Southeast PA town map

[Nordstrand]

I think it's about time we get some Pennsylvania election results on here!

Here are the results for the five counties that make up the Philadelphia metro area:



McCain was absolutely clobbered in Chester County. Kerry only won seven townships there in 2004.

I've been compiling PA data by precinct and municipality in an Excel spreadsheet for about two months now. I've got 6,242 precincts of about 9,200+ complete. It's mostly the rural northern counties and Philadelphia (which alone has 1,681 precincts) that I'm missing.

[Nordstrand]

What is the little McCain-voting town surrounded by the Obama towns in eastern Bucks County?

It's Langhorne Manor: 56.37%-42.58% McCain. Not quite familiar with the area, but according to the census its 94% white and has a median family income of $78K, which could explain it.

[Nordstrand]

Well done!!!   What a great first post

Agreed.  Welcome to the forum

Thanks! I actually tried registering months ago, but it still says "awaiting approval" on that account so I just made a new one. I've been reading the forum for a while but at least now I can finally post, I've been wanting to share all this information and maps I have and comment on things!

[Nordstrand]

Here's the swing map from 2004. Unfortunately I don't have data for Bucks County.



And here's the map for 2004 if you're interested for comparison.

[Nordstrand]

When you look at the swing from 2000, Lower Moreland has had a swing of over 10% to McCain, which is pretty interesting considering almost every municipality in the area has swung the opposite direction, particularly the higher income townships. Neighboring Bryn Athyn voted 67% for Bush in 2000 and 50% for Obama.

Here's a map for the Lehigh Valley and Berks County. I don't have data from 2004, but the 2000 data on the atlas definitely shows the impressive gains the Democrats have made in the area. I'm pretty surprised by Upper Macungie and Lower Macungie, I would have thought those would be strong Republican-territory but they were 49.80%-49.23% and 50.58%-48.45% McCain, respectively. I guess it's the New Yorkers.

[Nordstrand]

Tinicum in Delaware County looks to be demographically like a relatively blue collar town. It has a very small population (about 4,000) and the majority of the township is the Philadelphia International Airport.

Since I don't have data for Bucks County from 2004, I made a swing map from 2000-2008 to get an idea of what's going on in Lower Bucks.

[Nordstrand]

Here's what the whole state looks like so far. I'm missing municipality data for 16 counties; I just e-mailed davidnyc so hopefully it'll be complete soon and I can make a statewide swing map from 2004.

[Nordstrand]

Anyone have Delaware data by municipality?

I don't think Delaware (or Maryland for that matter) are divided into towns/townships the same way other northeastern states are; I think most of the counties are unincorporated land.

[Nordstrand]

Here's the complete state by municipality!



I also updated the map of just the southeast to include Philadelphia by ward as well as the official results for Delaware County (the only thing that changed is Tinicum which is now for McCain).

[Nordstrand]

Some rankings of municipalities:

BY MARGIN

OBAMA
1.   Philadelphia city (Philadelphia) 478,759
2.   Pittsburgh city (Allegheny) 81,994
3.   Erie city (Erie) 18,373
4.   Allentown city (Lehigh) 18,134
5.   Reading city (Berks) 15,964
6.   Harrisburg city (Dauphin) 15,451
7.   Lower Merion township (Montgomery) 15,259
8.   Chester city (Delaware) 13,544
9.   Cheltenham township (Montgomery) 12,685
10.   Scranton city (Lackawanna) 12,400
11.   Lancaster city (Lancaster) 11,961
12.   Bethlehem city (Northampton/Lehigh) 11,430
13.   Upper Darby township (Delaware) 10,260
14.   Abington township (Montgomery) 9,966
15.   State College borough (Centre) 8,992
16.   York city (York) 8,001
17.   Bristol township (Bucks) 7,896
18.   Norristown borough (Montgomery) 7,869
19.   Wilkinsburg borough (Allegheny) 7,404
20.   Penn Hills township (Allegheny) 7,135
21.   Haverford township (Delaware) 5,750
22.   Yeadon borough (Delaware) 5,627
23.   Bensalem township (Bucks) 4,985
24.   Wilkes-Barre city (Luzerne) 4,670
25.   Falls township (Bucks) 4,539

Mostly big cities, places with large black populations, and some blue collar towns. State College is of course home to Penn State University. Some notable exceptions here are Lower Merion (very rich and part of the Main Line – although the wealthier precincts weren’t actually that impressive for Obama – McCain was close in Gladwyne which was Bush territory; the township also has a large Jewish population). Haverford (home to Haverford College) and Abington are other exceptions, and Cheltenham has a large Jewish, black, and Asian population.

