PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Dem Primary - IA ResultsPolls
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Source: ARG (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
ObamaDemocratic27%pie
Poll Date: 2007-11-29
Number Polled: 600
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
ClintonDemocratic25%
EdwardsDemocratic23%
BidenDemocratic8%
OtherDemocratic9%
-UndecidedDemocratic8%

Obama Takes IA Lead as Edwards Gains and Hillary Falls; All W/in MoE

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2007-11-30 @ 14:27:50

Question:
If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus, that you might participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus, or that you will probably not participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus?

Poll Demographics
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Nov 10-14 Nov 26-29

Biden 5% 8%
Clinton 27% 25%
Dodd 3% 3%
Edwards 20% 23%
Gravel - -
Kucinich 2% 2%
Obama 21% 27%
Richardson 12% 4%
Undecided 10% 8%

Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Democrats (89%) No party (11%)

Biden 9% 2%
Clinton 24% 32%
Dodd 3% -
Edwards 22% 33%
Gravel - -
Kucinich 2% 2%
Obama 28% 21%
Richardson 4% 4%
Undecided 8% 6%


About this Poll
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus goers living in Iowa (536 Democrats and 64 no party (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: November 26-29, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Incidence of Likely Democratic Caucus Participation: 10.5% of Democratic and no party voters.

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