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May 23, 2013, 12:50:31 pm
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Greece 2012
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Topic: Greece 2012 (Read 45291 times)
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #25 on:
December 20, 2011, 02:04:39 pm »
Quote from: Χahar on December 20, 2011, 01:37:43 pm
Proportional representation with a majority bonus combines the worst features of PR (
unelected legislators
) with the worst features of FPTP (legislature unrepresentative of popular vote).
Gosh, how many times will I have to repeat that ?
PREFERENTIAL VOTING
And besides that, PR with a small majority bonus is still way more representative of popular vote than any form of constituency-based system.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #26 on:
December 20, 2011, 03:12:09 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 02:04:39 pm
And besides that, PR with a small majority bonus is still way more representative of popular vote than any form of constituency-based system.
But a system based on single member constituencies is not supposed to be representative of the overall popular vote.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #27 on:
December 20, 2011, 03:16:56 pm »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on December 20, 2011, 03:12:09 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 02:04:39 pm
And besides that, PR with a small majority bonus is still way more representative of popular vote than any form of constituency-based system.
But a system based on single member constituencies is not supposed to be representative of the overall popular vote.
Yes, I've heard people who consider it's more important to represent "the country's diversity" and to have MPs closely tied to a small community. Besides the fact FPP rarely actually achieve that (because that requires 1-a very large number of seats 2-that MPs are actually freeminded and not party hacks ; I don't know any country where those two criteria are met, and most don't meet either of them), I personally don't think it's important at all.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #28 on:
December 20, 2011, 03:19:52 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 03:16:56 pm
Yes, I've heard people who consider it's more important to represent "the country's diversity" and to have MPs closely tied to a small community. Besides the fact FPP rarely actually achieve that (because that requires 1-a very large number of seats 2-that MPs are actually freeminded and not party hacks ; I don't know any country where those two criteria are met, and most don't meet either of them), I personally don't think it's important at all.
The actual problem is that constituencies are rarely drawn with that kind of thing in mind. And that, even when they are, not every constituency is a stronghold for party x, party y, or whoever. And that, even in strongholds, there are always people who hate the dominant party. And so on.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #29 on:
December 20, 2011, 03:43:31 pm »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on December 20, 2011, 03:19:52 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 03:16:56 pm
Yes, I've heard people who consider it's more important to represent "the country's diversity" and to have MPs closely tied to a small community. Besides the fact FPP rarely actually achieve that (because that requires 1-a very large number of seats 2-that MPs are actually freeminded and not party hacks ; I don't know any country where those two criteria are met, and most don't meet either of them), I personally don't think it's important at all.
The actual problem is that constituencies are rarely drawn with that kind of thing in mind. And that, even when they are, not every constituency is a stronghold for party x, party y, or whoever. And that, even in strongholds, there are always people who hate the dominant party. And so on.
You're right, this is certainly the biggest issue. Further reason why, even in the only logic that would make FPP legitimate, it's still ineffective.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #30 on:
December 20, 2011, 03:50:12 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 03:43:31 pm
You're right, this is certainly the biggest issue. Further reason why, even in the only logic that would make FPP legitimate, it's still ineffective.
Well, no electoral system is exactly
effective
, at least not all the time, at least not always in practice. But rigged PR systems are just
silly
.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #31 on:
December 20, 2011, 04:12:03 pm »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on December 20, 2011, 03:50:12 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 03:43:31 pm
You're right, this is certainly the biggest issue. Further reason why, even in the only logic that would make FPP legitimate, it's still ineffective.
Well, no electoral system is exactly
effective
, at least not all the time, at least not always in practice. But rigged PR systems are just
silly
.
Why so ? I hear this so often but I've never heard a convincing argument of what's so wrong with majority-bonus PR.
Consider this system : national PR, 10% majority bonus, 4% electoral threshold. That means that the assembly's composition will be, in the worst case, similar to the PV at around 80%. That also means the winning party needs around 40% of the popular vote to win a majority. The system is reasonably fair, and makes electoral majorities far easier (coalitions might still be the rule, but we'd avoid deadlocked parliaments). If you want popularly elected MPs, just make the attribution of seats to people (not the repartition to parties) based on multi-members constituencies and use preferential voting. Problem solved.
How can this system be considered worse than any kind of consituency-based system ?
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #32 on:
December 20, 2011, 05:13:29 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 04:12:03 pm
Why so ? I hear this so often but I've never heard a convincing argument of what's so wrong with majority-bonus PR
Because it is an attempt to have your cake and eat it. If you accept the principle of proportionality, then you also have to accept (as a direct consequence) that traditional majoritarianism is less than entirely ideal. It's the sort of 'solution' to the 'problems' caused by proportional systems that could only ever be beloved by the political elite (however defined).
