Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:13

Prediction Map
Aguagon Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Aguagon Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	353
Rep	185
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	264
Rep	157
Ind	0
Tos	117

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+8	0	+101	0	0	0	20	2	252	+101
Rep	0	0	0	-8	0	-101	23	3	185	-101
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
101	50	44	4	3

Analysis

Sparing all the usual hoopla, this is my final answer. If I was able to go back in time and show this map to myself two months ago, Past Me would probably declare Present Me a hack.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	7	1	47	T
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%	7	1	11	T
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	4	1	89	T
2012 Rep Primary	37/52	16/52	53/104	51.0%	23	-	64	T
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%	8	0	34	T
2010 Governor	35/37	28/37	63/74	85.1%	4	0	11	T
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	5	21	1	T
2008 President	54/56	47/56	101/112	90.2%	13	1	6	T
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	8	1	28	T
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	3	1	27	T
2008 Dem Primary	39/52	22/52	61/104	58.7%	20	-	38	T
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	21/49	59/98	60.2%	17	-	14
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	169	1	T
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	27/33	58/66	87.9%	7	2	10	T
2006 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%	8	1	44	T
Aggregate Predictions	448/501	324/501	772/1002	77.0%