Pennsylvania Statewide Discussion

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/TomLehmanWGAL/status/1617972245166706689

The State House is in recess until Feb 27th and the anti-abortion and voting restrictions amendments had to be passed by Jan 27th, so they won't show up on the ballot for the state  primary.

[Nyvin]

I feel better about this race than any other in November I think.

[Nyvin]

2015: 26%
2017: 20%
2019: 29%
2021: 22%
2023: ~31%

Philly turnout will actually be higher than even 2019 when Trump was in office, and the highest % turnout for an off year election since 2003 - no small feat given its a Biden presidency too. Obviously again, not a great number isolated by itself, but in the context of philly elections, pretty substantial

https://twitter.com/micahmj11/status/1722352821335409127

Could Shapiro's automatic voter registration order be a reason for this?   It seems like it might have helped quite a bit.

[Nyvin]

Are there any polls of the primary in PA-1?

[Nyvin]

Garrity is also a complete sell-out to Jeff Yass.

[Nyvin]

It really seems like the "list candidate's home county" thing works out massively in favor of the west and central counties and is often to detriment of SEPA, at least in the Dem primaries.