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Author Topic: Make up a REALISTIC 269-269 map of Obama vs. Romney  (Read 1644 times)
golden
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« on: May 18, 2012, 08:32:19 am »
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2012, 08:40:36 am »
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GM Griffin
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2012, 05:08:05 pm »
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adracman42
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2012, 05:21:39 pm »
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2012, 05:49:14 pm »
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Tried to come up with something different than the others, but still realistic:
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2012, 07:03:15 pm »
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In the North, white voters flee Obama in some recent Democratic strongholds, while the Hispanic vote helps him hold on out West.
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2012, 12:24:14 am »
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« Last Edit: May 19, 2012, 12:26:01 am by RockyIce »Logged
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2012, 08:40:08 am »
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Quote from: RockyIce on May 19, 2012, 12:24:14 am


This is the least realistic one so far.

Obama wins Florida but not Michigan or Wisconsin, states that haven't voted GOP in decades?

If Obama wins Florida, he's on his way to 400 EC votes.
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2012, 02:25:47 pm »
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I think it's pretty clear that Romney has to win Florida if he wants to be the president. Unless he can make sweeping inroads in the rust belt, which I think is unlikely.
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Emperor SJoyce
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2012, 02:34:17 pm »
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« Last Edit: May 19, 2012, 02:37:21 pm by Secretary of External Affairs SJoyceFla »Logged

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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2012, 03:33:21 pm »
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2012, 08:13:25 pm »
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I'm a little shocked this was left out
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A-Bob
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« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2012, 01:05:09 am »
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #13 on: May 20, 2012, 07:44:42 am »
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A surprising number of plausible ways to reach a Tie!
Since at Tie goes to the House to be resolved, another set of equivalent maps is any map with a 270-268 win, but in which one faithless elector throws it to the House.  I'm sure there are many such maps as well.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #14 on: May 20, 2012, 09:45:11 am »
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Has no one thought of this one?
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Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

Quote from: Jbrase on June 06, 2013, 01:47:19 am
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19:12   pkemp   FF Alfred
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2012, 06:25:02 am »
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Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 20, 2012, 09:45:11 am
Has no one thought of this one?




Looks like the most realistic of the group.
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2012, 02:25:34 pm »
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golden
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« Reply #17 on: May 21, 2012, 05:07:01 pm »
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« Reply #18 on: May 21, 2012, 05:25:35 pm »
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I put one in my sig on May 13.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #19 on: May 21, 2012, 06:53:53 pm »
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Quote from: TXMichael on May 21, 2012, 06:25:02 am
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 20, 2012, 09:45:11 am
Has no one thought of this one?




Looks like the most realistic of the group.

Hold it! Sorry, I think 20RP12 did that earlier.
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Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

Quote from: Jbrase on June 06, 2013, 01:47:19 am
Don't let us get in the way of KILLING WITH FIRE the Roscoe Whatever Kill Rich People Act.



19:12   pkemp   FF Alfred
Secretary Polnut
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« Reply #20 on: May 21, 2012, 08:41:15 pm »
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Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 21, 2012, 06:53:53 pm
Quote from: TXMichael on May 21, 2012, 06:25:02 am
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 20, 2012, 09:45:11 am
Has no one thought of this one?




Looks like the most realistic of the group.

Hold it! Sorry, I think 20RP12 did that earlier.

It's the only one I see as being a plausible 269 tie... but I doubt Obama is going to lose IA.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #21 on: May 22, 2012, 06:02:21 am »
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Quote from: President Polnut on May 21, 2012, 08:41:15 pm
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 21, 2012, 06:53:53 pm
Quote from: TXMichael on May 21, 2012, 06:25:02 am
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on May 20, 2012, 09:45:11 am
Has no one thought of this one?




Looks like the most realistic of the group.

Hold it! Sorry, I think 20RP12 did that earlier.

It's the only one I see as being a plausible 269 tie... but I doubt Obama is going to lose IA.
Yes, NM and OH seem to be the most Obama-leaning of the CO-NM-NV-IA states (the Hispanics and Iowa, as I call them) and the OH-FL-NC-VA states (I like to call them the Big Four).

But Obama isn't going to lose CO, NV, or IA unless Romney reeeeeeeeeeeeeeally makes an effort.
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Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

Quote from: Jbrase on June 06, 2013, 01:47:19 am
Don't let us get in the way of KILLING WITH FIRE the Roscoe Whatever Kill Rich People Act.



19:12   pkemp   FF Alfred
billbillerson
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« Reply #22 on: May 22, 2012, 08:09:54 am »
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Quote from: adracman42 on May 18, 2012, 05:21:39 pm



This
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EmersonAdams
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« Reply #23 on: May 22, 2012, 08:50:55 am »
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I can't decide if Virginia or Ohio is more likely to go Romney. Most the maps here hinge on one or the other going Romney... I think it's probably more likely that Ohio goes for Obama in this election, but as the DC suburbs expand I think Virginia is going to trend more and more democratic.
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golden
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« Reply #24 on: May 22, 2012, 09:11:48 am »
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Quote from: EmersonAdams on May 22, 2012, 08:50:55 am
I can't decide if Virginia or Ohio is more likely to go Romney. Most the maps here hinge on one or the other going Romney...

Virginia has clearly become a steadily blue swing state, like Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin.
Ohio is actually red state that at times votes blue by accident.
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