2004 was the most recent majority win by the GOP and has never been achieved again. Why does the GOP doesn’t seem to resonate with the majority of americans? When do you think they would win the popular vote again?
If Democratic-vs.-Republican combined for 97 to 99 percent … it would happen this year [2024].
I think Trump’s Republican pickup for U.S. President—with 31 carried states, plus
Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, and 312 electoral votes—will come with a U.S. Popular Vote percentage-points margin of +3.
In that case, with a combined two-party vote of 97 to 99 percent, Trump would get 50 or 51 while Biden would receive 47 or 48 percent.
I think the Election 2024 two-party vote will end up about 94 or 95 percent and, effective 05.16.2024, I would guess: Trump 49 vs. Biden 46 percent.