Jill Stein vs. Gary Johnson vs. Virgil Goode?
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Jill Stein vs. Gary Johnson vs. Virgil Goode?
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for/Who do you think would win?
#1
Stein/Stein
 
#2
Stein/Goode
 
#3
Stein/Johnson
 
#4
Goode/Stein
 
#5
Goode/Goode
 
#6
Goode/Johnson
 
#7
Johnson/Stein
 
#8
Johnson/Goode
 
#9
Johnson/Johnson
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Jill Stein vs. Gary Johnson vs. Virgil Goode?  (Read 2495 times)
Kitteh
drj101
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« on: October 05, 2012, 03:02:21 PM »

A battle of the third parties! Rocky Anderson excluded because he makes things more complicated. Who would win? Maps would be very interesting.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2012, 03:02:50 PM »

Johnson/Goode
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2012, 03:03:40 PM »

Stein/Johnson
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2012, 03:07:29 PM »

Johnson/Johnson
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2012, 03:27:30 PM »

Okay, here's my attempt at a map:

The grey in Maine/Nebraska is Gary Johnson, because for some reason the EC Calculator wasn't letting me select Johnson in the states that allocate by CD.

Electoral vote total:
Johnson: 242
Goode: 192
Stein: 104

Johnson's best state is Alaska, Goode's best state is Oklahoma, and Stein's best state is Vermont.

No candidate wins a majority. The election goes to the House, and after long negotiations the Green representatives back Johnson (mostly to stop Goode). Johnson becomes president.

Goode is very much helped by the electoral college, because his voters are highly concentrated in the South and parts of the West.
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FEMA Camp Administrator
Cathcon
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2012, 03:36:49 PM »

Eh, not so sure on Johnson taking states like MI, OH, and PA. I'm Split between Johnson and Goode.
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2012, 05:13:48 PM »

Eh, not so sure on Johnson taking states like MI, OH, and PA. I'm Split between Johnson and Goode.
I had a hard time with those states. None of the candidates are really good fits for them. Johnson is socially liberal/economically conservative in place where swing voters are usually the opposite, Goode is too far right for what are moderate (OH) or slightly left-leaning (MI, PA) states, and Stein is too "latte liberal" for the Rust Belt. I had those states as being the closest to the national vote, and since Johnson wins the national vote I have him winning.

My guesses for those states:

Ohio:
36.7 Johnson
36.3 Goode
25 Stein
2 Other/write-in

Michigan:
36 Johnson
33 Goode
29 Stein
2 Other/write-in

Pennsylvania:
37 Johnson
34 Goode
27 Stein
2 Other/write-in

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Goldwater
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2012, 06:26:50 PM »

Johnson/Johnson
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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2012, 03:57:52 AM »

Goode/Johnson
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Cryptic
Shadowlord88
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« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2012, 04:09:27 AM »

Stein/Johnson
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Incipimus iterum
1236
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« Reply #10 on: October 11, 2012, 10:54:34 AM »

Goode/Goode
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2012, 02:35:52 PM »

Pretty sure Johnson would win in Congress as the "centrist" candidate. I'd be a Goode/Johnson swing voter personally.
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Knives
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2012, 05:18:42 PM »

Jill Stein would win most states.

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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2012, 05:38:47 PM »


Why?
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Knives
solopop
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2012, 11:03:33 PM »


It's the Democrats with an emphasis on the environment and with slightly marxist values.
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2012, 03:19:50 PM »


It's the Democrats with an emphasis on the environment and with slightly marxist values.

Not sure if joking...
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tarheel-leftist85
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2012, 10:44:44 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2012, 10:46:40 PM by tarheel-leftist85 »

Quelle surprise: Obamaphiles would pull for Johnson:
marriage equality + privatized Social Security = "moderate"/"liberal"/"progressive"



Stein - 302EV / 43%PV
Goode - 122EV / 31%PV
Johnson - 114EV / 26%PV

Libertarian support is always inflated by the lamestream.
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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2012, 10:31:16 AM »

Quelle surprise: Obamaphiles would pull for Johnson:
marriage equality + privatized Social Security = "moderate"/"liberal"/"progressive"



Stein - 302EV / 43%PV
Goode - 122EV / 31%PV
Johnson - 114EV / 26%PV

Libertarian support is always inflated by the lamestream.

Stein winning in TX, IN, TN, SD and AZ? And Goode winning in WI? How'd you figure that out?
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2012, 10:51:28 AM »

Quelle surprise: Obamaphiles would pull for Johnson:
marriage equality + privatized Social Security = "moderate"/"liberal"/"progressive"



Stein - 302EV / 43%PV
Goode - 122EV / 31%PV
Johnson - 114EV / 26%PV

Libertarian support is always inflated by the lamestream.

Stein winning in TX, IN, TN, SD and AZ? And Goode winning in WI? How'd you figure that out?

What I want to know is how in the hell would Stein win Oklahoma?
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2012, 12:06:15 PM »

Quelle surprise: Obamaphiles would pull for Johnson:
marriage equality + privatized Social Security = "moderate"/"liberal"/"progressive"



Stein - 302EV / 43%PV
Goode - 122EV / 31%PV
Johnson - 114EV / 26%PV

Libertarian support is always inflated by the lamestream.

Stein winning in TX, IN, TN, SD and AZ? And Goode winning in WI? How'd you figure that out?

What I want to know is how in the hell would Stein win Oklahoma?

Yeah this map makes no sense whatsoever.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2012, 01:35:02 PM »

Quelle surprise: Obamaphiles would pull for Johnson:
marriage equality + privatized Social Security = "moderate"/"liberal"/"progressive"



Stein - 302EV / 43%PV
Goode - 122EV / 31%PV
Johnson - 114EV / 26%PV

Libertarian support is always inflated by the lamestream.

Stein winning in TX, IN, TN, SD and AZ? And Goode winning in WI? How'd you figure that out?

What I want to know is how in the hell would Stein win Oklahoma?

Yeah this map makes no sense whatsoever.

Johnson in Vermont? Did this guy just push random buttons on the EV calculator or what?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2012, 01:36:55 PM »

I'd vote for Stein, but Johnson gets much more votes on Tuesday.
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renegadedemocrat
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2012, 02:48:40 PM »

Stein/Johnson.
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