McCAIN
1.   Hempfield township (Westmoreland) 5,604
2.   Cranberry township (Butler) 4,219
3.   Peters township (Washington) 4,128
4.   North Huntingdon township (Westmoreland) 4,099
5.   Penn township (Westmoreland) 3,602
6.   Murrysville borough (Westmoreland) 3,399
7.   Antrim township (Franklin) 3,215
8.   Guilford township (Franklin) 2,661
9.   Greene township (Franklin) 2,600
10.   Unity township (Westmoreland) 2,539
11.   McCandless township (Allegheny) 2,483
12.   Adams township (Butler) 2,395
13.   Hampden township (Cumberland) 2,337
14.   Bethel Park township (Allegheny) 2,284
15.   Upper St. Clair township (Allegheny) 2,279
16.   West Lampeter township (Lancaster) 2,251
17.   Fairview township (York) 2,129
18.   Warwick township (Lancaster) 2,037
19.   Rapho township (Lancaster) 2,013
20.   Pine township (Allegheny) 1,944
21.   York township (York) 1,924
22.   Hampton township (Allegheny) 1,887
23.   Plum borough (Allegheny) 1,877
24.   Upper Allen township (Cumberland) 1,860
25.   Dover township (York) 1,837

Most of these are either upper middle income Pittsburgh suburbs (Cranberry, Peters, Bethel Park, Upper St. Clair, McCandless, Murrysville, etc.), rural towns, or suburbs of cities outside of the Southeast (where suburbs voted for Obama).

BY MARGIN (PERCENT)

OBAMA
1.   Yeadon borough (Delaware) + 90.83%
2.   Chester city (Delaware) + 86.77%
3.    Braddock borough (Allegheny) + 81.64%
4.   Wilkinsburg borough (Allegheny) + 80.23%
5.   Darby borough (Delaware) + 80.06%
6.   Chester township (Delaware) + 79.62%
7.   Rankin borough (Allegheny) + 79.09%
8.   Homestead borough (Allegheny) + 79.25%
9.   Colwyn borough (Delaware) + 75.68%
10.   Harrisburg city (Dauphin) + 74.12%
11.   Farrell city (Mercer) + 71.43%
12.   Coatesville city (Chester) + 69.97%
13.   South Coatesville borough (Chester) + 68.28%
14.   Swarthmore borough (Delaware) + 67.43%
15.   Philadelphia city (Philadelphia) + 66.68%
16.   Norristown borough (Montgomery) + 65.36%
17.   Reading city (Berks) + 62.21%
18.   Cheltenham township (Montgomery) + 60.65%
19.   Sharon Hill borough (Delaware) + 60.38%
20.   Duquesne city (Allegheny) + 58.72%
21.   East Lansdowne borough (Delaware) + 58.07%
22.   York city (York) + 56.00%
23.   Modena borough (Chester) + 54.21%
24.   Mount Carbon borough (Schuylkill) + 54.00%
25.   Lansdowne borough (Delaware) + 53.69%

Again, mostly places with large or majority black populations. Swarthmore is home to Swarthmore College.

