Illinois Primary Results

[Democratic Hawk]

Well, ag pointed out that the current results does include a significant count from Cook.  If that is the case then for sure 48-35 might be too opstimistic for Romney.

Having re-checked the exit poll, I get Romney 46 - Santorum 35

[J. J.]

What is the final delegate count look like?

[Nagas]

Romney falls below 50%

Some frontrunner. He still can't receive a majority in the bulk of the contests.

[jaichind]

Romney's lead just jumped to 48-34.  Mostly because Dupage came in.

[muon2]

Delegate update:

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Santorum is basically as much of a dead man walking as Gingrich after tonight.

[J. J.]

Delegate update:

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

What is the final count?

Santorum 8-10

Romney 44-46

[Boris]

Santorum is basically as much of a dead man walking as Gingrich after tonight.

I tried to do my part to make this spectator sport more interesting, but alas . Romney isn't really an interesting human being so unless we're like 49-49 going into November 6 there will probably be better activities to waste our time on in 2012.

[muon2]

Delegate update:

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3 (looks solid)
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

This is on a base of 34 Romney and 7 Santorum.

[firennice]

The hardest part (if you are a Republican) is that you would like them to be raising money for months to compete in November. Dragging it out to convention, means no one has the time to raise money.

[Torie]

I think Mittens has the Rockford CD, and has lost the Carbondale CD (4% in, and Mittens losing St. Clair), so Rick has two CD's, with two still in play - the Quincy and Moline CD's. Franzl lives in a Rick CD, as he assumed. He was right. Anvi lives there too.

CD 12 (Carbondale): Santorum 3
CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could flip to a 1-2 split, or remotely a 3-0 split.
CD 17 (Moline): Santorum 3
CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 or 4-0.

12 Rick delegates total per this, including I assume the 4 from IL-15? If so, Mittens beats my spreadsheet by 5 delegates.

Folks don't know how to transfer their votes to delegates I guess. What was the CD where Rick is missing a delegate?  I thought he had full slates in all but the four CD's, three safe Romney.

[netzero19]

I wonder where Phil is..

[muon2]

If I narrow it to the two competitive CDs there is a base of Romney 37 and Santorum 10

CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

So it looks like Romney has 40 Santorum has 12 and two are in play.

[Torie]

I wonder where Phil is..

He left after the exit poll was announced. He maybe has less of pain tolerance than I do. :I stay around to suck it up, even when Mittens blows.

[ajb]

Just for the hell of it, some comparisons to the 2008 Democratic Primary. No surprise that these guys are underperforming that contest statewide, since it's a blue state. But look at Lake County, one of Romney's strongholds.

2008 Democratic Primary:
Obama 57 999
Clinton 33 195

2012 Republican Primary (100% in from Lake County):
Romney  33 247
Santorum  16 563


Clinton was trounced in Lake County in 2008, but she got almost exactly as many votes as Romney got tonight in sweeping the county.

Just a reminder of how weak turnout has been in these primaries, and what a failed opportunity they've been for recruiting new voters for the Republican party.

[Torie]

If I narrow it to the two competitive CDs there is a base of Romney 37 and Santorum 10

CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

So it looks like Romney has 40 Santorum has 12 and two are in play.

How can we call Ill-17, with no votes from Rock Island County?  You have 3 delegates for Rick. Are they leading by big margins?  Oh, Rick is leading in Rock Island County by 6% now, so yes, per the popular vote, he won 3 CD's where he has delegates, and I tend to doubt he won IL-13 anyway, where he didn't.

[Keystone Phil]

I wonder where Phil is..

He left after the exit poll was announced. He maybe has less of pain tolerance than I do. :I stay around to suck it up, even when Mittens blows.

Are you seriously suggesting that I run away when results don't go my way? You really are disgusting. Say what you want about me but never ever suggest that I run away when I lose. I was in the damn chat almost all night. I didn't know not posting every minute in this thread meant I was hiding.

[Torie]

OK Phil. Hope you are having fun. Have a beer.

[Colbert]

"tory" and "reaganomic" : discrepancy

[Keystone Phil]

OK Phil. Hope you are having fun. Have a beer.

Professional troll. Does it with a smile. "Oh, he's such a nice guy!"

Seriously, you ought to be ashamed at suggesting that I run away when Santorum doesn't do well. Uh...2006?

[Jayhawker]

Great win tonight, good speech. Go Mitt!

[Beet]

If I narrow it to the two competitive CDs there is a base of Romney 37 and Santorum 10

CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

So it looks like Romney has 40 Santorum has 12 and two are in play.

How are you getting the results by CD?

[Torie]

If I narrow it to the two competitive CDs there is a base of Romney 37 and Santorum 10

CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

So it looks like Romney has 40 Santorum has 12 and two are in play.

How are you getting the results by CD?

I think Muon2 is looking at the raw votes for actual delegates, which none of the rest of us are. He knows the players.

[muon2]

If I narrow it to the two competitive CDs there is a base of Romney 37 and Santorum 10

CD 16 (Rockford): Romney 2, Santorum 1, but could be 1-2 split (127 votes).
The State Treasurer locks in 1 for Romney.

CD 18 (Quincy): Romney 3, Santorum 1, but could be 2-2 split (111 votes)
Romney is really helped in 18 by having 2 popular State Reps on the slate.

So it looks like Romney has 40 Santorum has 12 and two are in play.

How are you getting the results by CD?

I think Muon2 is looking at the raw votes for actual delegates, which none of the rest of us are. He knows the players.

Actually I rely on the Sun-Times website for statewide tabulation. I've found them to be among the most efficient. When I called 17 they were showing 80% in.

[Sam Spade]

I wonder where Phil is..

He left after the exit poll was announced. He maybe has less of pain tolerance than I do. :I stay around to suck it up, even when Mittens blows.

Are you seriously suggesting that I run away when results don't go my way? You really are disgusting. Say what you want about me but never ever suggest that I run away when I lose. I was in the damn chat almost all night. I didn't know not posting every minute in this thread meant I was hiding.

Memories, oh memories...

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