to show an expanding lead for Rockefeller. The reasons behind this were unknown, but what was clear was that Rockefeller's campaigining style and the increased use of television favored the photgenic Governor of New York. In fact the final polls showed a 5+ lead for Rockefeller, with many believing that it would be a wide margin. However the electoral math would not be quite that close.

Rockefeller/Nixon (R) 342 Electoral Votes, 54% of the Popular Vote
Chandler/Kennedy (D) 195 Electoral Votes, 46% of the Popular Vote

Rockefeller's surprisingly large margin of victory was primarily attributed to many victories in the swing states in the Mid-West, as well as large turnout in the Northeast. Rockefeller also gained surprisingly large support from Unions, gaining aprx. 40% of the Union vote, something that not even Dewey had attained.

1960 Congressional Elections
Following Rockefeller's solid victory, the Republicans made several gains in the Senate, narrowing the Democratic majority to a margin of 62-38.
Republican Gains
-Delaware: J. Caleb Boggs
-Michigan: Alvin Bentley
-Montana: Orvin Fjare
In the House the Republicans also made significant gains, cutting the Democratic majority substantially, primarily with gains in the mid-west where Rockefeller did very well.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #29 on: June 16, 2009, 11:04:58 AM »
« Edited: June 16, 2009, 02:24:48 PM by hcallega »

The First Term of President Nelson Rockefeller

After his surprisingly large victory in the 1960 General Election, Rockefeller recognized an oppurtunity to unite Americans behind what he called "Our Great National Goals". In his innagural adress the new President stated that "The goals and accomplishments of this generation will not be judged by GDP, budgets, tax rates, or tariffs. No, today's gains will be made in quality of life, the education of our children, and the repair of our once great cities. These things cannot truly be judged with numbers, and so many may be skeptical of any change. But I gurantee you all that today we will start a journey that WILL lead to a great change that will sweep across this nation and make America a better place."

Rockefeller called his sweeping reforms "The New American Journey". The name was often lampooned in political cartoons, in part due to the almost "goofy" nature of the name. However the President also inspired a great deal of idealism among young Americans and those that saw Rockefeller as briging the partisian devide to lead Americans to a better future. He proved a strong contrast to Wallace v.2, often viewed as angry and passionate about redeeming himself and taking on Communism. He was also a contrast from Dewey, viewed as stoic and borring. Rockefeller was the opposite: exciting, passionate, and ready to take on big problems.

The President's first budget plan called for tax increases on the wealthy, cuts to defense spending, increases to welfare and civil rights program funding, cuts to agricultural subsidies, as well as increases in education and public works programs. Rockefeller hoped to balance the budget by the end of his first term and reach a surplus by the end of his second, but also wanted to accomplish his goals of rebuilding the cities and creating strong economic growth. In regards to inspiring growth, the President also focused less on tax cuts and more on providing rewards and goals for meeting certain benchmarks, as well as requiring cities to create free enterprise zones in depressed areas. These plans ran into some criticsm from southerners and conservatives, but had the strong support of Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Johnson aswell as the Republican Leadership. Both the budget and economic stimulus package passed congress. The public works plan as it was initially devised did not receive much support, though through negotiations a plan was created and received support almost unanimous support.

The other major focuses of Rockefeller's first term on domestic policy was on civil rights and health care. On civil rights he implemented the first serious enforcement of the Civil Rights Act of 1956, sending agents to the South to register voters and force integration. These plans lead to strong opposition from many in the South, leading to violence aimed at government agents and African-Americans. On several occasions the President deployed the National Guard to schools and public areas where violence had occured. The President also promoted Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. (the head of the Southern Christian Leadership Conference) to the position of Civil Rights Czar. This drew a great deal of critisicm as well, including many death threats that lead to the cancelation of the President's "Southern Tour". On health care Rockefeller passed the Disabled and Elderly Health Care act, creating the National Health Care Registrar (NHCR). The NHCR provided health care to those disabled, poor, and retired who could not easily receive health care themselves.

On foreign policy Rockefeller attempted to heal many of the rifts between the USSR and the USA after the Wallace years. Rockefeller met with Nikita Kruschev in a meeting in Geneva, Switzerland to discuss tension along the German border. The meeting was viewed as a sucess that promoted peace and better terms. Rockefeller also began to scale down the US prescence in South Vietnam, even as Communist forces gained strength. This drew harsh fire from many in both parties, and was viewed as one of the biggest failures of the first term.

1962 Congressional Elections
Despite the popularity of President Rockefeller, the Democrats gained four seats in the US Senate, bringing their total to 66 seats to 34 Republicans.
Republican Gains
-Colorado: Peter Dominick
-Wyoming: Milward Simpson
Democratic Gains
-Idaho: Gracie Pfost
-Indiana: Birch Bayh
-Maryland: Daniel Brewster
-New Hampshire: Tom McIntyre
-South Dakota: George McGovern
-Wisconsin: Gaylord Nelson
However in the House the Republicans made gains, cutting into the Democratic Majority.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #30 on: June 16, 2009, 02:07:55 PM »

"These plans ran into some criticsm from southerners and conservatives, but had the strong support of Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Johnson aswell as the Republican Leadership including the Minority Whip Richard Nixon."

Nixon is Rockefeller's VP.

WHOOPS! My bad. I completely forgot that.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #31 on: June 17, 2009, 08:53:39 AM »

The 1964 Democratic Nomination
Despite the popularity of President Nelson Rockefeller, many high profile Democrats threw their hats into the ring for the Presidency in 1964. While the incumbent Republican was quite popular, he was still viewed as vulnerable primarily due to his downsizing of the US presence in Vietnam, as well as the increased racial tension in the South. Many believed that the right Democrat could quite possibly take the White House back.

The early front runners for 1964 were all Senators: Lyndon Johnson of Texas, John Kennedy of Massachusetts, and Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota. These three men all were viewed as the most likely to capture the Democratic nomination, if not the most likely to carry the White House in November. However each candidate would take a different route to capturing the nomination. Johnson, recognizing his strong support among the Democratic establishment, chose not to run in any primaries and instead let Humphrey and Kennedy split the delegates and win in the convention. Humphrey had the opposite approach, choosing to run in all the primaries due to little establishment support. Kennedy took the middle approach, competing in the primaries, though focusing his attention on the biggest states and also relying on support from urban party bosses.

Unlike most years, very few favorite sons threw their hats into the ring, primarily because of the highly competitive nature of the race and the sense that they could be embarrassed in their own states by finishing in third place. However a prominent dark horse candidate did make his prescience felt that year. Governor George Wallace of Alabama, a strong segregationist, declared his candidacy first among any candidates. His plan was to run a populist, racially motivated campaign. His objective was two fold: 1-convince the Democratic party the power that southerners had so that they would drop their civil rights plank and 2-gain enough traction to either be a compromise candidate or be chosen as the Vice-Presidential nominee. While Wallace would not be able to compete at the same level as the other national candidate, he would do much better than many believed.

In the opening New Hampshire primary the race between Kennedy and Humphrey was heated and intense. With strong support from organized labor, Humphrey called out Kennedy for his support of investigations into labor and his personal wealth and inheritance. Kennedy fired back by calling Humphrey out-of-touch on many of the big issues of the day, as well as "a sacrificial lamb to present to Governor Rockefeller". Kennedy also played up his local roots, as well as attempting to draw support from former Massachusetts residents. The race was very close, though Kennedy would narrowly prevail, 44%-42%, with other candidates filling out the rest.

