Opinion: Why 2024 will be different then 2020 (user search)
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  Opinion: Why 2024 will be different then 2020 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Opinion: Why 2024 will be different then 2020  (Read 590 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,757


« on: May 01, 2024, 11:40:40 AM »
« edited: May 01, 2024, 11:46:03 AM by 2016 »

Data backs that up!

On May 1st 2020 then Candidate Joe Biden led Donald Trump by an Average of 5.3 Percentage Points Nationally (According to RealClearPolitics now RealClearPolling).

Four years later former President Trump leads President Biden by an Average of 1.5 Percentage Points.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,757


« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2024, 02:08:09 PM »

I mean, it makes sense, even if I'm not happy about it. Most voters have forgotten about COVID, which is just like forgetting about deadly mass shootings, just on a much larger scale. People have forgotten how much of a disaster Trump's first term was, and don't realize that there's every indication his second term will be far worse.
According to 538 Bidens JA has a net negative of -17. If that's the same at the end of June/beginning of July Biden is in serious trouble.



And if you look at Historical Trends here Pres Biden is already headed for Defeat.

Republicans have labelled Biden the 2nd coming of Jimmy Carter and it's hard to argue against that for now given these sort of Numbers.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,757


« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2024, 07:18:42 PM »

More Data...



So Biden was leading in States like Georgia & North Carolina by a fair amount heading into the Summer of Riots (BLM, George Floyd, Jacob Blake) in 2020 now these States have flipped by almost 10 Percentage Points on Average.
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