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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Congressional Elections
(Moderator:
Joe Republic
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NY-09, Special Election Thread
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Topic: NY-09, Special Election Thread (Read 31651 times)
krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5146
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #900 on:
October 04, 2011, 01:05:05 pm »
Quote from: Meeker on September 12, 2011, 03:52:28 pm
Quote from: NY Jew on September 12, 2011, 03:49:54 pm
dedicated to all my critics (hope you have fun tomorrow, because the Jewish Community will be happy though we would have been much happier if this election was not necessary (and I wasn't referring to Weiner's problems (though that too)))
just to repost some of the comments that were said after I made my prediction on August 11th that this will be won based on marriage redefinition (now even a Philip Goldfeder (Orthodox politician running for the 23 Assembly district) is trying to separate him self from Weprin based on that)
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on August 11, 2011, 10:50:53 am
Careful you don't go throwing up on yourself with all that spinning you're doing there.
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on September 02, 2011, 12:30:05 am
That's the third time you post this nonsense. I think we got the message, so please take your idiocy and get the hell out of here.
((((()((())(((
More funnies. Great to see who was correct every step of the way.
"When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him."
«
Last Edit: October 04, 2011, 01:13:08 pm by krazen1211
»
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Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13927
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #901 on:
October 04, 2011, 03:36:48 pm »
You've got a problem, bud
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Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 52999
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #902 on:
October 04, 2011, 07:51:50 pm »
Behavior of that sort doesn't do anyone any favours.
---
Anyways, that's quite a bit closer, right? The same thing happened in this district at the last normal election. So... if his election had been a tad closer, would it have bee possible for a wrong winner to declare victory and get seated (I think that's the American term)?
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'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
NY Jew
YaBB God
Posts: 544
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #903 on:
October 05, 2011, 10:36:10 pm »
here are some sampling of how much Turner won by in some Orthodox areas (in Brooklyn I didn't do 41 and 59) (there are also other majority Orthodox Jewish EDs in Queens and also a significant amount Orthodox Jews in Brooklyn under Ave T (though not a majority))
Turner won
by 603 votes in the 44th AD (8 EDs)
by 90 votes in the 47th AD (2 EDs)
by 745 votes in the 48th AD (9 EDs)
by 1903 votes in the 45th AD in all EDs that cover ground above Ave T (25 EDs)
by 896 votes in Kew Garden Hills EDs in the 27th (12) (in the most Jewish one of all these Turner won by 251 votes)
total of all these 4237 more votes for Turner then Weprin
final results of the entire election Turner won by 3686 votes
in short there is no way that Turner Wins with out the Orthodox vote which came primarily due to marriage redefinition.
«
Last Edit: October 05, 2011, 10:42:07 pm by NY Jew
»
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Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 24373
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #904 on:
October 05, 2011, 11:55:34 pm »
Quote from: Sibboleth on October 04, 2011, 07:51:50 pm
Behavior of that sort doesn't do anyone any favours.
---
Anyways, that's quite a bit closer, right? The same thing happened in this district at the last normal election. So... if his election had been a tad closer, would it have bee possible for a wrong winner to declare victory and get seated (I think that's the American term)?
Correct verb American style, but no. It is highly unlikely that Turner would have been seated if there were some loose ends. The Dems would have howled. It would have required them to have been silent. But if he were "seated," and the numbers were reversed, he would have been "unseated."
Those uncounted precincts seemed to have never been counted, however (I checked and the numbers did not increase). They must have merged precincts, and nobody told AP. Thus the margin was less, because the "uncounted" were mostly in the Pubbie zone.
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BigSkyBob
YaBB God
Posts: 2223
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #905 on:
October 06, 2011, 11:42:22 am »
Quote from: Sibboleth on October 04, 2011, 07:51:50 pm
Behavior of that sort doesn't do anyone any favours.