However the race would remain tight throughout the campaign season, with Humphrey capturing the rust-belt states of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ohio, Indiana, and the farming states of South Dakota and Nebraska. Kennedy would capture Wisconsin, Massachusetts, Maryland, Illinois, Oregon, and quite surprisingly, West Virginia. Despite failing to capture any states outside of Florida (where no other candidates contested), Wallace finished in second in Indiana and Maryland by narrow margins, as well as drawing enough support from rural voters in Wisconsin and West Virginia to throw the races to Kennedy. However the real key to the nomination was California. The last primary of the season, whoever won it would have the momentum heading into the convention. The early polls showed a slight Kennedy lead, though back-and-forth campaigning made it anyone's race going into election night. In the final results, Kennedy would edge Humphrey by 1%, winning 46-45. Kennedy used the narrow victory to declare himself the unofficial front runner, announcing to the crowd that "I am confident that we have the votes and the delegates too win this thing!"

Arriving in Atlantic City with a lead in the projected delegate count, Kennedy knew that for him to win the nomination early he would have to go to both the Southerners and Labor. Kennedy first went to labor, asking not for their support on the first ballot, but for their support as soon as it was clear that Humphrey was in third place. George Meany agreed to this plan, though he made it clear that if Johnson's support was less than expected and if Humphrey jumped to second they would stand by their man. In regards to the Southerners, Kennedy simply asked what they wanted in return for supporting Kennedy. Kennedy also pointed out that he was far more moderate on Civil Rights than Johnson, a lead sponsor of the Civil Rights Act. The Southern delegation insisted that if Kennedy won that he would choose a conservative Southerner as his VEEP, as well as keeping the platform fairly moderate on Civil Rights. Yet Kennedy also recognized the possibility that Wallace would speak before the convention and attempt to rally support behind his candidacy in an attempt at more concessions. Kennedy believed that the speech would focus on the controversy surrounding the seating of the Mississippi Delegation. The delegation was all-white, leading to protests from the Mississippi Freedom Party (a pro-civil rights group) in support of an integrated delegation. Humphrey supported the MFP, while denouncing "Jim Crow's still present reign over southern politics." Kennedy on the other hand supported a compromise in which the MFP would be able to voice their support for whichever candidate they wished during the vote tally, just without delegates and not as the official delegation. The MFP did not agree to this, but did not have enough support to replace the white delegation. Senator Humphrey would invite them to his private box however, where they would watch the convention unfold.

Kennedy's action defused Wallace's speech, and helped give him the nomination on the second ballot. Johnson's support was weaker than expected, and he narrowly edged Humphrey for second place with Wallace in fourth. On the second ballot Kennedy would defeat Johnson by a smaller margin, but with the majority nonetheless. He would choose Florida Senator George Smathers as his Vice-Presidential nominee, while supporting the language on the Civil Rights issue that stated "The Democratic Party supports the current federal laws in regard to civil rights, yet does not support increased federal encroachment into the political affairs of the South."
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #32 on: June 17, 2009, 10:36:54 AM »

Goldwater didn't win election in the first place against Ernest McFarland.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #33 on: June 17, 2009, 01:54:17 PM »

At this point there is no one conservative leader in the GOP. John Tower is not in the Senate, as he defeated Bill Blakely who was appointed to succeed LBJ. Right now Hruska and Bennet are two of the most prominent conservative republicans, but it is really Dixiecrats like Russell, Thurmond and company that are the most conservative. Right now the ideology of the GOP is squarely in the center with an emphasis on fiscal responsibility, anti-communism at home and abroad, and support of big buisness and free enterprise. They are more liberal on issues of civil rights and social programs than in OTL. The Democrats have a wider range, with many like Humphrey on the left and many like Thurmond on the right (ironically two men who would be come very powerful in the Senate in the coming years). But most Democrats fit somewhere in between, with Kennedy's center-left ideology being the mean.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #34 on: June 18, 2009, 12:20:24 PM »

1964 Presidential Election

From the start the race for the presidency in 1964 was bound to be a good one. With two of the most charismatic and inspiring candidates in recent memory, the media and public were enthralled by the excitement of the two campaigns. Both candidates naturally fit as positive campaigners, using their superior rhetoric skills to inspire audiences and voters. However the race did not go as expected.
Rockefeller campaigning in Oregon. Upset in the West is in regards to Kennedy's victory in California.

Kennedy, recognizing the popularity of Rockefeller's first term and the popularity of his personality, knew that he could not hope to run a campaign as simply another great public speaker or another inspiring liberal. Rather he decided early on to run a tough campaign with the objective to paint Rockefeller as out of touch and too ideologically bound to make smart choices. He criticized Rockefeller on his insistence on a balanced budget, even with the economy lagging. He also called him out for deploying the national guard to the South, thus encroaching on state's rights. However Kennedy also called for enforcement of the Civil Rights Legislation, just with the focus shifting from federal involvement to a greater role taken by the states. But the issue that Kennedy criticized Rockefeller for the most was Vietnam. Calling the deescalation "a risk we cannot afford to take", Kennedy proposed escalating the conflict by placing troops on the ground to prevent the fall of Saigon, which seemed quite likely at the time. He also proposed increases to military spending, as well as large tax-cuts and increased spending on social programs to stimulate the economy across the board.
President Kennedy on the stump

Rockefeller on the other hand ran a campaign focused on his own achievements. Emphasizing the reduced unemployment and balanced budget, he claimed that Kennedy would "return us too the days of debt and deficits." He also criticized Kennedy for what he called "an arrogance of prose", meaning that Kennedy spoke as if he knew all of the answers to problems that were very difficult to solve. He also attempted to draw support from blacks and liberals by touting his support for Civil Rights. On foreign policy he dodged the issue of Vietnam, instead focusing on his talks with Khrushchev and the lowered tensions between the two nations.
A "Re-Elect Rocky!" Campaign brochure.

The Vice-Presidential candidates both took active roles as well. Smathers campaigned hard in the South, making it clear that "the South will have an active voice in a Kennedy White House, and it will continue to have none if we reelect Rockefeller." He also attempted to dispel fears over Kennedy's faith stating "I know Jack Kennedy, and he will not look to the Pope or Rome for policy advise, just as I do not ask my reverend how to vote." Nixon also campaigned hard, mostly focusing on Kennedy's economic policy, calling it out as "outlandish and based on theories that have never worked."
Senator George Smathers of Florida

The high point of the campaign was a single debate between the two candidates on national TV. Kennedy and Rockefeller traded shots on everything from economic policy to personal upbringing to military spending. The three hour long debate received high ratings and was viewed as a draw between the two candidates. Nonetheless both sides spun the event as a victory for their candidate, focusing on specific parts of the debate (Kennedy seemed to have a better grasp of foreign policy, Rockefeller seemed more sincere on civil rights.)
Senator Kennedy looks on during the Presidential Debates

Going into Election Night the race was too close to call. Rockefeller's eight point lead in the polls coming out of the convention had evaporated, and many were projecting a Kennedy victory. The key was Kennedy locking up the Solid South, while also prevailing in enough northeastern states to off-set a likely thumping out west. Rockefeller hoped to win the close states in the mid-west, while also picking off Florida, a state he had invested heavily in. Overall, it was anyone's game.
Rockefeller Campaigning in Kansas



The results of the election were not known until the Friday of Election week. The results in Illinois were extremely close, with Kennedy barely edging out Rockefeller with disputable results. However Rockefeller did not call for a recount, instead accepting his defeat and conceding to "the honorable Senator and now President-elect from Massachusetts. He is a great man and will be a great President." Kennedy called the victory "an affirmation that we must be more direct in taking on the challenges of our time: Space, Communism, and a stalling Economy."
Senator Kennedy in a Victory Tour in New York

1964 Congressional Results
Despite Rockefeller's defeat, the Republicans picked up three seats in the Senate, defeating three incumbents. This left the Senate at 63-37, Democratic Majority. LeRoy Collins was appointed to fill Senator George Smathers seat, while Senator Kennedy's brother Ted took his brother's seat in Massachusetts.
Republican Gains
-California: George Murphy
-Arizona: Paul Fannin
-Nevada: Paul Laxalt
In the House the Democrats made slight gains, expanding on their Majority with fellow Massachusetts man John W. McCormack named the Speaker.

Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #35 on: June 18, 2009, 05:17:06 PM »
« Edited: June 19, 2009, 12:25:57 PM by hcallega »

The First Term of President John F. Kennedy

Despite a narrow electoral victory over fellow "liberal" Nelson Rockefeller, Kennedy entered the White House with strong Democratic majorities in both houses of congress and strong approval ratings. His first major actions were to address two major concerns: 1-stimulate the lagging economy and 2-increase US involvement in Vietnam in the face of growing successes on the part of the Viet Cong and NVA. To achieve these however, he would need the support of congress.
President Kennedy's inauguration as seen on TV

Speaker John McCormack was eager to support his fellow Bostonian, and he made it clear that he would support Kennedy's spending increases in the budget. Lyndon Johnson also announced his support, yet he was much less resounding in his support. However real problems occurred when Dixiecrats in Congress proposed a counter-budget, supported by many conservative Republicans as well. This budget called for tax cuts and increased military spending, but also called for lowering the domestic spending of the Rockefeller years. This budget, while opposed by the Democratic Leadership, gained much support from Southerners and Republicans alike, thus making it a force to be reckoned with. During negotiations however, Senator Richard Russell of Georgia agreed to drop his support of the budget if the proposed increases in spending on health care and education were limited, with the funds removed being spent instead on pork barrel projects primarily aimed at the South. With his support, many other Southerners followed. Thus Kennedy's first budget was passed much as he had intended, with increases to education, health care, military, and other domestic spending. Kennedy would also pass across the board tax cuts in a further attempt to stimulate the economy.
President Kennedy with fellow politicians (including Speaker McCormack) at the 1962 MLB All-Star Game

However foreign policy soon became the focus of Kennedy's first term. In regards to the conflict in Vietnam, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara proposed sending ground troops in after asking Congress first for support. Kennedy was reluctant to go in guns blazing, and instead went to Congress to ask for the authority to take control of the war. Despite doubts from some liberals and isolationists, the President's request was granted. Kennedy's first action was to increase the size of the fleet in the region, including several air craft carriers. He also deployed bombers and other aircraft to South Vietnam, and begun the bombing of North Vietnam in an attempt to have them pull back their forces and negotiate. However the bombings actually hurt public and international opinion of the war, as many saw the bombings as directed at civilian targets so that the North Vietnamese infrastructure would be destroyed. With the North Vietnamese still energized, Kennedy decided to follow the advice of his cabinet and deploy ground forces to Vietnam. Kennedy would provide congress with a projected timetable for when troop increases would take effect, and with certain benchmarks in place for the government in Saigon. The first troops would hit the ground in June of 1965, with more troops arriving in the fall.
American Combat Troops arrive in Vietnam

The war would progress for the most part like a roller coaster. While US forces would push back the communist forces who, as the President put it in his State of the Union "are driving on the gates of Saigon", yet would fail to effectively stabilize the country. After 1967 the war would become a stalemate, with US forces fighting a mostly guerrilla war throughout the country side while fighting a bloody battle of attrition in the high lands to the north. Congress would continue to fund the war, even as the public became increasingly skeptical of the US involvement. The South Vietnamese Army also routinely failed to defeat NVA forces in battle, even though they found success against the Viet Cong.
Vietcong suspect caught by American MP's

President Kennedy would also increase government involvement in fighting poverty, albeit somewhat slowly. His focus was on providing increased housing support, as well as more funding for education and health care rather than increasing welfare funding. His goal was to "end the lethal cycle of poverty" rather than targeting the poor themselves. On Civil Rights the President was a little less aggressive, attempting to find consensus between the North and South. For instance, the proposed Civil Housing Act of 1966 would which dramatically increase the federal governments role in preventing housing discrimination, was initially worded in dramatically liberal fashion. This bill failed with lackluster support from the President, while two years later a more moderate plan would draw support from the White House and pass in congress.
President Kennedy meets with Dr. King and other Civil Rights Leaders

Other foreign policy issues for the President in his first term included the Arab-Israeli War and Soviet-American Relations. In regards to the large middle eastern conflict, Kennedy took the pro-Israel stance, continuing to provide weapons the the Jewish Republic. Unlike his predecessor in Soviet-American relations, Kennedy did not attempt to deescalate the American prescience in Europe. Rather Kennedy attempted to continue talks with Russia, helped by AG Robert Kennedy. The talks occurred in Rome, Italy, despite pro-Communist terrorist activity. Kennedy and Khrushchev made it clear that war was not an option and that the only major concerns were both nations involvements in third-world nations as well as growing concern by both sides over the growth of China. While in Rome Kennedy would also visit the Vatican, meeting with Pope Paul VI, as well as giving a speech outside of the Coliseum in support for an end to global poverty.
President Kennedy talks with Pope Paul VI

On the home front, the biggest concern was the ongoing racial tension in the North. Many blacks, feeling that their conditions were not improving, rioted in cities like Detroit, Los Angeles, Newark, and even Washington D.C. In response Kennedy acted authoritatively and actively, deploying federal troops while also meeting with black leaders and reverends including Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., a member of Rockefeller's administration. He would also address the nation and reassure them that "we will not tolerate violent crime in this nation, no matter the cause, no matter the reason." Kennedy also appointed Thurgood Marshall as the first man to the Supreme Court. Despite harsh criticism from Dixiecrats, he was still confirmed, drawing much support from blacks and liberals. Many Dixiecrats still supported him for his tough response to the riots and his tough views on Communism. Overall, it was a successful first term for Kennedy.
President Kennedy addresses the public on the race riots.

1966 Midterm Elections
The Republicans continued to bounce back in the Senate, primarily by running candidates more in line with the views of the country. Of the four Republican victories, three were with liberals focusing on balanced budgets and in some cases critiscm of the President's handling of Vietnam. Howard Baker's victory in Tennessee gave the GOP a rare seat in the South, albeit one in the upper south and with a moderate. This left the Democratic Majority at 60-40.
Republican Gains
-Illinois: Charles Percy
-Massachusetts: Edward Brooke
-Oregon: Mark Hatfield
-Tennessee: Howard Baker
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #36 on: June 18, 2009, 06:33:56 PM »

In regards to Historico's post
Kennedy's Health: The public perception of JFK is of a young, strapping president. However he is feeling the effect's of his health problems and some of the Democratic bosses are considering looking for a replacement, either on the top or bottom of the ticket.

