Nader ballot access

[phillies]

Massachusetts has ongoing petitioning for independents.  My sources report no signs that Nader is trying to collect signatures here, and it would require an effort for him to get on the ballot in MA.

Mind you, if Bush carries MA, the election has been won a long time ago.

[freedomburns]

From the map Lunar posted it looks like Nader has secured a place on the ballot in 29 states.  He will not be on the ballot, or possibly only as a write-in candidate in 13 states.  And eight states plus DC are still up in the air.   My perusal of his campaign shows that it is not very organized at the moment.  He has a considerable way to go in terms of creating a "national" campaign out of the Reform Party's nomination.

In 2000 he ran as a Green and his campaign was backed by the Green Party.  I voted for him because it was clear that CA would go into the Gore column and because I have supported the Greens in every election for the past 16 years.

In 2000 he was arguably the spoiler in Florida and New Hampshire, and possibly in Oregon and New Mexico as well.  He took more votes away from Gore than the margin of victory.  This year he is on the ballot for sure in a few hotly contested states, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, Minnesota and Arkansas.  In any of these states he could conceivably take enough votes from Kerry to throw the state, and possibly the election, to Bush.  Seriously.

If that doesn't make him the second most hated man in America he'll have to try something different, like maybe murdering his pregnant wife and dumping her in the bay.

[zorkpolitics]

Nader has field in NJ.  I signed his petition (I had to switch to independent first).

[Lunar]

Nader will likely make it on in Michigan.  He has indicated that if he can't get on with the Reform Party he'll accept the GOP collected signatures.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/07/20/nader.signatures.ap/index.html

Also interesting that Nader spent today meding with the press in Anchorage, Alaska.

[© tweed]

Also interesting that Nader spent today meding with the press in Anchorage, Alaska.

That was his best state in 2000, I wonder if that has something to do with it.

[Lunar]

Also interesting that Nader spent today meding with the press in Anchorage, Alaska.

That was his best state in 2000, I wonder if that has something to do with it.

Yes, of coures.  I was simply pointing it out as interesting because Nader's appearence in front of a bookstore in Anchorage is about all of the political activity that will happen in Alaska this campaign season.

[Lunar]

Nader's website claims to have submitted 14k signatures in Missouri (they need 10k valid).

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Is Nader being on the SC ballot due to the Independence Party (aka Reform Party) or due to the petition drive he held?  He submitted 11,000 signatures, but he needs 10,000 signatures and having 90% valid signatures doesn't seem likely to me (and won't be certified until August 16 anyway).  Another recent petition drive (to get the Southern Party recognized as a certified party) submitted around 11,000 signatures earlier this year and only about 9,000 of them turned out to be valid.  I can't see Nader's group doing better. given the haste with which they worked.  I'm not certain if the Independence Party considers itself to be still aligned with the Reform Party, and they have no presence on the web that I've been able to find, so I'm unsure of what if anything the Independence Party aims to do.

[Lunar]

So does this look right?



Nder submitted more than twice what he needed for West Virginia to I moved that over.

[Andrew]

According to the August 1st issue of Ballot Access News Nader has qualified for the ballot in 5 states (CO, FL, MS, NV and SC).

What is the Green Party's access status?

[IowaLibert]

What is the Green Party's access status?

Ballot Acces News shows Greens "already on"  (24 states)  -

Alaska   California   Colorado
Connecticut  Delaware   D.C.
Florida   Hawaii   Maine
Maryland  Mass.  Michigan
Minnesota  Mississippi  Montana
Neveda  New Mex   Oregon
Rhode I   S.Car   Utah
Vermont  Washington   Wisconsin

"finished" (5 states)  -
Arkansas   Missouri   Nebraska
NewJersey  Pennsylvania  

"too late"  (6 states)  -
Georgia   Illinois   Indiana
N. Caro  Oklahoma  Texas

The other 16 in various stages, but neither done nor too late.

Best case - 44 states + DC

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I do question it.  Every thing I've seen indicates that Nader will not succeed with his petition.  For example, http://wec.textamerica.com/?r=1160720.  The only way I can see Nader getting on the SC ballot is if the Independence Party (ex-Reform) has decided to nominate him.  All the other certified parties (Constitution, Democratic, Green, Libertarian, Republican, and United Citizens) have announced their candidates and they aren't named Nader and Camejo.  It is possible that he's gotten the nod from the Independence Party in the past month, but if that was the case, I can't see why Nader wasted time and money on a last minute petition drive here in SC.

[Gustaf]

The only ballots that matter are those where we can expect the race to be close.

And for the person who said that write-ins only got 0.02% in 2000, once again:

Bush margin of victory in Florida 2000: 0.01%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Nader was not on the ballot in 7 states.
He recieved no votes in North Carolina, South Dakota, and Oklahoma
He had write-in status in
Georgia  0.52%
Idaho 2.45% (still below nation-wide average)
Indiana 0.84%
Wyoming 2.12%

Average in write-in states = 0.886%
Average nationwide = 2.73% (average in on the ballot state is a bit higher)