The Super Tuesday Results Thread

If you want AP county results, just substitute "by state" with "by county" in each URL.

Quote from: Tender Branson on March 05, 2012, 11:37:07 am

Political Junkie Material (for printing out):

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC%20News_2012%20Super%20Tuesday%20Guide_FINAL.pdf

I don't think their poll closing time is correct on North Dakota. If I have time, I'll post more detailed poll closing time information tonight, including specifics on the caucus states.

Woohoo!! I'll be off work at 5:00 tomorrow to watch the results, so I should be home by 5:30!!

Mitt Romney has 100% of the vote in Oklahoma so far.

Quote from: Radio, light transmission. on March 05, 2012, 09:12:07 pm

Mitt Romney has 100% of the vote in Oklahoma so far.

Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2012, 09:24:13 pm

Quote from: Radio, light transmission. on March 05, 2012, 09:12:07 pm

Mitt Romney has 100% of the vote in Oklahoma so far.

I think he's talking about my vote. However, he is wrong on two front. 1) I haven't voted yet and 2) Oklahoma has had early voting since last Friday.

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Paul get 2nd in Tennessee. Most I know here, including my manager at work, support or at least like Ron Paul.

Can we get a list of the poll closing/caucus times for this evening so we can kind of know in what order the states will close?

Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 05, 2012, 02:52:07 pm

Quote from: Tender Branson on March 05, 2012, 11:37:07 am

Political Junkie Material (for printing out):

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC%20News_2012%20Super%20Tuesday%20Guide_FINAL.pdf

I don't think their poll closing time is correct on North Dakota. If I have time, I'll post more detailed poll closing time information tonight, including specifics on the caucus states.

Indeed:

The caucus in ND ends at 8pm local time, which is 9pm Eastern.

The website says that results are starting to come in at 9.30pm Eastern.

http://www.northdakotagop.org/caucus

Quote from: BushOklahoma on March 06, 2012, 01:31:17 am

Can we get a list of the poll closing/caucus times for this evening so we can kind of know in what order the states will close?

Click on that MSNBC guide I have posted above. It has all poll closings inside.

Quote from: Dabeav on March 06, 2012, 01:30:55 am

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Paul get 2nd in Tennessee. Most I know here, including my manager at work, support or at least like Ron Paul.

He is a lock for a distant fourth place there.

Quote from: Dabeav on March 06, 2012, 01:30:55 am

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Paul get 2nd in Tennessee. Most I know here, including my manager at work, support or at least like Ron Paul.

In fairness that would take 2 spectacular collapses.

Quote from: Dabeav on March 06, 2012, 01:30:55 am

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Paul get 2nd in Tennessee. Most I know here, including my manager at work, support or at least like Ron Paul.

He couldn't even break 6% last time.

Current national weather map:

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/nationalforecast/index.html

Quote

South

-   Tuesday will be dry with high pressure anchored over the Southeast.
-   Gusty winds will target Oklahoma, Texas, northern Arkansas and southern Florida.
-   Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible across Oklahoma.
-   Sunny skies will extend from the lower Mississippi Valley into the Southeast.
-   Lows will range from the frosty 20s and 30s in the Carolinas, Georgia, Alabama and Tennessee to the 40s and 50s in the southern Plains and some 60s at the southern tips of Texas and Florida.
-   With temperatures below average near the coastal Southeast but above average in the lower Mississippi Valley and southern Plains, highs will range from the 50s in North Carolina to the 70s in Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana and central and southern Florida.

Midwest

-   Tuesday will be dry region wide, except for a few rain and snow showers near the Canadian border.
-    Gusty southerly winds will sweep from the central Plains to the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes while, behind a cold front, gusty winds will turn west and northwest across the western Dakotas.
-   Highs will range from the 30s and 40s near the Canadian border to the 70s across the central Plains.

West

-   Rain showers and snow will accompany a cold front from parts of California to Montana on Tuesday.
-   Four to twelve inches of snow will fall across higher elevations from the Sierra to the northern Rockies.

So, rain/snow in Idaho? Well, doesn't really matter one way or the other, as Romney's going to win it regardless. Show also in Alaska, but looks like nice weather in the rest of the Super Tuesday states.

Here are the details I can find on the times for the caucus states:

North Dakota

The state is split between Central and Mountain time. Instructions here:

http://www.northdakotagop.org/caucus/

indicate that people can show up at their caucus between 5:30 and 8pm local time, with 8pm corresponding to either 9pm or 10pm ET, depending on which time zone. It says they'll post live results starting at 8:30pm Central / 9:30pm Eastern.

Idaho

Caucus locations are listed here:

http://www.idaho-republican-caucus.com/idaho-counties.html

Every county starts their caucuses at 7pm local time, but part of the state is in Mountain time, and part is in Pacific time, so that corresponds to either 9pm or 10pm ET, depending on which time zone.

This website:

http://idgop.org/caucus-results/

says "Caucus results will be posted here as early as 8:30 pm Mountain Time", which means 10:30pm Eastern.

Alaska

This article:

http://www.alaskapublic.org/2012/02/28/alaska-republican-caucuses-approaching/

says the caucuses take place between 4pm and 8pm Alaska standard time, which translates to between 8pm and 12am Eastern.

Meanwhile all the polls in the primary states will be closing at 8pm Eastern at the latest. And caucuses tend to count their votes much slower than primaries. So it looks like there could be a big gap in the evening between the primary results and the caucus results.

And here are poll closing times for the primary states, translated into Eastern time:

7pm: GA, VT, VA
7:30pm: OH
8pm: MA, OK, TN

At least, I think those are all correct. Let me know if you spot a mistake.

Sadly, I won't be with you all tonight, as I'll be in Ontario on vacation through Thursday, with no phone and no Internet.

Ron Paul may have a shot at Alaska and may have a shot at second place in North Dakota, Idaho and Vermont. Not too happy about it, but whatever.

Quote from: Tragedy Circuit on March 06, 2012, 08:57:42 am

Ron Paul may have a shot at Alaska and may have a shot at second place in North Dakota, Idaho and Vermont. Not too happy about it, but whatever.

He may also be able to pull off a second place in Virginia. Roll Eyes

Quote from: Mehmentum on March 06, 2012, 09:30:11 am

Quote from: Tragedy Circuit on March 06, 2012, 08:57:42 am

Ron Paul may have a shot at Alaska and may have a shot at second place in North Dakota, Idaho and Vermont. Not too happy about it, but whatever.

He may also be able to pull off a second place in Virginia. Roll Eyes

I seriously question that. I just don't see how he can pull that one off.

Not exactly bustling, but I was the 42nd to vote in my precinct this morning---but as it's extremely Democratic, I may have been one of the first Republicans to cast a ballot. I'll be quite interested to see the overall Republican turnout here when the results come in.

Quote from: Tender Branson on March 06, 2012, 12:24:59 pm

ND, ID and AK will not have Exit Polls after all, only the primary states:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/behind-the-numbers/post/super-tuesday-exit-poll-cheat-sheet/2012/03/06/gIQA3sBfuR_blog.html

Caucuses usually don't have exit polls, only entrance polls. Are they not doing those ethics?

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