Reagan: Ronald Reagan is still a Democrat, albeit somewhat of a Conservative one. He ran against Pat Brown in 1966 in the Democratic primaries, narrowly loosing, before running as an independent and winning a plurality. Once in office he rejoined the Democrats.

GOP Ticket: All of those are possible and might actually happen. We'll see!
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #37 on: June 19, 2009, 10:55:23 AM »

1968 Republican Nomination
After the depressing nail-bitting defeat in 1964, the Republican Party looked foward to 1968 with a sense of despair and bitterness. If a popular incumbent couldn't win reelection, then what chance was there for anyone else? Things got even worse when Rockefeller announced that he would not seek a rematch with President Kennedy and instead return to private life. VP Nixon also announced that he would not run, despite popular support from conservatives and moderates alike.

However filling the void left by Rockefeller and Nixon were several high profile Governors. Jim Rhodes of Ohio, a favorite of conservatives, through his hat into the ring early on, as did George Romeny of Michigan. Rhodes drew the support of buisness and other conservatives who hoped to make 1968 the year that they took over the party. Romney had the support of moderates and President Rockefeller, who oppenly gave him support and sent much of his staff from 1960 and 1964 to help him. Other high profile candidates included former Governor William Scranton of Pennsylvania and Senator Margaret Chase Smith of Maine. Scranton ran a lackluster campaign, but drew some support from moderates not satisfied with Romney. Smith drew a great deal of support from liberals and the media, yet failed to get much groundswell.

Heading into New Hampshire it was unclear who the frontrunner would be. Rhodes had the support of conservative leaders arround the country, yet was not the most energetic campaigner. Romney seemed to squandering an early lead by failing to effectively seperate himself from the pack, while Smith and Scranton both failed to jump ahead of either of the frontrunners. On election day, Rhodes would edge Romney, with Smith in a close third. The race would continue this way for the rest of the campaign, as Romney would often run a close second while Rhodes would generally win. Even in Wisconsin and Illinois (states where

Romney had invested heavily in) Romney failed to defeat his fellow midwesterner. It was only in California that Romney would pull ahead, though it failed to make the difference in the delegate count in which Rhodes had a majority.

In the convention there was a great deal of support for Rhodes, with Romney offering a stiring endorsement with his withdrawl. However Rockefeller was not willing to accept Rhodes nomination, instead encouraging a last ditch effor by New York Mayor John Lindsay. However this effort backfired as Lindsay crashed and burned with a dissapointing speech in which he seemed to lack any real reason for his candidacy except to beat Rhodes. This would also lead to many conservatives and party leaders resentment of Rockefeller, viewing him as bitter in defeat and unwilling to give back control of the party. However Rhodes would make a concession to Rockefeller by choosing Governor Winthrop Rockefeller as his VEEP.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #38 on: June 19, 2009, 12:51:37 PM »

1968 Presidential Election

No matter the result, following 1964 any election would seem tame and uninteresting. Of couse on the one side there was the incumbent, President Kennedy, a charismatic and exciting candidaate. But with continuing health problems the young and charming president was much more limited on the trail and in his speeches. For much of the campaign Kennedy limited himself to major stops in big cities, rather than traveling to the small towns and factories that he had toured in his frenetic '64 run. Rhodes was no more entertaining, choosing to follow the route of previous Republican nominees and focus less on speechs and entertaining the crowds and more on fundraising and relying on surrogates to get out the vote. Of course considering his under-dog status this may not have been the smartest idea.
The race itself was fairly uneventfull, as Kennedy emphasised the economic turnaround as well as the ongoing War in Vietnam: "We need to stay the course at home and abroad. What Governor Rhodes is proposing is not only a change from progress and sucess back to failure and hardship, but it is also a reckless change in the middle of the stream. If we change our policies in the radical nature that the Governor is proposing, we will all suffer the consequences."

Rhodes fired back by criticzing what he called "the political posturing of the Kennedy administration." He specifically attacked Kennedy for focusing on poll numbers rather than what was best for the country, claiming that "the President has been so focused on a second term that he has forgoten why he was elected in the first place: TO GOVERN!" On specific policy, Rhodes claimed that he would reduce spending while passing more tax-cuts and keeping military funding the same. He also said that he would slow the progress of civil rights legislation and reform in an attempt to appeal to southern voters. His agressive tone was in part due to the fact that the polls did not look good. However Kennedy did accept a debate, something rare for frontrunners to do.

The debate's focus was on the economy, as both candidates had simmilar views on foreign policy. Rhodes fired the first salvo: "The current administration believes that the best way to revive the economy is through reckless increases in spending. They believe that through this jobs will be created and buisness will prosper. However throughout our history it has been proven that the best way to revive a stalling economy is through LESS intervention, and to allow the market to sort itself out and make itself stronger." Kennedy fired back: "The governor seems to forget what caused the Great Depression and what helped end it. The sort of policies that he would like to see implemented will fail, and they will cost hard working Americans jobs. My policies have, and will continue to, provide good jobs, and keep the economy growing. The deficits that we are dealing with today will evaporate because of this growth, but not if we abandon what is working." The President and Governor Rhodes continued to fire back and forth, but in the end it was Kennedy's charisma and focus on leadership that prevailed.

The end results of the campaign were not the least bit shocking. Rhodes failure to run a vigorous campaign left many viewing him as out of touch and too conservative. Kennedy on the other hand was viewed as a strong leader who had made the right decisions and would likely continue to do so. Thus it was no surprise that Kennedy won in a semi-landslide.

Kennedy/Smathers (D) 391 Electoral Votes, 58% of the Popular Vote
Rhodes/Rockefeller (R) 147 Electoral Votes, 42% of the Popular Vote

1968 Congressional Elections
The Republicans gained a net total of three seats in 1968, primarily due to increased support south of the mason-dixon line. This gave the Democrats a majority of 57-43, one of their smallest in recent years. The GOP also made small gains in the House as well.
Republican Gains
-Arizona: Barry Goldwater
-Florida: Edward Gurney
-Maryland: Charles Mathias Jr.
-Oklahoma: Harry Belmon
-Pennsylvania: Richard Schweiker
Democratic Gains
-California: Alan Cranston
-Iowa: Harold Hughes
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #39 on: June 20, 2009, 01:59:57 PM »

The Second Term of John Kennedy
At his second inauguration, President Kennedy claimed that the mission to make America greater "is not finished. We must persist, we must carry on. I cannot do this without you: all Americans of every race, gender, and creed. Together, and only together, can we make America as great as it deserves." One of Kennedy's major objectives was furthering the space race. Receiving lackluster funding under the Dewey, Wallace, and Rockefeller administrations, Kennedy severely increased funding to space research and the space race with the objective of reaching the moon by 1975. Kennedy also put a renewed focus on finding an end to the war in Vietnam and pushing for an expansion of health care legislation.

However it soon became obvious that congress was substantially less eager to increase spending. Despite a Democratic majority, many of the Dixiecrats and moderate Dems were unwilling to see the deficit further expand with no clear end in sight. So for the most part Kennedy was forced to accept far smaller amounts of money appropriated to his major projects. However with the economy continuing to grow the President was still quite popular, and many in the country believed that for the most part the nation was on the right track.