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #33 on:
December 21, 2011, 06:00:41 am »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on December 20, 2011, 05:13:29 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 04:12:03 pm
Why so ? I hear this so often but I've never heard a convincing argument of what's so wrong with majority-bonus PR
Because it is an attempt to have your cake and eat it. If you accept the principle of proportionality, then you also have to accept (as a direct consequence) that traditional majoritarianism is less than entirely ideal. It's the sort of 'solution' to the 'problems' caused by proportional systems that could only ever be beloved by the political elite (however defined).
I really don't get it. What's wrong with having the cake and eating it, if we actually can ? Majority bonus PR is infinitely more representative than any constituency-based system, and avoids most of its shortcomings. I don't know why we should see things in black or white (either a perfectly fair system which causes instability, or an utterly unfair system which ensures strong majorities) instead of looking for pragmatic solutions which take into account both issues ?
Of course, it's not my favorite system. I support full PR in countries that have prove able to have a stable political system with it (namely, the scandinavians or Germany). But sometimes full PR is a disaster (say, 4th Republic France, Weimar Germany, etc...) and in such case I prefer to correct it with majority bonuses rather than swtching to a really unfair system like FPP.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
republicanism
Sr. Member
Posts: 417
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #34 on:
December 21, 2011, 01:10:23 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 21, 2011, 06:00:41 am
I really don't get it. What's wrong with having the cake and eating it, if we actually can ? Majority bonus PR is infinitely more representative than any constituency-based system, and avoids most of its shortcomings.
But in a constituency-based system, every member of parliament can rely on a personal vote. He is supported by more people in his constituency than anyone else. That is a great thing if you ask me. The single MP is more independent in his voting, and, at least theoretically: No one is really save.
Tony Blair could have lost his super-safe constituency in Newcastle (right?, somewhere in Durham I think), if only a few thousand people voted another way around as they did. That is the charme of FPTP: No one is really save.
On the other hand, Schröder, Müntefering, Steinmeier and Steinbrück would have been elected in the Bundestag even if the SPD would have been down to 5,1% in 2009. No voter could have done anything to avoid that.
And majority bonus PR combines the non-proportionality of FPTP and the ultimate power of party bosses of list-PF.
Logged
PM
Economic score: -6.32
Social score: -0.17
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #35 on:
December 21, 2011, 02:34:55 pm »
Now, you're really pissing me off.
Quote from: Antonio V on December 20, 2011, 02:04:39 pm
Gosh, how many times will I have to repeat that ?
PREFERENTIAL VOTING
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56538
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #36 on:
December 21, 2011, 02:42:52 pm »
More seriously, the represent-a-community thing is why the idea doesn't seem as offensive in local elections (for smaller municipalities) as it does in federal parliaments.
And besides, a threshold to representation is not really all
that
different from a plurality bonus.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
RodPresident
YaBB God
Posts: 743
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #37 on:
December 21, 2011, 02:49:25 pm »
Draft Arianna Huffington to run to be Greek PM...
Logged
Χahar
Xahar
YaBB God
Posts: 36861
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #38 on:
December 21, 2011, 04:56:00 pm »
Open-list PR isn't nearly the same as single-member districts when it comes to members having a personal mandate. I've never heard of a person losing his seat because of open-list PR; indeed, the only example that I can think of offhand where it made a difference was in southern Italy in the good old days, when DC voters would also check the name of the local boss.
Logged
Quote from: Sibboleth on February 28, 2009, 04:08:37 pm
I'm not sure if this new tendency to appeal to the apparent inherent evil of Xahar in all things even remotely related to forum policing or this damn game is especially helpful.
Iannis
Full Member
Posts: 209
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #39 on:
December 22, 2011, 06:28:23 am »
Quote from: republicanism on December 21, 2011, 01:10:23 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on December 21, 2011, 06:00:41 am
I really don't get it. What's wrong with having the cake and eating it, if we actually can ? Majority bonus PR is infinitely more representative than any constituency-based system, and avoids most of its shortcomings.
But in a constituency-based system, every member of parliament can rely on a personal vote. He is supported by more people in his constituency than anyone else. That is a great thing if you ask me. The single MP is more independent in his voting, and, at least theoretically: No one is really save.
Tony Blair could have lost his super-safe constituency in Newcastle (right?, somewhere in Durham I think), if only a few thousand people voted another way around as they did. That is the charme of FPTP: No one is really save.
