May Primaries Coverage Thread

[NOVA Green]

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.

Sure looks like it.

Despite all the mew "College voters against Biden" he's hitting 81% in Monongalia County, which has the highest % of voters with BAs in WV (39%).

Those Biden % numbers in the former overwhelmingly DEM strongholds of Southern WV are abysmal, but at least the numbers from Charleston County bring some how, as well as in former heavy Ancestral DEM Wheeling...

It is interesting that he appears to be doing quite well in the Northeastern Panhandle where you have quite a few Federal Workers these days.

 

[NOVA Green]

DEM PREZ side...

Wondering why Cecil county stands out as a major Biden underperformance?

I get it that it's a bit "Whiter" than many other parts of Maryland, but still looking at results from the East Shore area it does stand out at this time.

Are there fewer Catholic voters there than elsewhere on the East Shore?

[NOVA Green]

Nebraska--- DEM PRIM...

Did Logan County just vote for Dean Phillips over Biden  5-4?

[Minnesota Mike]

Looks like Biden will sweep the delegates at stake tonight. Maybe Jason Palmer got 15% in WV-01 or Dean Phillips got 15% in NE-03, I don't care enough to add it up, but bottom line is all or almost all the delegates going to the convention will be solid Biden. Doesn't matter in the big picture but it's better to not have disruptive idiots finding the camera at the convention.

[Eraserhead]

Biden is doing a little better than I expected in Nebraska and a little worse than I expected in Maryland. I would have thought Maryland would have been one his best states in the country.

I guess one of those states only having the ghost of Dean Phillips while the other had multiple options including the all-important "Uncommitted" is a big factor though.

[Eraserhead]

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.

Well, considering he still lost 30% of the vote and I seriously doubt a lot of that came from left-wing and/or pro-Palestine opposition in that particular state, I wouldn't say they're extinct but they are most certainly endangered. The three-punch combo of Bush-Obama-Trump did a number on them for sure.

[The Mikado]

Looks like Biden will sweep the delegates at stake tonight. Maybe Jason Palmer got 15% in WV-01 or Dean Phillips got 15% in NE-03, I don't care enough to add it up, but bottom line is all or almost all the delegates going to the convention will be solid Biden. Doesn't matter in the big picture but it's better to not have disruptive idiots finding the camera at the convention.

It looks like Palmer's right on the line and could go either way in WV-01 (15.2% last I checked), and Phillips looks likely to hit viability in NE-03.

[wbrocks67]

Biden is doing a little better than I expected in Nebraska and a little worse than I expected in Maryland. I would have thought Maryland would have been one his best states in the country.

I guess one of those states only having the ghost of Dean Phillips while the other had multiple options including the all-important "Uncommitted" is a big factor though.

There's still ~150K VBM left in Maryland I believe, so Biden will likely go up to 88-89% I think by the end

[Eraserhead]

Biden is doing a little better than I expected in Nebraska and a little worse than I expected in Maryland. I would have thought Maryland would have been one his best states in the country.

I guess one of those states only having the ghost of Dean Phillips while the other had multiple options including the all-important "Uncommitted" is a big factor though.

There's still ~150K VBM left in Maryland I believe, so Biden will likely go up to 88-89% I think by the end

That would still only make it a pretty average state for him.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Why is Maryland only at 67% of votes counted?

[wbrocks67]

Why is Maryland only at 67% of votes counted?

They were waiting to count a lot of the later arriving VBM until today

[wbrocks67]

Nebraska:
-surprisingly strong for Biden; 10% protest vote in a red state like this is not too shabby
-pretty awful for Trump, he did better than Kansas, but barely cracking 80% in a red state like this is awful for him

West Virginia:
-Kind of funny that it just about ties Minnesota for Biden’s worst state. Was expecting even worse here
-Obviously of one of Trump’s best states, but the fact that protest votes are still hitting 12% in West Virginia of all places is a warning sign

Maryland:
tbd but Biden probably should've been able to hit 90% here, given it was closed. Typical performance for Trump since it seems Haley will end up with about 21-22%

[xavier110]

Does anyone have the CD results for NE, especially 2nd for Trump and Biden?

[Eraserhead]

Nebraska:
-surprisingly strong for Biden; 10% protest vote in a red state like this is not too shabby
-pretty awful for Trump, he did better than Kansas, but barely cracking 80% in a red state like this is awful for him

West Virginia:
-Kind of funny that it just about ties Minnesota for Biden’s worst state. Was expecting even worse here
-Obviously of one of Trump’s best states, but the fact that protest votes are still hitting 12% in West Virginia of all places is a warning sign

Maryland:
tbd but Biden probably should've been able to hit 90% here, given it was closed. Typical performance for Trump since it seems Haley will end up with about 21-22%

I mean there were other factors at play but technically New Hampshire and Hawaii are Biden's worst states so far.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Does anyone have the CD results for NE, especially 2nd for Trump and Biden?

NE-02 just from eyeballing it Trump outscored Biden in terms of vote. However, it depends on how you split the Haley vote which was a noticeable chunk in Douglas county. Based off these primary results though NE-02 isn't as bad for Trump as I would have expected.

[Steve from Lambeth]

Despite all the mew "College voters against Biden" he's hitting 81% in Monongalia County, which has the highest % of voters with BAs in WV (39%).

And you forgot to mention is also the home of WVU!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Maryland election workers obviously taking the longest ganja break in history.

[NOVA Green]

Maryland election workers obviously taking the longest ganja break in history.

[Compuzled_One]

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.

That's still kinda low. They're hanging on. I honestly think they'll remain at a good 25-30% in the state from now on.

[wbrocks67]

More Maryland coming in, Uncommitted about to fall below 10%. Biden up to 86.7-10.0.

Haley also up to 21.2, Trump 78.8.

[kwabbit]

More Maryland coming in, Uncommitted about to fall below 10%. Biden up to 86.7-10.0.

Haley also up to 21.2, Trump 78.8.

Seems like Trone gained a few as well. Would make sense if mail is better for him, given that’s it’s Whiter, older, and more likely to have been made before Alsobrooks surging.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.

That's still kinda low. They're hanging on. I honestly think they'll remain at a good 25-30% in the state from now on.

Obama got 59% against an incarcerated felon.

[Compuzled_One]

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.

That's still kinda low. They're hanging on. I honestly think they'll remain at a good 25-30% in the state from now on.

Obama got 59% against an incarcerated felon.

I doubt they knew who Keith Judd was when they voted.

[wbrocks67]

Maryland is still not done counting, but here's what we have so far:

Dems (86% in)
Biden 87.2%
Uncommitted 9.7%

Reps (92% in)
Trump 78.3%
Haley 21.7%

By the end, I expect Biden to get to ~88% while Trump around ~77% (though they probably don't have as many VBMs left at this point)

[wbrocks67]

NYT results page

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/21/us/elections/results-oregon-primary.html

Sadly, Haley didn't make the ballot in OR so we won't have a gauge there on the Trump protest vote.