2010 house predictions

[Vepres]

LOL, reading through this thread is comical. Some gems:

If Obama's approval rating is 45 percent the GOP would pickup 15-20 seats. If it is 50 percent they gain about 10 seats.

For the GOP to take back the House, Obama would have to be at 35 percent or below; it's hard to find 40 seats that are even realistically winnable, much less going out and actually winning them.

I expect to gain about 50 or 60 seats, so that would put us right around 230 seats.

I'm in awe.

Giffords is not going to be knocked off.  She doesnt have a credible opponent and Republicans are not even targeting her. 

The Dems are not going to lose the House in 2010 or likely 2012 either. Our first chance comes really in 2014 and it relies on us nominating people who can win in reality, not win in your little pipe dream fanasty.

[Torie]

This poll was easy.

[Senator Ben]

I expect them to gain about 8-14 seats, so that will put them around 185.

Jesus, I was way off.  Now I'd say they gain 40-45, putting them around 220-225.

[OC]

I say 35 seats.

[Bo]

218-230

[N.i.K.]

I remember this thread. I'm pretty sure originally I voted 181-217, and expected to be on the lower end of that scale. Things change, huh?

Now, my new vote is 218-230. I think it will probably be on the upper end of that range, too.

I expect to gain about 50 or 60 seats, so that would put us right around 230 seats.

Remember how much crap I took for  this all last year?  Now Nate Silver says we're even money to take the House.

What was your reasoning last year? I'm curious.

[OC]

I now acknowledge that the Dems will lose either chamber of Congress, something that the Obama camp needs to acknowledge now.

[Mr.Phips]

I now acknowledge that the Dems will lose either chamber of Congress, something that the Obama camp needs to acknowledge now.

I think they realize that.

[The Duke]

Heh.

[J. J.]

I expect to gain about 50 or 60 seats, so that would put us right around 230 seats.

Remember how much crap I took for  this all last year?  Now Nate Silver says we're even money to take the House.

It looks like a very good year for the GOP.

And I win the award for understatement of the year.