McCain is our nominee and the only candidate left. This looks like it will be my final map except to adjust the percentages.

McCain will sweep the March 4th states over Huckabee. Huckabee's only shot is in Texas, and McCain will win there as well. He'll most likely clinch the nomination and, if he keeps his promise, Huckabee will drop out and leave McCain as the nominee.

Wisconsin will go to McCain, but Huckabee will do well in the state.

Huckabee seems to be having a mini-surge in VA. McCain won't crack 60% there, but he will in Maryland and DC will go overwhelmingly for him. Huckabee stays in the race, though.

Here is the post Romney-drop out map. It looks like a two man race, but McCain is heavily favored. He will almost surely be the nominee. Huckabee and McCain will duke it out for the rest of the way forward.

McCain will win big in Maryland, Virginia, and DC coming up. Huckabee will take Louisiana and Kansas.

Huckabee has a real chance to win Texas, Nebraska, and Idaho, but McCain will win the remaining big states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Indiana, Washington etc.. it is pretty much game over.

Here is the post Romney-drop out map. It looks like a two man race, but McCain is heavily favored. He will almost surely be the nominee. Huckabee and McCain will duke it out for the rest of the way forward.

McCain will win big in Maryland, Virginia, and DC coming up. Huckabee will take Louisiana and Kansas.

Huckabee has a real chance to win Texas, Nebraska, and Idaho, but McCain will win the remaining big states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Indiana, Washington etc.. it is pretty much game over.

Here is the post Romney-drop out map. It looks like a two man race, but McCain is heavily favored. He will almost surely be the nominee. Huckabee and McCain will duke it out for the rest of the way forward.

McCain will win big in Maryland, Virginia, and DC coming up. Huckabee will take Louisiana and Kansas.

Huckabee has a real chance to win Texas, Nebraska, and Idaho, but McCain will win the remaining big states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Indiana, Washington etc.. it is pretty much game over.

Well, this is a post Super Tuesday map. It appears as if Romney is finished. I don't know if he'll continue to throw his personal fortune at a frivilous cause or not.

Huckabee came away as a real winner last night, winning in Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Georgia. This will boost his chances in winning in Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi and South Dakota, if Romney drops out. If not, Romney will win SD.

McCain will win the southern states of Virginia, North Carolina over Huckabee, though it will be close, and Maryland, DC, Ohio.

Here's my prediction going into Super Tuesday. I think it will be a big day for McCain, all things considered. Here is what I expect will happen for each candidate left.

McCain:He'll win the Northeast sans Massachusetts, Illinois, and battle in the South with Huckabee in Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama.

Romney: He'll win Massachusetts, Colorado, Utah, and Montana - all thanks to the Mormon population. He'll be competitive in the other states, but ultimately fall short to McCain. California is lean Romney as of now. He has a real chance there.

Huckabee: Arkansas will definitely go to Huckabee. He also has a chance to win Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama, but he has a tight battle with McCain in all three of them. Again, I ultimately believe McCain will beat him in these states as he clinches the nomination by February 6th. California is a real tossup. My gut has told me that McCain will win California, but polls are showing Romney with real momentum there. It looks like he could pull an upset there to steal some wind from McCain's sails. But I am making a late switch to McCain. The trend looks too much like Florida.

Here's my prediction going into Super Tuesday. I think it will be a big day for McCain, all things considered. Here is what I expect will happen for each candidate left.

McCain:He'll win the Northeast sans Massachusetts, Illinois, and battle in the South with Huckabee in Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama.

Romney: He'll win Massachusetts, Colorado, Utah, and Montana - all thanks to the Mormon population. He'll be competitive in the other states, but ultimately fall short to McCain. California is lean Romney as of now. He has a real chance there.

Huckabee: Arkansas will definitely go to Huckabee. He also has a chance to win Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama, but he has a tight battle with McCain in all three of them. Again, I ultimately believe McCain will beat him in these states as he clinches the nomination by February 6th. California is a real tossup. My gut has told me that McCain will win California, but polls are showing Romney with real momentum there. It looks like he could pull an upset there to steal some wind from McCain's sails.

