Pennsylvania Primaries Thread (4/23) (Non-Presidential) (user search)
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June 08, 2024, 09:49:39 AM
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  Pennsylvania Primaries Thread (4/23) (Non-Presidential) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania Primaries Thread (4/23) (Non-Presidential)  (Read 767 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: April 23, 2024, 03:53:41 PM »

Fitz was 66-34 in 2022 and 63-37 in 2020 so I suspect he'll probably be around there once again
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2024, 04:02:22 PM »

Anyone know the chances Fitzpatrick loses tonight?

PA-10 D: Three candidates are competing for the right to lose to Scott Perry

Why right to lose?  A firebrand conservative Freedom Caucus member is hardly the perfect fit for a urban/suburban, left trending Trump+4 district.

Perry's margin in 2022 wasn't that close.

Daniels only did slightly worse in 2022 than DePasquale did in 2020 despite a much bigger investment from Dems in 2020 (and Prez turnout.) Daniels was basically left for dead in 2022 and still only lost by 7.6%.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,051


« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2024, 08:34:39 AM »

I just checked the margin in the 1st and it looks like Fitzpatrick just barely got over 60%, which is shocking even if the race was called pretty early.

Yeah, this was actually Fitz's worse performance in the last 3 cycles.

63/37 - 2020
66/34 - 2022
61/39 - 2024

If Houck was actually funded, this might've got interesting...
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