McCAIN
1.   Green Hills borough (Washington) + 83.33%
2.   East Keating township (Clinton) + 81.82%
3.   Hovey township (Armstrong) + 75.00%
4.   Centralia borough (Columbia) + 71.43%
5.   Pleasantville borough (Bedford) + 69.41%
6.   Ceres township (McKean) + 68.49%
7.   Brown township (Lycoming) + 66.67%
8.   St. Clairsville borough (Bedford) + 66.67%
9.   Bastress township (Lycoming) + 66.18%
10.   Upper Mahantongo township (Schuylkill) + 65.93%
11.   Timblin borough (Jefferson) + 65.38%
12.   Wayne township (Armstrong) + 65.24%
13.   Menno township (Mifflin) + 65.03%
14.   Union township (Fulton) + 65.00%
15.   Mifflin township (Dauphin) + 64.43%
16.   Southampton township (Bedford) + 64.23%
17.   Allegheny township (Butler) + 63.71%
18.   Lincoln township (Bedford) + 63.68%
19.   Wellersburg borough (Somerset) + 63.51%
20.   Leacock township (Lancaster) + 63.21%
21.   Woodbury township (Bedford) + 62.53%
22.   Anthony township (Lycoming) + 62.02%
23.   Penn township (Huntingdon) + 61.28%
24.   Brady township (Clarion) + 60.87%
25.   West Beaver township (Snyder) + 60.29%

These all have tiny populations; all but two of them (Leacock and Penn) had less than 500 votes cast. Green Hills technically had the highest per capita income in the state in the 2000 Census but a population of 18. These towns are all rural and essentially all white.

BY PERCENTAGE

OBAMA
1.   Yeadon borough (Delaware) 95.21%
2.   Chester city (Delaware) 93.23%
3.   Braddock borough (Allegheny) 90.63%
4.   Wilkinsburg borough (Allegheny) 89.74%
5.   Darby borough (Delaware) 89.71%
6.   Chester township (Delaware) 89.64%
7.   Rankin borough (Allegheny) 89.26%
8.   Colwyn borough (Delaware) 87.64%
9.   Homestead borough (Allegheny) 87.59%
10.   Harrisburg city (Dauphin) 86.79%
11.   Farrell city (Mercer) 85.02%
12.   Coatesville city (Chester) 84.59%
13.   South Coatesville borough (Chester) 84.06%
14.   Swarthmore borough (Delaware) 83.27%
15.   Philadelphia city (Philadelphia) 83.01%
16.   Norristown borough (Montgomery) 82.32%
17.   Reading city (Berks) 80.50%
18.   Cheltenham township (Montgomery) 79.98%
19.   Sharon Hill borough (Delaware) 79.71%
20.   Duquesne city (Allegheny) 78.91%
21.   East Lansdowne borough (Delaware) 78.83%
22.   York city (York) 77.35%
23.   Millbourne borough (Delaware) 76.37%
24.   Lansdowne borough (Delaware) 76.13%
25.   Mount Carbon borough (Schuylkill) 76.00%

McCAIN
1.   Green Hills borough (Washington) 91.67%
2.   East Keating township (Clinton) 90.91%
3.   Hovey township (Armstrong) 87.50%
4.   Centralia borough (Columbia) 85.71%
5.   Pleasantville borough (Bedford) 84.71%
6.   St Clairsville borough (Bedford) 83.33%
7.   Ceres township (McKean) 83.33%
8.   Bastress township (Lycoming) 82.72%
9.   Timblin borough (Jefferson) 82.69%
10.   Brown township (Lycoming) 82.61%
11.   Wayne township (Armstrong) 82.19%
12.   Union township (Fulton) 82.19%
13.   Upper Mahantongo township (Schuylkill) 82.02%
14.   Menno township (Mifflin) 81.60%
15.   Mifflin township (Dauphin) 81.42%
16.   Woodbury township (Bedford) 81.26%
17.   Southampton township (Bedford) 81.11%
18.   Wellersburg borough (Somerset) 81.08%
19.   Leacock township (Lancaster) 80.66%
20.   Allegheny township (Butler) 80.59%
21.   Anthony township (Lycoming) 80.53%
22.   Lincoln township (Bedford) 80.53%
23.   Penn township (Huntingdon) 80.28%
24.   New Washington borough (Clearfield) 80.00%
25.   West Beaver township (Snyder) 79.90%

