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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
International Elections
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Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)
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Author
Topic: Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September) (Read 31114 times)
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #250 on:
January 24, 2012, 12:08:23 pm »
The shine is rubbing off. Like the ADQ in 2007, once people get a good look at the old-new shiny... the deluge. Right now my best guess would be a Liberal minority propped up by the CAQ or vice-versa.
CSD: 'Tis consistent with other polls.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
Posts: 8353
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #251 on:
January 24, 2012, 03:12:39 pm »
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip
Note to self: use brain more.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #252 on:
January 24, 2012, 03:24:43 pm »
In that case we have another election within a year due to the instability. All 3 of Marois' potential successors- Gerrard, McKay and Curzi, lose their seats. So she might well stay on as leader despite the worst PQ result since 1970. Should be even more interesting once the PCQ starts to poll.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Smid
YaBB God
Posts: 5391
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #253 on:
January 24, 2012, 03:41:29 pm »
Great work, Teddy!
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #254 on:
January 24, 2012, 04:22:18 pm »
Landry snipes at Marois, again.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/dossiers/crise-au-pq/201201/24/01-4488708-bernard-landry-jette-la-pierre-a-pauline-marois.php
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/debats/opinions/201201/23/01-4488622-cap-sur-lindependance.php
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
canadian1
Rookie
Posts: 33
Political Matrix
E: -9.35, S: -6.35
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #255 on:
January 24, 2012, 05:26:44 pm »
Those results seem very probable, Teddy. At this point, we've got to take account of the new boundaries, which have just gone into effect (as of Saturday the 21st). I wouldn't be surprised if the CAQ won all three new ridings.
Logged
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6520
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #256 on:
January 24, 2012, 08:43:45 pm »
Three things.
1. Who is Gerrard? You mean Bernard Drainville?
2. Ugh, both my MNAs would still be Liberals.
3. My home area still would be 2-2 PQ-Lib. I agree with that, considering than ADQ never had good results there
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #257 on:
January 24, 2012, 09:20:24 pm »
No, Nicolas Gerrard.
2) Weil will still be my MNA unless Jennings is recruited for the CAQ.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6520
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #258 on:
January 24, 2012, 11:22:22 pm »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on January 24, 2012, 09:20:24 pm
No, Nicolas Gerrard.
2) Weil will still be my MNA unless Jennings is recruited for the CAQ.
Nicolas Girard? The guy who took Boisclair's seat (Gouin)?
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #259 on:
January 24, 2012, 11:27:03 pm »
Same one. Seeing Beaudoin, Curzi, Tomassi and Lapointe go down would make my election night. Though Tomassi's not likely to be defeated, but one can still hope...
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6520
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #260 on:
January 25, 2012, 08:16:25 am »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on January 24, 2012, 11:27:03 pm
Same one. Seeing Beaudoin, Curzi, Tomassi and Lapointe go down would make my election night. Though Tomassi's not likely to be defeated, but one can still hope...
Tomassi is likely to retire, I think.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #261 on:
January 25, 2012, 08:22:46 am »
Double whammy for Duceppe, perhaps more incoming?
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-canadienne/201201/24/01-4489087-gilles-duceppe-de-nouveau-eclabousse.php?utm_categorieinterne=trafficdrivers&utm_contenuinterne=cyberpresse_B12_en-manchette_558_section_POS1
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6520
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #262 on:
January 28, 2012, 01:36:43 am »
A new poll, Léger Marketing-Le Devoir
CAQ: 32%
PLQ: 26%
PQ: 25%
QS: 9%
Greens: 6%
Franco vote: 36 CAQ, 30 PQ, 18 PLQ
http://www.ledevoir.com/documents/pdf/sondage28janvier.pdf
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
Posts: 8353
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #263 on:
January 28, 2012, 02:40:31 am »
CAQ members are split on sovereignty 41-47, leaning against.
Top issues...
PLQ, healthcare and jobs
CAQ, healthcare, jobs, and corruption
PQ, healthcare, and sovereignty
QS, healthcare, and education
sovereigntists, healthcare, jobs, and sovereignty
federalists, healthcare, and jobs.
«
Last Edit: January 28, 2012, 02:48:03 am by Teddy (IDS Legislator)
»
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip
Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
Posts: 8353
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #264 on:
January 28, 2012, 02:53:33 am »
Oh, and the obligatory seat projection.
C54
L39
P28
S4
Hopefully the letters are obvious, I'd like to keep using them.
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip
Note to self: use brain more.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #265 on:
January 30, 2012, 03:35:29 pm »
PQ executive meeting wraps up well for Marois.
http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341397/marois-finit-par-dire-oui-au-rip
Leger: CAQ 33, PLQ 27, PQ 25.
http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341333/sondage-leger-marketing-le-devoir-the-gazette-une-victoire-morale-pour-pauline-marois
No comment.
http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341330/le-spq-libre-se-rallie-inconditionnellement
No. Just no.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201201/28/01-4490364-les-pequistes-confiants-de-prendre-le-pouvoir.php
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6520
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #266 on:
January 30, 2012, 04:01:52 pm »
Well, they aren't so far of leading in polls.
They just need to slip ahead in Franco vote, and that's it. Only 6% back, which is possible to gain back, considering how volatile is Quebec.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #267 on:
January 30, 2012, 04:07:15 pm »
Plus the PCQ will split votes with the CAQ. While I wouldn't be very happy with a PQ victory, (I just figure a provincial NDP government is taking over rather than pantsh**tting about "teh ev0l sepratists"), we badly need a change in government and handing the government over to a bunch of neophytes is definitely not something I'd be happy about either.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #268 on:
January 31, 2012, 10:07:06 am »
Usually lawyers are big PLQ donors, so this should worry the Pelquistes somewhat.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201201/30/01-4490977-dons-a-la-caq-des-avocats-genereux.php
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #269 on:
February 03, 2012, 10:03:36 pm »
CAQ is still nonexistent so far as Anglos are concerned.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/03/01-4492406-un-ex-president-dalliance-quebec-appuie-la-caq.php
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
Posts: 8353
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #270 on:
February 04, 2012, 02:38:52 am »
They need a slogan to sell themselves. How about:
CAQ, man, vote for it. CAQ, man, they'r the sh
it!
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip
Note to self: use brain more.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #271 on:
February 04, 2012, 03:51:22 pm »
Oh Lordy- QS wants to outflank the Peqs on language.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/04/01-4492649-quebec-solidaire-se-prepare-au-prochain-scrutin.php
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
lilTommy
YaBB God
Posts: 635
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -5.04
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #272 on:
February 09, 2012, 02:01:23 pm »
Jennings says NON to CAQ run
http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/Liberal+Jennings+says/6127245/story.html
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #273 on:
February 09, 2012, 02:04:06 pm »
Yes please.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/09/01-4494152-environnement-la-caq-promet-une-reflexion-daffaires.php
Get a slogan which hasn't been used in every campaign for the past 9 years.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/09/01-4494272-leconomie-et-lemploi-seront-les-enjeux-de-la-campagne-dit-charest.php
Duh. Both are splinter groups in the first place.
http://www.cyberpresse.ca/le-soleil/actualites/politique/201202/08/01-4494017-option-nationale-porte-ouverte-a-une-fusion.php
Keep it classy, Pelquistes.
http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/342176/des-liberaux-denigrent-l-anglais-de-legault
Jennings: I said all along she wouldn't accept.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7587
Re: Quebec 2012/2013
«
Reply #274 on:
February 09, 2012, 02:12:13 pm »
Here's the Legault video in question.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c38sYyTNcIc
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
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