Youngkin is closing in on 60 % Approval Rating in Blue Virginia!
If those Approvals stay that high and Biden wins Re-Election Lt. Governor Winsome Sears is going to beat Spanberger and will be the next Governor of Virginia.
Larry Hogan and Charlie Baker were in 70s territory approvals. Popularity of a popular but term-limited incumbent can't always be transferred to their party's candidate. Didn't even work with Clinton in 2000 and Obama in 2016. There are certainly more examples at the state level.