McCAIN (towns with 5,000+ votes)
1.   Antrim township (Franklin) 74.56%
2.   Adams township (Butelr) 69.68%
3.   Guilford township (Franklin) 67.56%
4.   Peters township (Washington) 67.06%
5.   Pine township (Allegheny) 66.47%
6.   Penn township (Westmoreland) 66.07%
7.   Greene township (Franklin) 65.87%
8.   Loyalsock township (Lycoming) 64.66%
9.   Murrysville borough (Westmoreland) 63.99%
10.   Cranberry township (Butler) 63.96%
11.   Richland township (Allegheny) 63.94%
12.   Hempfield township (Westmoreland) 62.70%
13.   West Lampeter township (Lancaster) 62.29%
14.   North Huntingdon township (Westmoreland) 62.00%
15.   Washington township (Franklin) 61.46%
16.   Unity township (Westmoreland) 61.45%
17.   Logan township (Blair) 61.30%
18.   Fairview township (York) 61.23%
19.   Newberry township (York) 61.15%
20.   South Middleton township (Cumberland) 61.05%
21.   West Hanover township (Dauphin) 60.68%
22.   Sandy township (Clearfield) 60.63%
23.   Warwick township (Lancaster) 60.38%
24.   Penn township (York) 60.09%
25.   Franklin Park borough (Allegheny) 60.09%

[Nordstrand]

...and here's the map combined with NE, NY, and NJ.



Link: http://i686.photobucket.com/albums/vv223/nordstrand87/northeast2008.png

[Nordstrand]

Am I correct that Hempfield is the largest municipality in PA to vote for McCain? According to Wiki, it has 40K pop., but only because it has a large land area...wow, certainly shows how weak the GOP is in Northern Metro areas.

The largest municipality to vote for McCain was Altoona, and industrial city in the central part of the state. Keep in mind that Pennsylvania municipalities tend to be small. I don't think McCain did that badly in the Pittsburgh suburbs, most of them he won by at least 10%+ margins although I'm sure they're all trending Democratic. The Philadelphia area, well that's a different story, especially with the change in Chester County. The Lehigh Valley and Reading suburbs McCain did horribly in as well.

These are the most populous McCain places with 2007 populations:
1.       Altoona city (Blair) 47,271 51.58%-46.64%
2.       Hempfield township (Westmoreland) 42,576 62.70%-36.44%
3.       Northampton township (Bucks) 41,448 52.29%-46.94%
4.       Manheim township (Lancaster) 37,586 51.94%46.94%
5.       Bethel Park borough (Allegheny) 35,654 55.25%-43.47%
6.       Ross township (Allegheny) 30,697 52.49%-46.24%
7.       Shaler township (Allegheny) 29,282 54.10%-44.60%
8.       North Huntingdon township (Westmoreland) 29,260 62.00%-37.07%
9.       McCandless township (Allegheny) 28,090 56.91%-42.04%
10.   Cranberry township (Butler) 27,170 63.96%-35.03%
11.   Plum borough (Allegheny) 27,146 56.07%-42.78%
12.   Lower Macungie township (Lehigh) 27,002 50.58%-48.45%
13.   Marple township (Delaware) 26,485 51.09%-48.01%
14.   Hampden township (Cumberland) 26,230 57.08%-41.71%
15.   York township (York) 26,150 55.90%-42.60%
16.   Springettsbury township (York) 24,322 51.37%-47.47%
17.   Springfield township (Delaware) 23,891 51.64%-47.22%
18.   Moon township (Allegheny) 23,777 54.91%-43.92%
19.   Derry township (Dauphin) 21,902 53.67-45.23%
20.   Unity township (Westmoreland) 21,748 61.45%-37.71%
21.   East Hempfield township (Lancaster) 21,704 52.94%-45.92%
22.   Peters township (Washington) 20,919 67.06%-32.13%
23.   Upper St. Clair township (Allegheny) 20,545 58.96%-40.17%
24.   Dover township (York) 19,884 59.23%-39.22%
25.   Penn township (Westmoreland) 19,603 66.07%-33.03%

[Nordstrand]

Have to say I'm a little disappointed (though not entirely surprised) that Pittsburgh didn't wind up on this list. What were the final percentages for Da Burg?

Pittsburgh : 75.23%-23.44% Obama.