Here's my prediction going into Super Tuesday. I think it will be a big day for McCain, all things considered. Here is what I expect will happen for each candidate left.

McCain:He'll win the Northeast sans Massachusetts, California, Illinois, and battle in the South with Huckabee in Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama.

Romney: Barring a big upset in California, which looks less likely by the day, he won't take much. He'll win Massachusetts, Colorado, Utah, and Montana - all thanks to the Mormon population. He'll be competitive in the other states, but ultimately fall short to McCain.

Huckabee: Arkansas will definitely go to Huckabee. He also has a chance to win Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama, but he has a tight battle with McCain in all three of them. Again, I ultimately believe McCain will beat him in these states as he clinches the nomination by February 6th.

Here's my prediction going into Super Tuesday. I think it will be a big day for McCain, all things considered. Here is what I expect will happen for each candidate left.

McCain:He'll win the Northeast sans Massachusetts, California, Illinois, and battle in the South with Huckabee in Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama.

Romney: Barring a big upset in California, which looks less likely by the day, he won't take much. He'll win Massachusetts, Colorado, Utah, and Montana - all thanks to the Mormon population. He'll be competitive in the other states, but ultimately fall short to McCain.

Huckabee: Arkansas will definitely go to Huckabee. He also has a chance to win Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama, but he has a tight battle with McCain in all three of them. Again, I ultimately believe McCain will beat him in these states as he clinches the nomination by February 6th.

If Florida ends up being a Romney/McCain battle with Rudy fading, then things will turn out like this. Huckabee may carry a few southern states, but I think McCain will take them barely. Huck has no money left and after losing SC, it appears as if his campaign is on life support. He'll finish fourth in Florida and then the race will go to a Romney v. McCain battle, with the remaining Rudy supporters shifting to McCain.

Romney may stay in the race as he has the money to do so, but he won't get anywhere. McCain will sweep the Northeast outside of Massachusetts, and Romney will take some of the western states with high Mormon populations.

This is the final prediction for the primary for the GOP.

Iowa: I believe that Huckabee will eek out a a victory in Iowa thanks to the networks of home schoolers, flat tax supporters, and faith based people.
Results: Huckabee, Romney, McCain, Thompson, Giuliani, Paul, Hunter, others.

Wyoming: Based on recent readings, I will say Romney gets the most delegates from the state, but that victory will largely be ignored. It is based on who has spent the most in the state.
Results: Romney, Thompson, Paul, Hunter, Giuliani, McCain

New Hampshire: The winds are definitely behind McCain in New Hampshire. Polls have him leading Romney by a comfortable margin.
Results: McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Michigan: McCain's Straight Talk Express gaffed when he told Michigan residents that he never saw their jobs coming back. Favorite son Mitt Romney will win the state narrowly, halting the surging McCain, and he will live to fight another day.
Results: McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Giuliani, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Nevada: Mitt Romney takes Nevada, thanks to the Mormon population and his win in Michigan.
Results: Romney, McCain, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

South Carolina: Governor Huckabee picks up his second state as the strong evangelical presence in South Carolina come out and give him a convincing victory over McCain and Thompson. Fred drops out after this loss and endorses McCain. Results: Huckabee, Thompson, McCain, Romney, Paul, Giuliani.
Drop outs: Thompson (endorses McCain)

Hawaii: Very few polls here, but I am assuming that Giuliani will win the state's delagates seeing as the state is relatively moderate and lacks many evangelical voters.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Paul, others.

Florida: After campaigning heavily in Florida for months and making it a centerpiece to his campaign strategy, Giuliani wins the state over McCain and Huckabee as the split the anti-Rudy votes. Many northern transplants from New Jersey and New York come out to vote and give the former New York City mayor a comfortable win.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Huckabee, Romney, Paul, others.