On the other hand, Schröder, Müntefering, Steinmeier and Steinbrück would have been elected in the Bundestag even if the SPD would have been down to 5,1% in 2009. No voter could have done anything to avoid that.
And majority bonus PR combines the non-proportionality of FPTP and the ultimate power of party bosses of list-PF.
Quite the opposite, assuming that strongholds exist, a party leader can be elected even if his party gets 0,5% if in his constituency he's strong (a boss), but ignored in 99% of the country, with FPTP. But we know that everywhere people vote according to a national sentiment, also in Britain where the losses or gains are quite widespread regardless the qualities of local MPs. Indeed, I don't think thay in 1997 all tory MPs had become so hated from their local voters, the were just voting against tory as a national party. so it's right that if a national party is over 5% its leaders have to be in parliament, because nationally that party exists with some force.
And if you add the preferential vote, it's even better.
Logged
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56538
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #40 on:
December 28, 2011, 02:51:07 pm »
Elections postponed to april in the hope that the government can maybe actually agree on anything for the next two months at any rate.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Ethelberth
YaBB God
Posts: 1110
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #41 on:
December 28, 2011, 04:21:45 pm »
In Finnish open-list PR the important people always get unelected even if party share remains same.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
Posts: 8350
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #42 on:
December 28, 2011, 07:53:18 pm »
Quote from: Minion of Midas on December 28, 2011, 02:51:07 pm
Elections postponed to april in the hope that the government can maybe actually agree on anything for the next two months at any rate.
Democracy + dealing with controversial but important sh*t = not work properly.
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip
Note to self: use brain more.
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
Posts: 8052
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #43 on:
December 28, 2011, 11:35:25 pm »
Quote from: TheNewTeddy (TEDDY) on December 28, 2011, 07:53:18 pm
Quote from: Minion of Midas on December 28, 2011, 02:51:07 pm
Elections postponed to april in the hope that the government can maybe actually agree on anything for the next two months at any rate.
Democracy + dealing with controversial but important sh*t = not work properly.
(Democracy/Theocracy) + dealing with controversial but important sh*t = not work properly.
Fixed.
Logged
Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30149
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #44 on:
February 03, 2012, 05:07:49 pm »
Number of polls now showing the PASOK in third or worst place behind the Commies or other leftie parties. Also, LAOS seems to be crashing and burning a bit.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Ghyl Tarvoke
Gully Foyle
YaBB God
Posts: 9936
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #45 on:
February 03, 2012, 05:16:50 pm »
Quote from: Hermione on February 03, 2012, 05:07:49 pm
Number of polls now showing the PASOK in third or worst place behind the Commies or other leftie parties. Also, LAOS seems to be crashing and burning a bit.
Source?
Don't doubting it but you would like to see it. Are the Commies in second then?
Logged
Quote from: Liveline On Séan Quinn
These are ordinary people Joe, he just wanted to buy a bank
Quote from: Some guy on Facebook
Guess it's a question of perspective & choice of narrative method ...
... and that, by the way, is also one of the reasons why none of Eric Hobsbawm's books has been turned into a succesful Broadway musical so far.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24678
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #46 on:
February 03, 2012, 05:56:31 pm »
Have the elections already been scheduled ? And in this case, when will they be held ?
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
RodPresident
YaBB God
Posts: 743
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #47 on:
February 03, 2012, 08:41:44 pm »
LAOS made the dumbest thing to a anti-establishment party, join government and worse than join government is to join a puppet austherity government. They're
cleggized
.
Logged
Јas
Jas
YaBB God
Posts: 9627
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #48 on:
February 04, 2012, 11:15:28 am »
Quote from: Mist on February 03, 2012, 05:16:50 pm
Quote from: Hermione on February 03, 2012, 05:07:49 pm
Number of polls now showing the PASOK in third or worst place behind the Commies or other leftie parties. Also, LAOS seems to be crashing and burning a bit.
Source?
Don't doubting it but you would like to see it. Are the Commies in second then?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Greek_legislative_election#Opinion_polls
Logged
Funny 'cause it's true:
Quote from: Gustaf on April 03, 2007, 08:54:07 am
Very few people seriously allow facts to affect their opinions.
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56538
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #49 on:
February 04, 2012, 12:19:16 pm »
PASOK 7.0% ND 18.6% KKE 8.7% LAOS 4.3% SYRIZA 8.2% DIMAR 7.5% Greens 3.6% XA 1.7% (a new nazi party, apparently?) other / undecided 40.4%
Oh wow. Oh lol.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
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