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Source: Marist College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DKatie HobbsDemocratic49%piePoll Date: 2022-11-02
RKari Lake^Republican48%Number Polled: 1,015
IOthersIndependent1%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-2%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Governor Retiring)

Hobbs (D) +1

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2022-11-04 @ 00:52:10

Question:

About this Poll

This survey of 1,247 Arizona adults was conducted October 31st through November 2nd, 2022 by the Marist Poll. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Arizona were contacted through a multi-mode design: By phone using live interviewers, by text, or online. The sampling frames include RDD plus listed landline, RDD cell phone sample plus cell phone sample based on billing address to account for inward and outward mobility within a state, and aggregated online research panels. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Phone and online samples were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2020 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and race. Regional adjustments were made for turnout in similar elections. Results are statistically significant within ±3.9 percentage points. There are 1,157 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.1 percentage points. There are 1,015 registered voters who definitely plan to vote in November’s election. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.3 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

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