Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 03:15:45 PM



Title: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 03:15:45 PM
N.B. These polls relate to all governors currently in office, and not those newly elected earlier this month.

Link (http://www.surveyusa.com/50State2006/State50StateGovernor061120.htm)



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Green = Approve
Red = Disapprove
Gray = Tied




Top 10:

1. John Hoeven (R-ND); 86-10
2. John Lynch (D-NH); 79-17
3. Jon Huntsman (R-UT); 77-18
4. Dave Freudenthal (D-WY); 77-19
5. Brad Henry (D-OK); 77-20
6. Dave Heineman (R-NE); 75-21
=7. Jodi Rell (R-CT); 74-23
=7. Joe Manchin (D-WV); 74-23
9. Bill Richardson (D-NM); 74-24
10. Phil Bredesen (D-TN); 73-24



Bottom 10:

41. Mitch Daniels (R-IN); 43-49
42. George Pataki (R-NY); 42-52
43. John Baldacci (D-ME); 42-54
44. Rick Perry (R-TX); 41-56
45. Kathleen Blanco (D-LA); 39-58
46. Matt Blunt (R-MO); 38-57
47. Ernie Fletcher (R-KY); 35-61
48. Mitt Romney (R-MA); 34-65
49. Frank Murkowski (R-AK); 19-78
50. Bob Taft (R-OH); 12-83


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 03:16:53 PM
Last month:


Link (http://www.surveyusa.com/50State2006/50StateGovernor061019State.htm)



(
)


Green = Approve
Red = Disapprove
Gray = Tied




Top 10:

1. John Hoeven (R-ND); 82-14
2. Jon Huntsman (R-UT); 75-22
3. John Lynch (D-NH); 74-21
4. Joe Manchin (D-WV); 71-23
5. Dave Freudenthal (D-WY); 71-24
6. Brian Schweitzer (D-MT); 70-23
7. Jodi Rell (R-CT); 70-27
8. Dave Heineman (R-NE); 69-24
9. Brad Henry (D-OK); 69-27
10. Bill Richardson (D-NM); 69-28


Bottom 10:

41. Jon Corzine (D-NJ); 41-53
42. Kathleen Blanco (D-LA); 41-57
43. Rick Perry (R-TX); 40-54
44. Ted Kulongoski (D-OR); 39-56
45. Jennifer Granholm (D-MI); 39-58
46. Rod Blagojevich (D-IL); 38-59
47. Matt Blunt (R-MO); 36-60
48. Ernie Fletcher (R-KY); 30-65
49. Bob Taft (R-OH); 18-78
50. Frank Murkowski (R-AK); 17-80


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: nini2287 on November 21, 2006, 03:17:40 PM
86%?  Wow..


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Gabu on November 21, 2006, 03:19:07 PM

Wow, what the heck happened to Romney?


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Moooooo on November 21, 2006, 03:20:46 PM
Looks like Ehrlich’s been through overboard.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 21, 2006, 03:21:44 PM

Republicans trying to win a Presidential nomination don't go over well there.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Rob on November 21, 2006, 03:23:06 PM

The people of Massachusetts must not appreciate his hard turn to the right. I wish he had run for reelection and lost to Patrick.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 03:31:02 PM
I noticed that Janet Napolitano's landslide re-election has increased her approval rating by 13 points since last month.

I also notice that Taft is now at his lowest rating ever.  Even his approval rating among fellow Republicans is 16%.  He's pretty much just given up at actually doing anything at all.  Which is certainly a good thing, believe me.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Adlai Stevenson on November 21, 2006, 04:20:07 PM
2007 watch:
Kentucky (Fletcher - R) 35%-61%: Vulnerable
Louisiana (Blanco - D) 39%-58%: Vulnerable
Mississippi (Barbour - R) 59%-37%: Safe



Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 04:22:48 PM
2007 watch:
Kentucky (Fletcher - R) 35%-61%: Vulnerable
Louisiana (Blanco - D) 39%-58%: Vulnerable
Mississippi (Barbour - R) 59%-37%: Safe

KY and LA are almost certain to switch parties.  Speaking of which, do the KY Democrats have any viable candidates yet?


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 21, 2006, 04:37:32 PM
Speaking of which, do the KY Democrats have any viable candidates yet?

Yes. Too many actually. Backroom negotiations are now well underway.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 21, 2006, 04:48:55 PM
Speaking of which, do the KY Democrats have any viable candidates yet?

Yes. Too many actually. Backroom negotiations are now well underway.

Hmm, I'll have to look into that at some point.


Also, looking ahead even further to 2008, Mitch Daniels and Matt Blunt are currently looking very vulnerable.  They'll really need to pull off something special, or they can both kiss re-election goodbye.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Deano963 on November 21, 2006, 05:35:25 PM
2007 watch:
Kentucky (Fletcher - R) 35%-61%: Vulnerable
Louisiana (Blanco - D) 39%-58%: Vulnerable
Mississippi (Barbour - R) 59%-37%: Safe

KY and LA are almost certain to switch parties.  Speaking of which, do the KY Democrats have any viable candidates yet?