Kennedy's main focus in his second term was most definitely foreign policy. Determined to find a peaceful resolution to the war in Vietnam, Kennedy opened up negotiations with North Vietnam, with China serving as a third party. The negotiations took place in Paris and were lead by Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara and Attorney General Robert Kennedy, with Secretary of State Dean Rusk remaining in Washington to advise the President. The negotiations were initially quite successful, as the administration agreed to halt bombing of targets in North Vietnam, while the North Vietnamese agreed to halt major offensives against US and ARVN forces. Both sides also agreed to the core of the plan: free elections in South Vietnam. However the details were the killer as Hanoi demanded that the US at least begin a withdrawal from South Vietnam, while Washington only agreed to move troops to military bases the week of the election. It would end up taking 15 months before a preliminary agreement would be agreed upon, and then another several months before both sides would agree to the terms: US troops would halt "search and destroy" operations, and would leave the cities and operate only out of their bases. The NVA would halt all offensive operations while the US would halt bombing civilian targets in the South and all targets in the North. On the second week of May 1971 the elections would take place. No specific day was set as the reality of an election in a rural and 3rd world nation meant that it would be a long process. In the election itself, the Communist party would prevail over the Democrats and more Constitutionalists, the military supported party.

However in the aftermath of the election, Communist party leaders in the south would be killed by officers in the South Vietnamese military. Riots would ensue that would lead to bloody battles in the streets of Saigon and other major cities between forces loyal to the military and supporters of the communists. US forces would be deployed to the cities while the new government was installed, before withdrawing and allowing NVA forces to secure the cities. Kennedy received criticism for the treaty as well as accepting the election, but many believed that he had handled the situation well.

On the home front the Supreme Court permitted busing as a way to integrate. Kennedy remained mute on the issue, though stated privately that while he didn't find busing the best way to integrate, he thought the criticism was overblown. Kennedy also signed the Environmental Support Association into being to due to growing concerns over pollution, as well as certifying the 26th amendment which lowered the voting age to 18. But it was what would happen in August of 1971 that would define Kennedy's second term.

On August 5th, 1971, after returning from a fund raising event in Philadelphia with the AFL-CIO, President Kennedy went into the Oval Office to do catch up on some work. He was scheduled to return to the residency at around 5:30 to prepare for a dinner with several dignitaries. However when he did not arrive on time, the First Lady called over to the President's secretary. When the secretary entered the Oval Office she saw the President slumped over in his chair, head on his desk. After attempts to revive him failed, the President was taken to G.W., where he was pronounced D.O.A. The listed reason for his death was heart failure, due in large part to the President's many health problems. Vice-President Smathers was sworn in and the funeral was held several days later.

By comparison to President Kennedy, President Smathers was much less proactive. Taking a conservative approach to governing, Smathers focused on managing much of what was in place under Kennedy and working with his administration. AG Robert Kennedy was one of his closest aides and focused on making sure that Smathers didn't make any "boneheaded" errors while in office. In 1972 Smathers focused on deficit reduction, working to raise some taxes while lowering spending on health care and the military. He also increased funding for the Space Race. He would also work to strengthen relations with the South by urging the justice department to take a less active role in civil rights enforcement. Overall, Smathers term was unremarkable, but was viewed as good enough and his approval ratings hovered around 52%.

1970 Midterm Elections
As is natural in mid-term elections, the incumbent party struggled, as the Republicans gained two seats, narrowing the Democratic majority to 55-45. The continuing success of Republicans in picking up seats was becoming apparent, however at the same time the Democrats expanded on their majority in the House.
Republican Gains
-Connecticut: Lowell Weicker
-Maryland: John Glean Bell Jr.
-New York: James Buckley
-Tennessee: Bill Brock
Democratic Gains
-Illinois: Adlai Stevenson III
-Ohio: Howard Metzenbaum
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #40 on: June 21, 2009, 04:29:54 PM »

1972 Democratic Primaries and Nomination
One of the issues in the 1972 Democratic Convention was the issue of Abortion. The Party would not take an official position in the platform.

Despite President Smathers' incumbency, several high profile Democrats rose to challenge the conservative southerner. The first to throw his hat into the ring was Minnesota Senator Hubert Humphrey. A well known liberal, Humphrey was critical of Smathers deescalation of civil rights and conservative governing style. Humphrey's biggest support typically came from organized labor, perhaps the most powerful group in the Democratic Party. However this time around Humphrey received a cool reception from labor. The AFL-CIO's head, George Meany, always a political pragmatist, recognized the slim chances of a Humphrey victory. Thus he decided to hold off on an official endorsement, though many of the member unions did.
The Common Candidate: Senator Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota

Smathers' other major opponents were Senator George McGovern of South Dakota, Representative Shirley Chisholm of New York, former Governor Terry Sanford of North Carolina, and Senator Fred Harris of Oklahoma. All but Sanford challenged Smathers from the left, generally on only on or two specific issues. For instance, McGovern focused on his opposition to universal health care and greater welfare programs, Chisholm on civil rights, women's issues, and bussing, and Harris rural poverty and foreign policy. Sanford on the other hand tried to appeal to voters as a more moderate southerner than the conservative Smathers.
Senator George McGovern of South Dakota ran a progressive campaign that drew support from young voters.

However for the most part the race was between Smathers and Humphrey. With the bipartisan senate committee on presidential nominations releasing it's results in 1971, both party's adopted the practice of having more presidential primaries. 1972 would be the first time that this many states had the opportunity to directly vote for the candidates. This helped Humphrey, as it gave him the opportunity to go to the voters rather than just the party bosses who certainly would have backed Smathers.
President Smathers at the White House Correspondents Dinner

The first primary was in late January in Iowa. This "caucus" received little true attention, with Smathers beating out Humphrey, with a strong third place showing by McGovern. However the real race would begin in New Hampshire just over a month later. After developing a solid campaign organization, Humphrey was able to increase turnout among elderly voters and blue-collar voters, two groups he did naturally well in. However Smathers was still able to edge the insurgent senator, 42%-39%. Yet Humphrey and his team hit the airwaves, making it clear that New Hampshire was a "moral victory" for the senator and that his campaign was energized by the results. Following New Hampshire was Smathers' home state of Florida, a primary that Humphrey did not even enter. However after that was Illinois, a state that both campaigns fought hard for. It was here that Humphrey would score his biggest victory, defeating Smathers' by a shocking eight point margin. That victory was credited to his large support among blacks and union workers, as well as the Smathers campaign ignoring Chicago.
Hubert Humphrey with one of the few men to officially endorse his candidacy: Senator Ed Muskie of Maine. The two are campaigning in nearby New Hampshire.

