Question:
FLORIDA STILL A TOSS-UP Republican John McCain has moved narrowly ahead of Democrat Barack Obama in Florida. Statewide, 46% of voters currently support McCain, while 45% back Obama, 2% are for other candidates and 7% remain undecided. Obama held a similarly slim 48%-46% lead two weeks ago. PRESIDENTIAL VOTE OBAMA MCCAIN OTHER UND February 2008 37% 47% N/A 16% August 2008 45% 44% N/A 11% September 2008 47% 45% 1% 7% Early October 2008 48% 46% 1% 6% Mid October 2008 45% 46% 2% 7%

Poll Demographics
SAMPLE FIGURES: Men 306 (49%) Women 319 (51%) Whites 464 (74%) Blacks 79 (13%) Hispanic 72 (12%) Other 10 (2%) Democrats 278 (44%) Republicans 235 (38%) Independents 112 (18%) REGION SAMPLE SIZE North Florida 120 interviews Central Florida 130 interviews Tampa Bay 115 interviews Southeast Florida 190 interviews Southwest Florida 70 interviews

About this Poll
The Mason-Dixon Florida Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 20 through October 21, 2008. A total of 625 registered voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized and quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or party grouping.