Question:
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".


PENNSYLVANIA LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds

Obama 52% 16% 78% 50% 45% 57% 47% 95% 51%
McCain 40 79 14 39 47 34 44 1 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 2 1 2 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 5 6 8 6 8 7 4 6

IMP ISSUE Q4
War Econ Algny Phily NEast SEast NWest SWest Cntrl

Obama 59% 56% 51% 77% 46% 54% 45% 46% 46%
McCain 30 37 40 18 42 39 46 44 46
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 - 2 1 2 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 9 6 6 5 10 7 8 7 6

WHITES.................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath

Obama 61% 51% 48% 47% 48% 41% 53% 34% 45%
McCain 33 41 43 44 45 51 38 58 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 5 8 7 5 6 7 7 8

PresVt2004.. CongVt2008.. DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ14
Bush Kerry Rep Dem Clintn Obama App Dis

Obama 19% 83% 18% 73% 66% 93% 12% 66%
McCain 74 11 77 18 24 5 81 26
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 4 - 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 5 5 7 7 1 6 6


TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?


REGISTERED VOTERS.....................................
Jun 18 May 22 May 1 Apr 2 Feb 27 Feb 14 Oct 10
2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007

Obama 45 46 47 43 42 42 45
McCain 36 40 38 39 40 41 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 4 4 4 4 4
DK/NA 14 8 9 11 12 11 8



1a. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?


CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
FL Tot Obama McCain

Made up 79% 79% 79%
Might change 19 19 19
DK/NA 2 2 3

OH Tot Obama McCain

Made up 77% 81% 73%
Might change 21 18 24
DK/NA 2 1 3

PA Tot Obama McCain

Made up 75% 75% 74%
Might change 24 24 24
DK/NA 1 1 1
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Poll Demographics

About this Poll
From June 9 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
1,511 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent.
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