Rep. Ben Chandler and Louisviulle Mayor Jerry Abramson are the obvious choices and the front-runners for the Dems, and either one would easily defeat Fletcher. They are reportedly in talks about running on a ticket together, with Abramson taking the Lt. Gov slot. The two of them on a ticket together would pretty much be unstoppable, even if the Repubs managed to replace Fletcher in the primary.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 21, 2006, 09:25:16 PM
As stated earlier, KY and LA will switch. There are a great deal of candidates running in KY. Check Politics1 for a long list and some commentary on the main page. One of the strongest potential candidates, Congressman Chandler (the man who lost to Fletcher in 2003), is believed to want to stay in Congress now that the Dems have the majority. Another heavy hitter would be Attorney General Stumbo.

The GOP should/probably will take out Fletcher in the primary but the Dems are still very much the favorites to take this office.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on November 22, 2006, 06:18:21 PM
When does Strickland take office? That should be the most joyous day in Ohio's recent history.

ahahahahahha@Romney. Please nominate him!


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 22, 2006, 07:03:23 PM

ahahahahahha@Romney. Please nominate him!

I'm no Romney fan but, in all fairness, I really don't think his ratings in MA, a state we don't need to win, will mean all that much in the GOP primary or even the General.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Gabu on November 22, 2006, 07:37:26 PM

ahahahahahha@Romney. Please nominate him!

I'm no Romney fan but, in all fairness, I really don't think his ratings in MA, a state we don't need to win, will mean all that much in the GOP primary or even the General.

Depends.  I think it would certainly hamper his ability to talk about his accomplishments in Massachusetts if all his opponents needed to do was say "You couldn't have done that good a job give how much your ex-constituents hate you."


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 22, 2006, 10:44:44 PM

ahahahahahha@Romney. Please nominate him!

I'm no Romney fan but, in all fairness, I really don't think his ratings in MA, a state we don't need to win, will mean all that much in the GOP primary or even the General.

Depends.  I think it would certainly hamper his ability to talk about his accomplishments in Massachusetts if all his opponents needed to do was say "You couldn't have done that good a job give how much your ex-constituents hate you."

And then he'd ramble off what he did and say, "They turned against me when I started to speak up for the conservatives in the party, the conservatives that Candidate X are ignoring, blah blah blah."


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Smash255 on November 23, 2006, 02:36:53 AM

ahahahahahha@Romney. Please nominate him!

I'm no Romney fan but, in all fairness, I really don't think his ratings in MA, a state we don't need to win, will mean all that much in the GOP primary or even the General.

Depends.  I think it would certainly hamper his ability to talk about his accomplishments in Massachusetts if all his opponents needed to do was say "You couldn't have done that good a job give how much your ex-constituents hate you."

And then he'd ramble off what he did and say, "They turned against me when I started to speak up for the conservatives in the party, the conservatives that Candidate X are ignoring, blah blah blah."

it may not hurt him in the Primary, but if he wins the Primary it could hurt him in the General because he could be seen as turning his back on the moderates who elected him to get in good with the conservatives.  We all know how well the flip flop line worked against Kerry.  Imagine the impact it would have on  someone whose whole platform has basically flip flopped.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Gustaf on November 23, 2006, 11:03:55 AM
Being impopular in Massachusetts won't hurt a Republican much in a Republican primary. I'm not really sure whether it would do all that much in the general either..."the people of Massachusetts don't like this man" doesn't sound like much of an attack to me. It may even help him... :P


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Joe Republic on November 23, 2006, 12:14:59 PM
I know he's already said as much, but I can't begin to imagine how much Romney is regretting accepting the offer to run in MA, instead of his more 'ancestral' Michigan.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 23, 2006, 12:18:37 PM
I know he's already said as much, but I can't begin to imagine how much Romney is regretting accepting the offer to run in MA, instead of his more 'ancestral' Michigan.

I'm sure he had Presidential aspirations back then so I have no idea why he chose MA instead of Michigan. The funniest thing of all was how Romney actually campaigned for and with the President in 2004 in Michigan. I remember a rally where he was right next to the President in the state as if he was the Governor there.


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Adlai Stevenson on November 23, 2006, 12:26:25 PM
But would Romney have been re-elected in 2006, had he even won in 2002?  I  think every Governor is inaugurated on 3rd January 2007 aren't they?


Title: Re: November SUSA Governor Approval Ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 23, 2006, 12:29:17 PM
But would Romney have been re-elected in 2006, had he even won in 2002?  I  think every Governor is inaugurated on 3rd January 2007 aren't they?

Maybe he would have stepped aside. His ratings wouldn't be as bad as they are in MA because openly running for the GOP Presidential nomination in MA is not going to be the most welcomed idea and he wouldn't have said something like "On second thought, I should have moved to and ran in..."