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Author Topic: Miles' Election Map Thread  (Read 17501 times)
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #25 on: July 08, 2012, 04:12:34 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on July 07, 2012, 11:20:16 am
Quote from: Tsiraki Midou on July 07, 2012, 03:56:35 am
The Myrick map is hilarious.

That's actually the district where I'm registered. Myrick was always popular despite some many of her outlandish views.
To be more precise: The way it chops into (somewhat more Republican, surely) precincts of the city it surrounds and the chops then actually being the only places voting for the Democrat looks hilarious. Of course, these are probably "maturing" (democratizing) inner suburbs where a lot changed over ten years, but, well.It looks funny.
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shua
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« Reply #26 on: July 08, 2012, 06:16:09 pm »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on July 06, 2012, 02:55:32 pm




I'm a little surprised Hendersonville doesn't have any D precincts.  Some of the downtown area has an "old hippie" vibe.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #27 on: July 08, 2012, 07:28:02 pm »
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Quote from: shua, gm on July 08, 2012, 06:16:09 pm
Quote from: MilesC56 on July 06, 2012, 02:55:32 pm




I'm a little surprised Hendersonville doesn't have any D precincts.  Some of the downtown area has an "old hippie" vibe.

Well, Jeff Miller was (is) based in Hendersonville. Even by state standards, its a very strong Republican county.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #28 on: July 09, 2012, 07:11:09 pm »
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Enjoy, everyone! I'll have CD breakdowns for this as well Smiley



Link to full-scale image.
« Last Edit: July 09, 2012, 10:35:15 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

MilesC56
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« Reply #29 on: July 09, 2012, 10:26:59 pm »
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Perdue performance vs. McCrory performance:
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MilesC56
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« Reply #30 on: July 10, 2012, 05:42:46 pm »
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'Thinking about what to do next. Hagan/Dole and SC 2010 Congress are what I'm considering.

Any thoughts?
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« Reply #31 on: July 10, 2012, 05:45:04 pm »
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What explains the Democratic strength in those small mountainous counties in the Smoky Mountains?
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MilesC56
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« Reply #32 on: July 10, 2012, 05:50:02 pm »
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Quote from: Sharif Hashemite on July 10, 2012, 05:45:04 pm
What explains the Democratic strength in those small mountainous counties in the Smoky Mountains?

That handful of counties, centered around Buncombe, has usually been Democratic in state politics.

I'm actually not sure; my guess is that since its a very poor area, social issues aren't enough to make them a Republican-voting area.

With Perdue specifically, I'm sure her ad with Andy Griffith played well there.
« Last Edit: July 10, 2012, 05:52:33 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

MilesC56
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« Reply #33 on: July 12, 2012, 09:20:21 pm »
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Ok, I've decided to do Hagan/Dole next.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #34 on: July 12, 2012, 09:51:04 pm »
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AHH!! I just realized that I forgot to account for absentee and one-stop voting in about a dozen counties in the NC Governor map. I'll work on fixing that too.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #35 on: July 14, 2012, 09:52:02 pm »
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Ok, here's the revised NC 2008 Governor map:



The one-stop/absentee votes, which I forgot to add in the first iteration, skewed noticeably towards Perdue.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2012, 10:37:11 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

MilesC56
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« Reply #36 on: July 16, 2012, 03:31:32 pm »
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'Almost done with Hagan/Dole. Should be posted by tomorrow.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #37 on: July 17, 2012, 01:38:36 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on July 16, 2012, 03:31:32 pm
'Almost done with Hagan/Dole. Should be posted by tomorrow.

Ok, I'm a bit early, but here we go:
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« Reply #38 on: July 17, 2012, 03:09:24 am »
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Pretty cool maps!

The Hagan Dole map actually looks more GOP friendly than the Perdue McCrory one, because I see more blue. I guess Hagan derived her support more from urban and suburban areas moreso that Perdue, who was stronger on rural areas.

My guess as to why NC Central mountains are more D? Well, this is just a guess, but it looks like the core area of Democratic strength centers right around the Great Smoky mountains national park. The area is dependent on government protection to maintain the pristine nature of the mountains, so it's more of a unique dependency on government rather than a fear of it that you find in other appalachian areas.

edit: Also maybe more Native Americans?
« Last Edit: July 17, 2012, 03:37:08 am by cope1989 »Logged
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« Reply #39 on: July 17, 2012, 03:10:41 am »
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Hagan won by 8.5% while Perdue id by 3.4% and still she carried more precints than the senator? Surprising Smiley
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« Reply #40 on: July 17, 2012, 08:32:55 am »
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Quote from: cope1989 on July 17, 2012, 03:09:24 am
Pretty cool maps!
edit: Also maybe more Native Americans?
That's just a couple of precincts at the western edge of it.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #41 on: July 17, 2012, 10:47:51 am »
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Quote from: Tsiraki Midou on July 17, 2012, 08:32:55 am
Quote from: cope1989 on July 17, 2012, 03:09:24 am
Pretty cool maps!
edit: Also maybe more Native Americans?
That's just a couple of precincts at the western edge of it.

Also in Robeson county, where the Lumbee tribe is located. Dole actually performed well there because she introduced bills aimed at recognizing the Lumbee. Perdue and Dalton each got 70% in Robeson, but Dole held Hagan to only 59%.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #42 on: July 17, 2012, 11:05:17 am »
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Quote from: cope1989 on July 17, 2012, 03:09:24 am
Pretty cool maps!

The Hagan Dole map actually looks more GOP friendly than the Perdue McCrory one, because I see more blue. I guess Hagan derived her support more from urban and suburban areas moreso that Perdue, who was stronger on rural areas.

Quote from: JulioMadrid on July 17, 2012, 03:10:41 am
Hagan won by 8.5% while Perdue id by 3.4% and still she carried more precints than the senator? Surprising Smiley

Well, that attests to how urbanized the state is becoming; voters are becoming more concentrated in the smaller city precincts.

Perdure swept most of the rural east, but she got blown away in Greater Charlotte, so those kinda cancelled each other out.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #43 on: July 18, 2012, 11:53:00 pm »
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'Expanding my range to Virginia:
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MilesC56
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« Reply #44 on: July 19, 2012, 01:56:20 pm »
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Even though Etheridge lost the seat in 2010, he remained on good terms with Democrats in his old district. He beat Dalton there by 36 points in the Gubernatorial primary a few months ago.
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« Reply #45 on: July 19, 2012, 04:03:41 pm »
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It would be cool if you could do CD primary maps.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #46 on: July 19, 2012, 04:35:28 pm »
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Quote from: vern1988 on July 19, 2012, 04:03:41 pm
It would be cool if you could do CD primary maps.

The GOP Pres primary this year wouldn't be very interesting, but yeah, I'll definitely look into doing those from 2008.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #47 on: July 19, 2012, 04:58:02 pm »
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Just from looking at the county results map, I'd say Etheridge also won the new 2nd; the old/new 7th would probably be close as well. I'll do those next.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #48 on: July 19, 2012, 07:07:37 pm »
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Etheridge also got a pretty decent win the new 7th:



Johnston county provided much of Etheridge's winning margin; without it, he still would have carried the district but only with 42.5% to Dalton's 41.5%.
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« Reply #49 on: July 19, 2012, 08:44:12 pm »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on July 19, 2012, 07:07:37 pm
Etheridge also got a pretty decent win the new 7th:



Johnston county provided much of Etheridge's winning margin; without it, he still would have carried the district but only with 42.5% to Dalton's 41.5%.

Yeah baby! Who was the third candidate in this primary? where was his strength concentrated?
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