Following Illinois both campaigns would real off several strings of victories. Humphrey would win the next three in Wisconsin, Massachusetts, and Washington D.C. At this point it looked like Humphrey might have a chance, but Smathers would respond with a string of his own, capturing Indiana, Ohio, Tennessee, North Carolina, and Nebraska. At this point it was clear that despite his early victories, Humphrey's support was limited and most Democrats still saw Smathers as their President, and thus their nominee. Humphrey would finish with a strong run, winning West Virginia, Maryland, Michigan, Oregon, Rhode Island, and New Jersey. However Smathers would score a big win in California, essentially knocking Humphrey out of the race, followed by a smaller victory in New Mexico. McGovern would carry the last primary state of South Dakota, his home state.
Senator McGovern fought on too the end and was rewarded as the only candidate not named Smathers or Humphrey to win a primary


Smathers' victory in California sealed the deal for his re-nomination

Despite Smathers' victory, many in the Democratic leadership saw reason for continued reform. The need for more primary states became clear, as was the reality that the Smathers needed to choose a liberal to balance the ticket. At the convention held in Miami Beach, the focus was on unity and remembering the Presidency of John Kennedy. In fact many found the obsession with the former President to be a little much, though for the national TV audience the effect worked. When former First Lady Jaquelin Kennedy took the stage to open the convention, the standing ovation lasted over 15 minutes. The applause was even greater when Attorney General Robert Kennedy rose to nominate Kennedy family friend George Smathers for the Democratic Party's Presidential nomination, lasting well over 20 minutes. In fact, many called for Kennedy to be nominated. However the late President's younger brother made it clear that he was not interested in either the nomination or Vice-Presidential pick. He would however suggest fellow Kennedy ally Birch Bayh of Indiana, who would be chosen by Smathers to complete the ticket.
Attorney General Robert Kennedy: A Favorite of Democrats Young and Old, Black and White
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #41 on: June 23, 2009, 12:57:12 PM »

1972 Republican Nomination

Eight years of Democratic rule, primarily liberal at that, had demoralized the Grand Old Party. However, with a relatively weak half-term by President Smathers and a party strengthened by recent gains in the Senate (particularly in the upper South and mid-west) many believed that this was a golden oppurtunity to take down an incumbent President and regain the White House. The primary conflict was between the conservative branch and the moderate/liberal branch of the party. The conservative wing had received a demoralizing defeat in 1968, though still believed that their ability to provide a real difference to the Democratic policies. The moderates however believed that the defeat of 1968 proved that the conservative wing was out of touch with the mainstream views of the country. Either way, the race for the nomination in 1972 would be quite exciting.

The first major candidate to declare was Governor Winthtrop Rockefeller of Arkansas. The moderate, reform minded, Governor, was chosen as the Vice-Presidential nominee in 1968. The brother of the former President, Rockefeller had focused his term as Governor on education and prison reform, as well as integrating Arkanasas public schools. A rare southern republican, Rockefeller was smack dab in the middle of the party. However many liberals believed that he was too lackluster of a campaigner and was better suited to run against a northern Democrat, rather than a fellow southerner. Liberals also had their problems, though his brother's endorsement went a long way to settle their concerns over what they called "Democratic Appeasment".

Several high profile liberal Republicans also declared their intention to run. New senators Charles Percy and Edward Brooke both ran on campaigns focusing on their ability to win blue states. Percy was able to bring in large sums of money, while Brooke fast became a media darling. However conservative opposition was strong, and their growing influence in the party made it difficult for the two liberals to move up in the polls.

Two prominate, yet very different, conservatives also declared their intentions to run. Senator Bob Dole of Kansas was fast to declare his intention to run. A classic western conservative, Dole was also quite the pragmatist, focusing on practical action in the senate. However he had earned the title of a true conservative. A strong opponent of the Kennedy administrations spending policies, as well as his belief in Keynesian economics. The other, more conservative candidate, was Senator Barry Goldwater of Arizona. Despite being in the Senate only for a short time, Goldwater had long been a grassroots leader of the conservative movement. After being defeated in his first Senate run by Earnest McFarland, Goldwater was offered a column in the conservative NATIONAL REVIEW. Goldwater would become a favorite of conservative activists, railing against "the policies of spend, spend, and spend. Well let me tell you: this will lead to debt, debt, debt!" However he become a national icon after appearing on Meet the Press to discuss the American withdrawl from Vietnam:

"Now I've just got to say something now: the President's policy is downright surrender. What he is basically saying is that we're sick of war, even though we are winning. Now because we're sick of it, or rather some ideological liberals are sick of it, we might as well just quit. If you're leading a baseball game in the 7th inning you don't forfeit just because you're pitcher is tired and you're hitters are sore. You just don't do that if you want to win the pennant."

Entering the first caucus in Iowa the field was heavily divided. No one candidate had come out as a frontrunner, and it was obvious that whoever broke out early would have a huge oppurtunity to win the nomination. In Iowa, Bob Dole would prevail fairly easily, with Rockefeller finishing second and Goldwater in third. However in New Hampshire "Rocky the Second" would come roaring back, finishing with a solid victory over Brooke, Percy, and then Goldwater. Brooke would win victories in Vermont and Massachusetts. In the key race in Florida, Goldwater would score the upset victory over Rockefeller, edging him by 2%. Following this it would be a back and forth race between Goldwater and Rockefeller for the nomination, with Rockefeller always stepping one step ahead. In the end, Rockefeller would win the nomination, clearly showing that the moderates were not willing to hand over the power in the party to the conservatives.


At the convention in Miami Beach, the Republicans would nominate Rockefeller on the first ballot. Rockefeller would in turn choose Goldwater as his Vice-Presidential nominee, in part to reach out to conservatives and in part to help in the west. The convention was highlited by speeches by Nelson Rockefeller and Richard Nixon, focusing on changing the tune of domestic and foreign policy, while not using staunch conservative rhetoric. All and all, it looked like a good way for the GOP to start the general election schedule.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #42 on: June 24, 2009, 05:41:33 PM »

1972 General Election

The showdown of 1972 pitted for the first time in generations that two Southerners were on the ticket. Also, for the first time in a many elections the incumbent came into the election down in the polls. Smathers lackluster support from the Democratic leadership lead to some bad fund raising numbers, as well as a sense of ambivalence over his victory. Republicans on the other hand were eager to knock off an incumbent, as well as pick up rare victories in the South.

The race itself was fairly anti-climatic compared to past elections. Smathers focused his campaign on toning down his conservative voting record in the Senate and relatively moderate presidency so far. Rockefeller on the other hand focused on appealing both to the GOP base of westerners and north easterners, as well as running hard in the upper south in an attempt to peel away some of the Democratic firewall. A major factor in the race was the black vote. Rockefeller had worked to desegregate Arkansas public schools as governor, while Smathers had strong opposed civil rights legislation in the Senate. Many Democratic leaders feared that their recent gains among blacks in the south would be neutralized. However Republicans also faced a challenge: balancing Rockefeller's southern appeal while trying to brand Smathers as an opponent of civil rights. Thus while Rockefeller rarely mentioned civil rights on the campaign trail, his surrogates (including his brother and former President Nelson) emphasized the issue while campaigning in the north.

The early polls showed Rockefeller with an early lead, and Smathers lackluster campaigning did little to help. It soon became clear that it would take an election day miracle to continue the Democratic control over the White House. Optimism still ran high in the Smathers camp, yet many national Democrats simply hoped that it wouldn't be a landslide. For the Republicans, the hope was that for the first time since Tom Dewey they would score a knockout punch and send the Democrats reeling. Of course that would take a lot, but the hope was still there. But there was still one more curve ball in this relatively slow game.
An Image of Smathers with the late President. This was a recurring theme of symbolism on the campaign.

