Did John Kerry really blow it in 2004? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 05:09:57 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Did John Kerry really blow it in 2004? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Did John Kerry really blow it in 2004?  (Read 4363 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,338
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: January 24, 2022, 02:48:46 PM »

Ohio 2004 was also like Florida 2016 where Kerry got the votes he needed in the Democratic Parts of the state(NE OH) where he even outperformed Clinton 96 in raw% but ended up losing as he got swamped in the rest of the state

However, it would have been so ironic if Kerry won Ohio by a razor thin margin and subsequently the presidency, while losing the popular vote. Four years after the opposite happened.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,338
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2022, 03:22:14 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2022, 03:37:42 PM by President Johnson »

I still think the VP choices of the two Democrats who ran against W in 2000 and 2004 could have made all the difference. Not often is it the case that a VP pick is that decisive but those were the years where it certainly mattered most as they were both close elections. Gore/Graham & Kerry/Gephardt might have made all the difference in those years.

For 2000, I would certainly agree. Especially if Al Gore chose Bob Graham. I'm not so sure it would have made enough of a difference in 2004 given that election was nearly as close. Still close, but Dubya won by more than a hair this time around.

Both Lieberman and Edwards were weak choices though. No question about that.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,338
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2024, 04:09:30 PM »

Other than the appointment of a Supreme Court Justice it's hard to see the benefits of a Democrat winning in 2004 compared to the electoral benefits of the 2006 & 2008 waves that helped Obama get such a large majority.

In a similar vein to how Clinton winning in 2016 would have risked the GOP getting 60 senate seats by 2020.

Definitely, 2004 in a sense was poisoned chalice. And Dubya lucky that he was already in office for two terms. I guess any president running for reelection in actual 2008 would have lost.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 13 queries.