PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls - GA ResultsPolls
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Source: University of Georgia/AJC (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RTrumpRepublican48%piePoll Date: 2020-10-06
DBidenDemocratic46%Number Polled: 1,106
IInd CandIndependent3%Margin of Error: 3%
-Other-0%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-3%

Trump +1

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2020-10-09 @ 06:42:25

Question:

About this Poll

The AJC-SPIA Poll was conducted September 27 to October 6, 2020 and included a total of 1,106
likely general election voters in Georgia. Likely voters were respondents who had voted in the 2020
June primaries and/or the 2018 general election and/or the 2016 general election, who indicated they
were currently registered to vote in Georgia, and were definitely or probably going to vote in the 2020
November election. The survey was administered by the School of Public and International Affairs
Survey Research Center at the University of Georgia. Interviews were conducted in English. A dualframe
statewide random sample consisting of approximately 70% cell phone numbers and 30%
landline numbers was obtained through L2 (L2 is a sampling vendor that maintains a database
constructed from state voter registration lists. Through commercial sources, phone numbers have
been appended to the individual records (registrants) that make up these lists). The survey results
were weighted using iterative proportional raking in order to ensure the sample was representative of
the 2020 general electorate in terms of race, sex, age, and education. The calculated margin of error
for the total sample is +/-2.9 points at the 95% confidence level. This would mean that if 50% of
respondents indicate a topline view on an issue, we can be 95% confident that the population’s view
on that issue is somewhere between 52.9% and 47.1%. The margin of error including design effects is
+/-4.0 points at the 95% confidence level.1

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