---
Anyways, that's quite a bit closer, right? The same thing happened in this district at the last normal election. So... if his election had been a tad closer, would it have bee possible for a wrong winner to declare victory and get seated (I think that's the American term)?
"Sworn in."
Logged
The real scandal in Washington is not the bribery, corruption, or sex. It is how poorly we are governed.
NY Jew
YaBB God
Posts: 544
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #906 on:
October 06, 2011, 11:53:11 pm »
interesting numbers for a special election in many areas Turner got more votes (not %) then he did last time (any guesses what all these districts have in common)
in the 22th AD
2011 Turner (17 votes) Weprin (71 votes)
2010 Turner (44 votes) Weiner (136 votes)
in the 23th AD
2011 Turner (6164 votes) Weprin (4322 votes)
2010 Turner (7144 votes) Weiner (8098 votes)
in the 24th AD
2011 Turner (1476 votes) Weprin (2914 votes)
2010 Turner (2335 votes) Weiner (5055 votes)
in the 25th AD
2011 Turner (1309 votes) Weprin (2243 votes)
2010 Turner (1733 votes) Weiner (4348 votes)
in the 26th AD
2011 Turner (38 votes) Weprin (43 votes)
2010 Turner (88 votes) Weiner (119 votes)
in the 27th AD
2011 Turner (
3714 votes
) Weprin (4485 votes)
2010 Turner (
3529 votes
) Weiner (8505 votes)
in the 28th AD
2011 Turner (6436 votes) Weprin (8546 votes)
2010 Turner (7949 votes) Weiner (15585 votes)
in the 29th AD
2011 Turner (4 votes) Weprin (31 votes)
2010 Turner (6 votes) Weiner (73 votes)
in the 30th AD
2011 Turner (1002 votes) Weprin (667 votes)
2010 Turner (1641 votes) Weiner (1778 votes)
in the 31th AD
2011 Turner (4 votes) Weprin (10 votes)
2010 Turner (3 votes) Weiner (9 votes)
in the 35th AD
2011 Turner (
343 votes
) Weprin (403 votes)
2010 Turner (
333 votes
) Weiner (892 votes)
in the 37th AD
2011 Turner (110 votes) Weprin (93 votes)
2010 Turner (207 votes) Weiner (260 votes)
in the 38th AD
2011 Turner (1721 votes) Weprin (2089 votes)
2010 Turner (2454 votes) Weiner (5123 votes)
in the 41th AD
2011 Turner (3591 votes) Weprin (2517 votes)
2010 Turner (3832 votes) Weiner (5482 votes)
in the 44th AD
2011 Turner (
836 votes
) Weprin (233 votes)
2010 Turner (
693 votes
) Weiner (651 votes)
in the 45th AD
2011 Turner (
5891 votes
) Weprin (2588 votes)
2010 Turner (
5573 votes
) Weiner (5536 votes)
in the 46th AD
2011 Turner (17 votes) Weprin (25 votes)
2010 Turner (27 votes) Weiner (73 votes)
in the 48th AD
2011 Turner (
1031 votes
) Weprin (286 votes)
2010 Turner (
959 votes
) Weiner (925 votes)
in the 59th AD
2011 Turner (3517 votes) Weprin (2059 votes)
2010 Turner (4466 votes) Weiner (4249 votes)
Logged
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11058
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #907 on:
October 07, 2011, 12:22:40 am »
Woah, this is still relevant?
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Summary Of My Political Beliefs
NY Jew
YaBB God
Posts: 544
Re: NY-09, Special Election Thread
«
Reply #908 on:
October 07, 2011, 09:43:43 am »
Quote from: Scott on October 07, 2011, 12:22:40 am
Woah, this is still relevant?
yes while this district is unique, the demographics that won it in this district are spread throughout the North East and i can see similar results to this in a few other North East Districts on all levels of government depending how redistricting goes. (and assuming the Republicans in the North East can grow a brain they can start winning other CDs in the North East)
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