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| | |-+  2012 PRIMARY.. Utah to go!		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2012 PRIMARY.. Utah to go!  (Read 395 times)
timothyinMD
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« on: June 22, 2012, 12:26:53 pm »
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Okay political junkies there's still one more to go, and save the best for last..

Utah was a harbinger of the 2008 climate.  McCain plunged 9% from Bush's performance there and overall turnout was lower, reflecting Republican lack of enthusiasm in the '08 election.  Maybe we can gleam some insight from this Utah primary to gauge how well Mitt has his base of all base (Utah Mormons) energized.

Will Mitt beat his '08 performance (89.49%) in Utah this year?
Will turnout (296,061 in '08) be higher or lower?

Just my guess..
93.3 Romney
4.3 Paul
1.2 Santorum
0.9 Gingrich
0.3 Karger
« Last Edit: June 26, 2012, 11:37:36 pm by timothyinMD »Logged
Zioneer
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« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2012, 07:55:05 pm »
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I think he might get close to hitting 95%, with most of the rest going to Paulites. Among Republicans that aren't Paulites, Romney is beloved in Utah. Which is annoying for Utah liberals like me, because we actually have good statewide Democratic candidates this time, and the Romney wave will be damaging to the left in Utah.
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shua
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« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2012, 08:19:16 pm »
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92% for Romney, 5% for Paul
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"Those who begin coercive elimination of dissent soon find themselves exterminating dissenters. Compulsory unification of opinion achieves only the unanimity of the graveyard. . . But freedom to differ is not limited to things that do not matter much. That would be a mere shadow of freedom. The test of its substance is the right to differ as to things that touch the heart of the existing order."
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2012, 08:24:16 pm »
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Romney 93%
Paul 4%
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NEY YO HOY MINOY NEYOYOYENOYMEMOY

Joe Republic
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« Reply #4 on: June 22, 2012, 10:36:20 pm »
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Quote from: timothyinMD on June 22, 2012, 12:26:53 pm
Okay political junkies there's still one more to go, and save the best for last..

Utah was a harbinger of the 2008 climate.  McCain plunged 9% from Bush's performance there and overall turnout was lower, reflecting Republican lack of enthusiasm in the '08 election.  Maybe we can gleam some insight from this Utah primary to gauge how well Mitt has his base of all base (Utah Mormons) energized.

Will Mitt beat his '08 performance (89.49%) in Utah this year?
Will turnout (296,061 in '08) be higher or lower?

You can't really take much from this one, whatever the result.  UT '08 was still at the point where the nomination was up for grabs.  That alone makes UT '12 incomparable.
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« Reply #5 on: June 23, 2012, 12:29:32 am »
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Well, I've seen a couple Paul signs here, and none for Romney. But the SLC paper is very pro-Romney. Non-Mormons here aren't too crazy about a Mormon as President due to ego's. I wouldn't be shocked if Paul hit 10%.
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Quote from: John_Engle on November 02, 2012, 04:25:37 pm
Tmthforu94

You are very kind my Friend. Thank you and God bless the people like You.
Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #6 on: June 23, 2012, 06:44:22 am »
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I'm confused; I thought you were in Indiana. Did you move?
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Quote from: BushKenya on Today at 02:30:04 pm
Anyway, does it really matter at this point?  I still lost 2 pounds as a result of the 4 sloppy joes. 
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2012, 10:22:53 am »
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Quote from: Jay Rockefeller, Illuminati Puppet on June 23, 2012, 06:44:22 am
I'm confused; I thought you were in Indiana. Did you move?

I'm here for the summer. Smiley Been here a month, so I've become somewhat familiar with the politics here.
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A life is not important except in the impact it has on other lives.
-Jackie Robinson

Quote from: John_Engle on November 02, 2012, 04:25:37 pm
Tmthforu94

You are very kind my Friend. Thank you and God bless the people like You.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: June 23, 2012, 11:57:32 am »
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I predict:

93.32% Romney
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