Rasmussen polls - California landslide

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I'm not sure how much I trust Rasmussen polls, but here they are.

Virginia: Bush +3 (this state is not safe for Bush)
North Carolina: Bush +5 (could be in play)
Missouri: Bush +4 (lean Bush)
California +18 (too bad a landslide here doesn't help Kerry)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com

[AuH2O]

Enjoy it while it lasts.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Enjoy it while it lasts.

Does Bush have a secret plan to win California? Ha.

[AuH2O]

lol I meant the other ones, and Kerry's strength in general.

[ijohn57s]

If Arnold campaigns well, Kerry might have to go back to California to sure things up. I don't think Bush has a chance to win CA, but some effective campaigning by the governor could give Kerry fits.

[Lunar]

If Arnold campaigns well, Kerry might have to go back to California to sure things up. I don't think Bush has a chance to win CA, but some effective campaigning by the governor could give Kerry fits.

I don't think Arnold is enough to sway the 10+ points Kerry needs.  Kerry will show up in California constantly anyway for fundraising.

The North Carolina and Missouri results are reasonable, I think Virginia and California are too Kerry friendly though.  Missouri is probably closer to +2, but still within the margin of error.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Arnold campaigns well, Kerry might have to go back to California to sure things up. I don't think Bush has a chance to win CA, but some effective campaigning by the governor could give Kerry fits.

California has a lot of people who voted Gov. Arnold who will vote Kerry, just like Massachusets has with Gov Romney, and NY has with Gov. Pataki, and so on. For some reason ticket splitting seems to happen more in the Democratic states than the Republican states.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If Arnold campaigns well, Kerry might have to go back to California to sure things up. I don't think Bush has a chance to win CA, but some effective campaigning by the governor could give Kerry fits.

California has a lot of people who voted Gov. Arnold who will vote Kerry, just like Massachusets has with Gov Romney, and NY has with Gov. Pataki, and so on. For some reason ticket splitting seems to happen more in the Democratic states than the Republican states.

not neccesarily. see: the Dakotas.

also the new governors of Oklahoma, Wyoming and Kansas.

But the point is clearly made, electing a governor or senator of a certain party doesn't mean that state can be won by that party. And comparing the recall election to the 2004 isn't even comparing apples to oranges, more like comparing apples to something that isn't even food.

[tinman64]

I agree with jfern, a lot of people who voted for Schwarzenegger will vote for Kerry out here.   Arnold won't have too much sway in favor of Bush; his "Girlie Men" comment about the legislature didn't play well with many Democratic voters who supported him last year.

Basically, Kerry will do well in the Bay Area and L.A; that will be enough to offset Bush, who will do good in San Diego, Orange County and the rural areas.  

[English]

When will people realise that CA isn't going to vote Bush!!! By this logic then Kerry should have a chance in Wyoming and the Dakotas!!! Ain't gonna happen!

[Gustaf]

Well, the summer robot polls don't tell us a lot. I think the CA poll is the one that's most off here though. I think CA is around 10% Kerry or so.

And others have already made their points on ticket splitting.