MN - Survey USA - Biden +2

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1790497745452593216?t=ueXv133ed3y9u-InlLQ...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden was never endangered

[heatcharger]

We’re putting states in play that have never been in play before. Thank you Gophers!

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Funny enough MN is one of the few states that has UNDERestemated Dems in both 2020 and 2022

[Minnesota Mike]

We’re putting states in play that have never been in play before. Thank you Gophers!

Republicans have viewed Minnesota as in play at least since 2000. In 2008 they held their convention here because they thought they could flip the state. FWIW my view has never changed, Republicans can definitely win Minnesota in the right year but when they eventually do it won't matter because they will be winning nationwide easily. I would still rate MN as likely Dem this year.

I appreciate the monthly polls by SUSA/KSTP even though I have my problems with both (SUSA is a mediocre pollster and KSTP is a right wing TV station owned by a big Republican donor) but I would like to see some other pollsters as well.

[Progressive Pessimist]

If Trump is ahead by seven in Michigan, he should be doing better here.

Obviously, this is probably both candidates' floors, but Minnesota should have clearer signs of moving to Trump if the other Midwestern states are. This poll indicates stagnation.

[wbrocks67]

This reminds of the early polls we were getting in the 2022 GOV race that only had Walz up by a few points (similar spread too with tons of undecideds)

[henster]

Will be interesting to see if Biden actually spends and campaigns here or treats it like a safe state and leave it off the table.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

We’re putting states in play that have never been in play before. Thank you Gophers!

Republicans have viewed Minnesota as in play at least since 2000. In 2008 they held their convention here because they thought they could flip the state. FWIW my view has never changed, Republicans can definitely win Minnesota in the right year but when they eventually do it won't matter because they will be winning nationwide easily. I would still rate MN as likely Dem this year.

I appreciate the monthly polls by SUSA/KSTP even though I have my problems with both (SUSA is a mediocre pollster and KSTP is a right wing TV station owned by a big Republican donor) but I would like to see some other pollsters as well.

The only other outlet that typically does polls is the Star Tribune, we'll probably get a few of those. St. Cloud State University does one near the election, but their polls suck.

[wbrocks67]

Biden's biggest issue here is actually partially from the left - Trump gets 93% of 'very conservative' voters, while Biden only gets 84% of 'very liberal' voters. They don't pick Trump, but 14% pick other or undecided, in a group that should be giving him like 98% of the vote.

[Eraserhead]

Biden's biggest issue here is actually partially from the left - Trump gets 93% of 'very conservative' voters, while Biden only gets 84% of 'very liberal' voters. They don't pick Trump, but 14% pick other or undecided, in a group that should be giving him like 98% of the vote.

Considering what happened in the primary, it's not that surprising.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Toss-up but favouring Biden still which is what was expected. The case for Lean D can also be made, but probably need more polling for that.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

State remains a stretch goal for Trump.

Biden +2 in MN would likely mean Trump is winning the rust belt trio. I think this is a state where there may be a significant left third party vote .