Gallup with some sobering analysis re: Biden’s approval rating

[2016]

Trump and Carter were experiencing a bit of a rebound at this point in their terms due to Covid and the hostage crisis, respectively. But both went on to see their approvals dip.

Of course I'd like to see Biden with higher numbers, but Presidential approval isn't what it used to be. With today's fractured and polarizing media landscape, it's really hard for any President to be above 50% for a long amount of time.

This November, one of two things will become clear: That Biden's low approval ratings made him just as vulnerable as any other one-term President, or that the extraordinary circumstances and stakes in this race mattered more than what they thought of Biden.

Trumps Job Approval on E-Night 2020 per EXITS was 47 % Nationally. Biden isn't even close hitting that Number.
And even in the States Trump lost like WI, PA, MI it was over 45 % and in GA & AZ it was close to 50 %.

Biden is in profound trouble if he doesn't get these Numbers up by Summer.

[2016]

This would be a disaster if he faced anyone other than trump.

In 1992 Clinton was absolutely walloping Bush Sr in the polls once the former wrapped up the Dem nomination. 1980 saw a much more varied polling landscape with Reagan pulling somewhat of an upset. However, he and clinton were popular challengers to unpopular incumbents. Trump is an unpopular challenger to an unpopular incumbent, so it's totally different calculus.

Reagan in the summer of 1980 was actually leading by 20+ points and many pundits thought democrats could lose up to 50 house seats . House democrats decided to basically give up on Carter during the campaign and probably saved quite a few seats while senate democrats did not and you ended up having a massive Republican wave in the senate .

The Republican Party needs to get CRUSHED mate whether you like that or not before it can be rebuilt.

[2016]

Perhaps those polls with Haley up 15% on Biden were accurate.

I am very much inclined to believe them!