Washington '12: Getting Stoned at our Gay Weddings

[Meeker]

You've got to be f**cking kidding me: http://blog.thenewstribune.com/politics/2012/06/14/dino-rossi-a-possible-fill-in-for-pflug/

[bgwah]

You've got to be f**cking kidding me: http://blog.thenewstribune.com/politics/2012/06/14/dino-rossi-a-possible-fill-in-for-pflug/

I'm glad I'm moving!

[Grad Students are the Worst]

sigh darcy burner

http://blog.seattlepi.com/seattlepolitics/2012/06/14/stand-up-for-abortion-darcy-doubles-down/

[bgwah]

sigh darcy burner

http://blog.seattlepi.com/seattlepolitics/2012/06/14/stand-up-for-abortion-darcy-doubles-down/

5-5

[asexual trans victimologist]

I...just...

2/10, would not support again.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I feel like we've lost that loving feeling.  this thread just isn't as active as it used to be.

I fenagled our way to being polled by PPP this weekend, by the way.  It's a long story involving disabled cookies, multiple public wi-fi spots, and a friend who knows a guy who blogs for The Stranger.

In any case, expect new numbers early next week on Prez, U.S. Senate, Governor, gay marriage, pot, and maybe the other initiatives.

[Meeker]

Is Burner aware she has to win a general election after she wins the primary? Because she's doing a very good job with the latter. Not so much the former.

[Seattle]

I feel like we've lost that loving feeling.  this thread just isn't as active as it used to be.

In any case, expect new numbers early next week on Prez, U.S. Senate, Governor, gay marriage, pot, and maybe the other initiatives.

True, but that'll likely change as we get through the summer. Anway, I'm glad you did do that, I'm really interested in the pot and of course, the gay marriage numbers.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

PPP:

"Tomorrow we'll have Colorado President and Washington Governor/Gay Marriage/Marijuana legalization numbers"

"Going to have good news for pro-gay marriage side in WA tomorrow. Pretty decent chance equality advocates go 4 for 4 this fall"


"In Washington state 22% of Republicans support legalizing marijuana, only 10% support legalizing gay marriage"

[Grad Students are the Worst]

So, this isn't getting much press, but Sam Reed has apparently eliminated the state Voters' Guide and the only counties picking up the slack are King, Kitsap, Pierce, and Snohomish.   This is unfortunate.

[Meeker]

I think he just cut it for the primary. And I'm pretty sure there wasn't one in 2010 either.

[bgwah]

Between this, and his awful postmarking proposal, I'm sure glad I avoided being a moderate hero by not voting for him in 2008...

[Meeker]

I'm sure he didn't want to do it. His budget got slashed just like every other state agency. Mailing and printing the voters' guide costs millions of dollars.

[bgwah]

I'm sure he didn't want to do it. His budget got slashed just like every other state agency. Mailing and printing the voters' guide costs millions of dollars.

That's MH talk.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

This is kind of fun.  Here's party ballots in the 2008 Presidential Primary if only men/women voted:

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Wow, Yakima women ftw! 

[bgwah]

That is pretty cool. Now you just need a map showing the gender difference.

[bgwah]

I was wondering how long it might be before Grays Harbor turns into a Lean R county. I decided to see how much more Democratic it has been than the state using gubernatorial and senatorial elections dating back to statehood and added a polynomial trend line (that's what Excel calls it, at least). As the graph shows us, the direction it's trending can change, but on its current course it could definitely be a Republican county by the 2020s.

[bgwah]

I got polled for the first time today. I got the impression it was a pro-Roger Goodman push poll.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I was wondering how long it might be before Grays Harbor turns into a Lean R county. I decided to see how much more Democratic it has been than the state using gubernatorial and senatorial elections dating back to statehood and added a polynomial trend line (that's what Excel calls it, at least). As the graph shows us, the direction it's trending can change, but on its current course it could definitely be a Republican county by the 2020s.

I wish I knew more about politics in the coast counties.  Another interesting thing I noticed is that both coastal counties had big partisan swings between the 2008 primary and General.

Grays went from to 64% Democratic to 56%, and if you subtract primary ballots from the GE result, you get only about 50.7% of "new" ballots being Democratic.

Pacific went from 63% Democratic to 55%, making 53% of the new ballot estimate Republican.

I wonder where the Dems are losing support: if the Democrats have just been running candidates that are bad for the area, or if swing voters are genuinely trending GOP there long-term.

It's interesting, because they're not exactly rabidly socially conservative areas, and Obama didn't exactly get destroyed there in the primaries.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_062612.pdf

According to PPP, the most popular city in Washington is Spokane (56-14) over Seattle (58-26).  I'm not a Spokane hater -- Brown's Addition seems nice and all.  But this is gross and strange.  Also faring well are Vancouver (49-10), which some people might have thought meant Canada's, and Olympia (48-20).  Tacoma (33-40) did not do so well.

Our local companies are pretty popular: Starbucks (46-25) and especially Microsoft (72-14).

Washingtonians prefer PCs over Macs, 44%-22%.

Only 7% of Washingtonians self-identify as hipsters, while 76% do not, and 17% are too old to know what that means.

Republicans hate Seattle, Tacoma, and Macs, and are ambivalent on Olympia.

Democrats like everything, especially Starbucks.

Republicans are more likely to call themselves hipsters -- 11% versus 7% for Democrats, proving that no hipsters call themselves hipsters, and Republicans have problems with irony.

[bgwah]

So more "like" Seattle than Spokane. Seattle just has a bigger group of haters.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Does anyone know what percentage Kerry got in the new 1st? 

[bgwah]

I went to the 1st district debate tonight. Still looking like Darcy will be the nominee. Sigh.

[Frodo]

Rob McKenna now opposes repealing Obamacare.