Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:6

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	377
Rep	161
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	364
Rep	147
Ind	0
Tos	27

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+11	0	+125	0	0	0	20	2	252	+125
Rep	0	0	0	-11	0	-125	20	3	161	-125
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
89	47	36	4	2

Analysis

Moved Arizona, Indiana, Montana and North Dakota to Toss Ups
Moved Arizona and North Dakota to Obama
Moved Indiana to McCain

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 5

Moved Arizona to Leans Republican.

Version: 4

I have Moved Georgia, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia into the Lean Republican area.

I have moved Missouri from Toss-up To Strong Democrat

Version: 3

Alright with Missouri starting to trend away from McCain Im inclined to label that one a tossup. I still however believe McCain has the advantage in Missouri The other change is Nebraska's 2nd District to Lean Republican.

Version: 2

North Carolina will be much closer then people think, I really think that Obama can win North Carolina and Indiana.

Version: 1

There is going to be quite a bunch of surprises. From what i saw in polls, I think Kentucky, Virginia, Colorado, Missouri and Arkansas will be the swingstates.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%	1	23	240	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	16/36	44/72	61.1%	1	23	171	T	300
2008 President	51/56	38/56	89/112	79.5%	6	0	247	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%	6	0	48	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	1	31	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	31/52	17/52	48/104	46.2%	2	-	80	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	32/49	5/49	37/98	37.8%	1	-	105	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	216/273	122/273	338/546	61.9%

Links

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