Three weeks before the election the Supreme Court decision Roe vs. Wade was decided on by the court. Rulling in favor of Roe, the court stated that it was unconstitutional for any state to deny a woman the right to an abortion. Democrats, recognizing an opportunity to weaken Rockefeller's support in the South and Midwest, played up his support of abortion rights, while emphasizing Smathers' consistent opposition. While the issue had little electoral effect, it would set a new low for last minute campaign adds that ran on election eve:

Announcer: Recently the United States Supreme Court made a decision that many have found both unconstitutional and downright immoral. They made it clear that states did not have the right to stop the termination of unborn life. The next President will be faced head on with this issue, and will have to make key decisions in regards to the issue of life; when it begins, and what role the government plays in it. President Smathers has made it clear that he supports the inalienable right to life, Governor Rockefeller has not. No, the Governor has made it clear that he believes that the right to a burden free life is more important then the right to live and prosper. The difference is clear. And so is what is right. Vote Smathers, vote life.
An image shown at the beginning of the "Abortion Ad"

The add ran only in certain states in the south and the Midwest, though it would receive national attention. The plan was that Rockefeller already had the support of women and many liberals, while Smathers needed to shore up support in the South and do better among blue-collar whites skeptical of his views on the economy. However the later ramifications of the ad were that Smathers was viewed nationally as using a dirty ploy on a deeply personal issue to gain votes. Even Vice-Presidential nominee Birch Bayh was said to be personally disgusted by the ad.



Rockefeller/Goldwater (R) 57% of the PV, 399 EVs
Smathers/Bayh (D) 41% of the PV, 139 EVs
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #43 on: June 25, 2009, 10:51:29 AM »

1972 Senate Elections
Despite the solid victory of Governor Rockefeller, the Democrats would make substantial gains in the US Senate. Much of this was attributed to the improving view of the Democratic Party nationally, despite personall dislike of President Smathers. The elections would leave the Senate at 58-42, Democratic Majority. In one of the more interesting Senate races, B. Everett Jordan was defeated in his run for the Democratic nomination by Nick Galifianikis, a moderate. However independent Jesse Helms would run with the endorsement of Jordan, defeating Galifianikis and the Republican nominee. Once in the Senate Helms would join the Democratic Caucus.
Democratic Gains
-Colorado: Floyd Haskell
-Delaware: Joe Biden
-Iowa: Dick Clark
-Kentucky: Walter D. Huddleston
-Maine: William Hathaway
-South Dakota: James Abourezk

Republican Gains
-New Mexico: Pete Domenici
-Oklahoma: Dewey Bartlett
-Virginia: William Scott

However in the House the Republican Party would make slight gains, though the Democrats still heald the majority.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #44 on: June 25, 2009, 12:51:15 PM »

The First Term of President Winthrop Rockefeller

Entering the White House, the new Republican President was presented with several pressing issues. All of these had to do with domestic issues: the area of the President's specialty. The most pressing issue was inflation, which had spiraled out of control do to the extensive domestic spending and tax of the Kennedy and Rockefeller administrations. Other focuses were the sputtering economy and the burgoning energy crisis. On all of these issues and more Rockefeller released the "Report on America" just after his innaguration. The brochure listed the President's proposals and the issues themselves, while stating that he would love to answer the questions of the people. In a national press conference he answered selected questions on the issues, further reinforcing his view as a more folksy President.

Specifically the President presented a budget to congress that would reduce spending across the board, and would slightly increase personal income tax. The plan was generally supported, though ran into some opposition from politicians on the ideological extremes. Rockefeller spoke quiet highly of the plan during his press conference: "The budget that I have submitted before congress is really quite simple. The budget will cut spending on many programs that we have become accustomed to in America, and, to be honest are deperately needed by many in America. However during difficult times we need to make difficult sacrifices. And today, for this crisis we must cut funding to many important programs because it will lead to reduced inflation, which in turn will lead to reduced prices. This is the goal. I'm not going to lie to you our beat around the bush." Rockefeller would continue to push for more inflation reduction throughout his first term, although the sucesses would not be as sucessfull as the President hoped for.

On the economy, President Rockefeller was able to pass a program that would increase federal funds to cities if they increased the number of "free enterprise zones" within the city limits. The idea was that these zones would lead to increased economic growth and recovery among the poor and working class. He also passed a stimulus package in 1975 that did increase speding, primarily due to a small economic recovery. However his plans were popular, even if they did not lead to immediate results.

On the enviroment Rockefeller increased regulations on carbon gass emisions, as well as increasing funds for alternative fuels. Rockefeller was praised by liberals for increasing enviromental regulation, while conservatives chided him for putting undo regulation on buisness. On foreign policy, Rockefeller increased talks between the US and other nations, while keeping the USSR at arm's length. Despite meeting with the Soviet premier several times, little was accomplished and tensions remained somewhat high, though significantly less so than in the 1950s.

Rockefeller also took a middle of the road approach to intellenge issues. The left had been pushing for greater disclosure of the actions of the CIA and FBI both at home, Latin America, and Southeast Asia. Under Kennedy and Smathers there had been very little support for this disclosure, but the left was reluctant to take on fellow Democrats and generally quited down. However when Rockefeller took office they pushed even harder for disclosure, lead by Idaho Senator Frank Church. Rockefeller opposed full disclosure, but worked with congressional Democrats to create a compromise Freedom of Information Act which would disclose any records from the CIA on domestic spying, while also releasing details on CIA opperations in conflicts "where there is no longer any United States involvement." Essentially this released information of CIA involvement in Vietnam, but covered little else because, as was later stated in many books by former CIA agents, the US was never active in countries like Cambodia and Nicarauga and thus they did not apply to the FOIA. The FBI was not seriously affected at all.

An interesting note about Rockefeller's presidency is the extraordinary ammount of tension within the cabinet. Vice-President Goldwater was generally excluded from cabinet deelings and had a strained personal relaitionship with Rockefeller as well. Rockefeller's national security advisor, Donald Rumsfeld, was very influential on the President's handlings, leading to tension between the Joint Chiefs and the White House. Rockefeller's Chief of Staff, George Bush, also had a great deal of tension with Goldwater, as the two had significantly different views on everything from taxes to military spending. The best selling book THE DYSFUNCTIONAL GANG OF ROCKEFELLER detailed this, and has become one of the top political books of all-time.

As Rockefeller entered his last year, much of the countries support of him began to fall out. His reluctance to provide relief to New York drew much critiscm as well as his general frustration that "this damn country won't pull itself together" (quote from White House tapes). Rockefeller also angered Unions when he vetoed the Common Situs Picket bill. However the bicentenial proved a golden oppurtunity to Rockefeller. Appearing at many, many, events wearing his classic cow boy hat and jeans. The President's approval improved during these events. What may have been even better was the first landing on the Moon on July 4th, 1976. The Valliant 11 spacecraft carrying the Virgo 2 Lunar Lander, piloted by Captain Richard Wade, Captain Mark Garris, and Captain Michael Hagen, landed saftely on the Moon. These entire events lead to a solid poll bump for Rockefeller, who despite a rough first term still felt good about his chances for reelection.

1974 Congressional Elections
The Senate's composition did not shift after the 1974 elections, proving the point that Rockefeller didn't have a great or terrible first term. This left the Senate at 58-42. In the House the Democrats made slight gains.
Democratic Gains
-Colorado: Gary Hart
-Kentucky: Wendell Ford
Republican Gains
-Indiana: Richard Lugar
-Nevada: Paul Laxalt

Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #45 on: June 26, 2009, 04:54:03 PM »

1976 Democratic Nomination
[/b]
Following the disaster of 1972, the Democratic Party looked to rebuild and retool going forward. However the direction of the party was not quite clear. Liberals looked for a candidate like JFK who could unite the party and drive it to victory. Moderates wanted someone who could counter the middle of the road appeal of Rockefeller, while southerners looked to regroup and field a more palatable candidate. However with the continued growth of the primary system the party bosses no longer had the same power and control that they once did. It would be up to the voters to decide who would lead them with "The Spirit of '76".

