RMG Research: Biden +2 / +3
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  RMG Research: Biden +2 / +3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: RMG Research: Biden +2 / +3  (Read 584 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: May 14, 2024, 08:46:22 PM »
Biden 44%
Trump 42%

Biden 42%
Trump 39%
Kennedy 11%

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1790558946660344173
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2024, 09:09:48 PM »
Trump isn't getting back into office
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2024, 09:26:42 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2024, 09:32:43 PM »

No it's not because Trump isn't ahead by 12 in NV
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Matty
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2024, 09:42:07 PM »
This is among "high propensity" voters.

Does that mean this poll completely leaves out those who don't vote in every election?
 
This seems more like a subsample, not a national poll
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Redban
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« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2024, 08:03:33 AM »
Yes, Scott Rasmussen's tweet says "among high propensity voters" ... I think this result is consistent with what many other pollsters show . Biden leads among those certain to vote. Trump leads if he gets the unlikely voters to come out
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: May 15, 2024, 08:40:37 AM »
Treat it as a likely voter poll
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kwabbit
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« Reply #7 on: May 15, 2024, 09:31:06 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on May 15, 2024, 08:40:37 AM
Treat it as a likely voter poll

LV is not high propensity. If the definition of that is voted in both 2020/2022 then that category only makes up about 2/3 of the LV universe.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: May 15, 2024, 09:31:58 AM »
Honestly, RMG is a mess. Scott Rasmussen apparently does these 2,000 RV polls but only releases select topllines. He does the same thing with the Biden approval. He just tweets out toplines and that's it.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #9 on: May 15, 2024, 09:39:22 AM »
What is going on with polling....
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emailking
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« Reply #10 on: May 15, 2024, 09:01:33 PM »
Glad to see Biden is leading nationally here. And even more if junior is included, wow!
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