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Source: Mercyhurst University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DClintonDemocratic43%piePoll Date: 2016-03-11
RTrumpRepublican35%Number Polled: 421
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 5%
-Other-4%Voter Type: Registered
-Undecided-19%

Clinton trails Rubio/Kasich in PA, leads Trump and Cruz

 By: IndyRep (R-MT) on 2016-03-15 @ 06:19:09

Question:
Now I'd like you to think about your vote in the 2016 presidential election. If the 2016 presidential election was
held today and you had to choose to vote for the Democrat Hillary Clinton or the Republican Donald Trump, who
would you vote for?
Clinton 43 Trump 35
Other (volunteered) 4
Neither/would not vote (volunteered) 13
DK 5 RF 1

Clinton 43 Trump 35
Clinton 45 Cruz 42
Clinton 39 Rubio 47
Clinton 36 Kasich 49

Sanders 49 Trump 37
Sanders 48 Cruz 40
Sanders 41 Rubio 46
Sanders 42 Kasich 46

About this Poll
This report summarizes the results of a survey of registered voters in Pennsylvania, which was conducted between March 1 and March 11, 2016. During the 10 day field period interviewers called weekday evenings between the hours of 6:00 and 9:00 PM and between 11:00 AM and 6:00 PM on weekends. For each working phone number, interviewers made no fewer than six attempts to contact individuals selected to participate in the study. Calls were initiated by CATI software or manually dialed and relied on a list of randomly selected registered voters Pennsylvania obtained from L2.

A total of 421 individuals were interviewed. For a sample size of 421, there is a 95 percent probability that the results are within plus or minus 4.8 points (the margin of error) of the actual population distribution for any given question. For subsamples, the margin of error is higher (depending on the size of the subsample). Aside from sampling error, there are several factors that prevent the results obtained through a probability sample from being a perfect representation of the results that would be obtained if the entire population was interviewed. This non-sampling error may be caused by of a variety of factors including, but not limited to, response rate and question order. In this survey, a variety of techniques were employed to reduce common sources of non-sampling error.

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