Several liberal candidates jumped into the race early, but none had the sort of name recognition many on the left were looking for. Representative Mo Udall of Arizona was the biggest name, drawing support from environmentalists and Hispanics. Senator Frank Church also drew much support from the grassroots, primarily due to his high-profile role in creating the Freedom of Information Act. The 1972 Vice-Presidential nominee, Birch Bayh, also ran, but drew little support due in large part to his failed bid for reelection in 1974. Former Senator Fred Harris and former Chief of Staff to President Kennedy Sargent Shriver threw their hats into the gauntlet, but received little support. None of these candidates seemed to unite the party however, and party leaders looked to former Attorney General and current Harvard Professor Robert Kennedy and Senator Hubert Humphrey to run. However both men respectfully declined.

The real race would be decided by those in the middle. Hawkish Senator Scoop Jackson of Washington and former Governor Ronald Reagan both drew substantial support, and early on established themselves as two potential front runners.  Both ran as Cold War Liberals, drawing support from unions and blue-collar whites. The only substantial difference on policy between the two was the issue of how to resolve the inflation crisis. Jackson believed that threw focusing on a balanced budget and economic renewal that inflation would fix itself, while Reagan believed in spending cuts and increased tax breaks. The other major difference came in their personal backgrounds. Jackson was a Washington insider and friend of the Kennedy's, while Reagan was an actor-turned-politician who had taken on party leaders and Democratic special interests in his quest to win elections. After winning election to congress in 1958, Reagan ran against incumbent Governor Pat Brown in 1962. In a fierce primary Reagan would draw strong support from union voters and rural voters as he talked about his opposition to welfare and social liberalism. Reagan would defeat Brown by 2% before winning the general election. In 1966 he would not be opposed in the primary, and was viewed by many as a very good governor. With a solid organization, the support of many unions, and a whole lot of money, Reagan was ready to make 1976 his year.

Two other major candidates also ran for the Presidency in 1976. Governor George Wallace of Alabama, and former Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia both made their intentions clear to run for the presidency. Wallace, a strong opponent of civil rights, had moderated his views and changed his focus to issues of the economy. Running as a "ragging populist", Wallace drew strong support from conservatives and southerners, but was unable to branch out to many others. Carter on the other hand represented the "New South". A supporter of integration and a political moderate, Carter's pro-growth policies made him popular among many national Democrats. However with almost no name recognition or fundraising base, it would be difficult for the former peanut farmer to win.

The first contest was in Iowa, where the caucuses were held. Few candidates invested much time here, instead focusing on New Hampshire. Reagan would finish in first, but the major surprise was that Carter finished in second. This put his name on the map, and made him a serious contender. A month later in New Hampshire Reagan would win again, this time with Udall in second, Jackson in third, and Carter in fourth. Jackson's campaign would often suffer from loosing out on blue-collar whites to Reagan. Despite his early front runner status, Jackson was unable to truly contend. In Massachusetts and Vermont Udall would score solid victories, with Reagan and Jackson splitting the blue-collar vote. In Florida Carter would narrowly edge Wallace in a major upset, offsetting Wallace's solid numbers in the northern states and making Carter the "southern candidate". In Illinois Reagan would score another win, while in North Carolina Wallace would fire back and beat Carter. However no one seemed to be able to stop Reagan in the north, as he reeled off back to back victories in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, with Jackson finishing in second both times.

By this point many of the candidates had proceeded to drop out. Bayh, Harris, Shriver, and now Jackson withdrew their names from contention. On May 4th Carter would win his home-state of Georgia, Reagan Indiana, and Udall Washington D.C. In Nebraska Church would upset Reagan in an attempt to use his "Western Wall" to force a stalemate at the convention and be chosen as nominee. However the days of deadlocked conventions were over and Reagan would roar back by winning in West Virginia, Maryland, and Michigan with the full support of organized labor. In Arkansas Wallace would edge Carter, while in Idaho Church would win again. In Kentucky Wallace would win again, while in Nevada Reagan would score a major victory, followed by one in Oregon before Carter's victory in Tennessee. Church's western wall would continue in Montana and South Dakota before Udall's win in Rhode Island. On June 8th Reagan would sweep the last primaries, winning California, New Jersey, and Ohio. That wrapped up the primaries and allowed for a major victory celebration in Sacramento on July 4th.

The convention, held in New York from July 12-15 was a very patriotic affair. The colors red, white, and blue were everywhere, while spirits were high despite the nomination of a moderate. On the convention floor speakers would praise Reagan as the "common-sense candidate" (AFL-CIO president Lane Kirkland), "the man who can take down communism" (Senator Scoop Jackson), and "a true friend of the working family" (Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts). The real question was who would be chosen as Vice-President. Reagan's team had narrowed it down to a shortlist before settling on Minnesota Senator Walter Mondale. A progressive, Reagan's team hoped that he could bridge the gap to liberals disgruntled with Reagan's populist rhetoric. However when presented with Mondale's name, Reagan nixed the decision. All along he had wanted to choose one man for the role, but until then had wanted the insiders to make the choice. But when he was told that Mondale was the consensus, the Democratic nominee knew he had to go with his gut. Reagan phoned the man to ask him to come to his box suite so the two could talk face-to-face in private. With the curtains drawn no one outside of Reagan's team knew who it was, though they all knew that it was the next Vice-Presidential nominee. After speaking for over an hour, former Senator Ralph Yarborough of Texas walked to the podium to thunderous applause:

"I know that all of us are wondering who Governor Reagan has chosen as his Vice-Presidential nominee, and I am hear to tell you all that. I want to be quite blunt and too the point, because we've all been waiting for so long and I know every second is killing you (this was a quite successful attempt at humor). So, without further ado, Governor Reagan has chosen Mr. Robert Kennedy to be the next Vice-President of the United States of America!"
The crowd roared, Reagan and Kennedy took the stage together, before Kennedy delivered his speech to the convention. He focused on poverty relief and economic recovery for all. The next night Reagan delivered his speech in which he called on "the free people of this nation and the whole world to unite and do something extraordinary."
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #46 on: June 26, 2009, 06:03:52 PM »


Why do you want to vote for them? lol

Anyway yeah former Minnesota Senator Eugene McCarthy and NY Representative Shirley Chisholm are running on the National Democratic Ticket. That being said they have Nader in 2000 esque support.

Also I feel that this would be a good time to put some of the differences between ATL Reagan and OTL Reagan

Abortion: Reagan is Pro-Choice
Unions: Reagan is very pro-union
Domestic Issues (social security, welfare, healthcare): Reagan is supportive of New Deal-esque programs but supports welfare reform
Civil Rights: Reagan supports civil rights, but not bussing or affirmative action
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #47 on: June 29, 2009, 01:02:31 PM »

I'm sorry, I'm just really tired from the weekend. Expect an update tonight or tomorow.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #48 on: June 29, 2009, 06:24:24 PM »

Who was Smathers's Vice President while in office?

He didn't choose one, much like LBJ in OTL
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #49 on: June 29, 2009, 07:43:05 PM »

Who was Smathers's Vice President while in office?

He didn't choose one, much like LBJ in OTL

So the 25th Amendment hasn't happened? Smiley

yeah because much of that had to do with Kennedy being assassinated. granted he died anyway, but due to natural causes and not an assasination.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 1.071 seconds with 11 queries.