Can President Biden win election without Georgia and Michigan?
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  Can President Biden win election without Georgia and Michigan?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Can President Biden win election without Georgia and Michigan?  (Read 383 times)
holtridge
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« on: May 10, 2024, 09:56:55 PM »
If he loses both states can he still win?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2024, 10:03:20 PM »
Without Georgia, very much so.

Without Michigan, near-impossible.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2024, 10:04:51 PM »
He needs MI not GA
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2024, 10:15:41 PM »
If he runs the table on the other swing states he can theoretically win. But if loses MI he’s likely lost all other swing states aside from maybe PA.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2024, 10:01:39 AM »
unlikely.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2024, 10:10:49 AM »
As mentioned above, Biden winning without Georgia is fairly easy.  If he loses Michigan as well, then I think the other path mentioned (PA+WI+AZ+NV) is difficult, but not out of the question.  Nevada seems like the toughest of the four for Biden, but a recent court ruling has paved the way for an abortion referendum on the ballot there, so that could boost his chances.
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wnwnwn
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« Reply #6 on: May 11, 2024, 12:25:41 PM »
Maybe if GA rural blacks have low turnout and MI muslims vote Trump (somehow) but Biden is otherwise doing fine.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: May 12, 2024, 06:27:35 AM »
Georgia, yes. Michigan, no.
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Devils30
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« Reply #8 on: May 12, 2024, 10:30:55 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 11, 2024, 10:10:49 AM
As mentioned above, Biden winning without Georgia is fairly easy.  If he loses Michigan as well, then I think the other path mentioned (PA+WI+AZ+NV) is difficult, but not out of the question.  Nevada seems like the toughest of the four for Biden, but a recent court ruling has paved the way for an abortion referendum on the ballot there, so that could boost his chances.

I think there is a significant chances that polls miss a Biden win in GA but he could still lose WI, PA, AZ, NV and the election even with MI and GA. Despite early polls showing him down in GA, trends are the best for Dems here in all of the swing states and the primary suggests African-Americans arent really Biden's biggest problem area.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #9 on: May 12, 2024, 02:25:40 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on May 12, 2024, 10:30:55 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 11, 2024, 10:10:49 AM
As mentioned above, Biden winning without Georgia is fairly easy.  If he loses Michigan as well, then I think the other path mentioned (PA+WI+AZ+NV) is difficult, but not out of the question.  Nevada seems like the toughest of the four for Biden, but a recent court ruling has paved the way for an abortion referendum on the ballot there, so that could boost his chances.

I think there is a significant chances that polls miss a Biden win in GA but he could still lose WI, PA, AZ, NV and the election even with MI and GA. Despite early polls showing him down in GA, trends are the best for Dems here in all of the swing states and the primary suggests African-Americans arent really Biden's biggest problem area.

Biden should be OK in PA too in that case so he’d win in that scenario.
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PeteB
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« Reply #10 on: May 12, 2024, 02:36:44 PM »
He could easily win if he lost just one of the two.  However, if he loses both, it is very unlikely that he wins.  Statistically it is possible, but it is hard to envision a viable scenario where Biden loses MI and GA and wins all of AZ, NV, WI and PA, or pulls out a rabbit in NC.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
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« Reply #11 on: May 12, 2024, 11:53:02 PM »
Likely Biden needs NC in this scenario.
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