Census Estimates for 2007 -> 2010 Apportionment

[Josh/Devilman88]

NC and GA grow at the same rate in 2007. GA growth rate slowed down while NC growth rate went up.  NC is about 500,000 people short of GA, I think NC will pass them by 2010.

[Josh/Devilman88]

This is what the new map would look like.

[Josh/Devilman88]

NC and GA grow at the same rate in 2007. GA growth rate slowed down while NC growth rate went up.  NC is about 500,000 people short of GA, I think NC will pass them by 2010.

Yes, but GA's growth rate is higher on average over the decade. They are estimated to have about 500 K more this year than NC, and that shouldn't change substantially in a little over two years when the census is taken. That is enough to get a seat for GA, but not for NC.

You may be right, but it will be fun to see how thing turn out over the next two years. I'm not to sure about GA, but I know the NC poulation is growing due to the movement of people form NY,NJ and MI. We need to keep an eye on this small fight for this seat.

[Josh/Devilman88]

This is what I think will happen

AZ +2
FL +2
GA +1
IL -1
IA -1
LA -1
MA -1
MI -1
MO -1
MN -1
NV +1
NJ -1
NY -2
NC +1
OH -2
OR +1
PA -1
TX +4
UT +1


I believe that NC will take a seat away from MN giving MN 9 and NC 16.

[Josh/Devilman88]

This is what I think will happen

AZ +2
FL +2
GA +1
IL -1
IA -1
LA -1
MA -1
MI -1
MO -1
NV +1
NJ -1
NY -2
NC +1
OH -2
OR +1
PA -1
TX +4
UT +1
WA -1

I believe that NC will take a seat away from WA giving WA 10 and NC 16.

WA will definitely not be one to lose. They are on the bubble to go to 12 EV. More likely OR will stay even, MN will lose, or TX will only get 3.

Changed it.

[Josh/Devilman88]

How do you give out EV to the states? Is there a program online I could use?

[Josh/Devilman88]

How do you give out EV to the states? Is there a program online I could use?

I use the same method to apportion congressional seats as does the Census Bureau. I've written the formulas into a spreadsheet so that I can enter new values and determine winners and losers. I don't know if there is an online version of a program, but the Census does have a description.

Could you tell me the formulas you enter into your Spreadsheet? I am trying to make one for myself.