Super Tuesday: Giuliani takes hold of the election on this day as he and McCain win the majority of the states. Giuliani takes states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, and Massachusetts. McCain takes the rest, including Arizona, West Virginia, Montana, and Missouri. Huckabee wins Arkansas, Alabama, and Georgia. Thompson wins his home state of Tennessee even though he has already dropped out. Romney wins Utah. He drops out after Super Tuesday.
Drop outs: Romney (endorses Giuliani)

McCain and Giuliani will battle it out from then on because they have more money than Huckabee, with Giuliani being the eventual winner. Huckabee drops out in March and endorses McCain.

This is the final prediction for the primary for the GOP.

Iowa: I believe that Huckabee will eek out a a victory in Iowa thanks to the networks of home schoolers, flat tax supporters, and faith based people.
Results: Huckabee, Romney, McCain, Thompson, Giuliani, Paul, Hunter, others.

Wyoming: Based on recent readings, I will say Romney gets the most delegates from the state, but that victory will largely be ignored. It is based on who has spent the most in the state.
Results: Romney, Thompson, Paul, Hunter, Giuliani, McCain

New Hampshire: The winds are definitely behind McCain in New Hampshire. Polls have him leading Romney by a comfortable margin.
Results: McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Michigan: McCain's Straight Talk Express gaffed when he told Michigan residents that he never saw their jobs coming back. Favorite son Mitt Romney will win the state narrowly, halting the surging McCain, and he will live to fight another day.
Results: McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Giuliani, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Nevada: Rudy Giuliani campaigns hard in Nevada and picks up a narrow win thanks to the collapse of Romney after his loss in Michigan.
Results: Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain, Romney, Thompson, Paul, Hunter.

South Carolina: Governor Huckabee picks up his second state as the strong evangelical presence in South Carolina come out and give him a convincing victory over McCain and Thompson. Fred drops out after this loss and endorses McCain. Results: Huckabee, Thompson, McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Paul, Hunter.
Drop outs: Thompson (endorses McCain)

Hawaii: Very few polls here, but I am assuming that Giuliani will win the state's delagates seeing as the state is relatively moderate and lacks many evangelical voters.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Paul, others.

Florida: After campaigning heavily in Florida for months and making it a centerpiece to his campaign strategy, Giuliani wins the state over McCain and Huckabee as the split the anti-Rudy votes. Many northern transplants from New Jersey and New York come out to vote and give the former New York City mayor a comfortable win.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Huckabee, Romney, Paul, others.

Super Tuesday: Giuliani takes hold of the election on this day as he and McCain win the majority of the states. Giuliani takes states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, and Massachusetts. McCain takes the rest, including Arizona, West Virginia, Montana, and Missouri. Huckabee wins Arkansas, Alabama, and Georgia. Thompson wins his home state of Tennessee even though he has already dropped out. Romney wins Utah. He drops out after Super Tuesday.
Drop outs: Romney (endorses Giuliani)

McCain and Giuliani will battle it out from then on because they have more money than Huckabee, with Giuliani being the eventual winner. Huckabee drops out in March and endorses McCain.

This is the final prediction for the primary for the GOP.

Iowa: I believe that Huckabee will eek out a a victory in Iowa thanks to the networks of home schoolers, flat tax supporters, and faith based people.
Results: Huckabee, Romney, McCain, Thompson, Giuliani, Paul, Hunter, others.

Wyoming: Based on recent readings, I will say Romney gets the most delegates from the state, but that victory will largely be ignored. It is based on who has spent the most in the state.
Results: Romney, Thompson, Paul, Hunter, Giuliani, McCain

New Hampshire: The winds are definitely behind McCain in New Hampshire. Polls have him leading Romney by a comfortable margin.
Results: McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Michigan: This state is a harder call because the polls have come few and far between. However, with a win under his belt, McCain seems poised to take the state that he won in 2000 with the momentum that he received with his victory in New Hampshire. Giuliani and Huckabee will duke it out for second. Results: McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Giuliani, Paul, Thompson, Hunter.

Nevada: Rudy Giuliani campaigns hard in Nevada and picks up a narrow win thanks to the collapse of Romney after his loss in Michigan.
Results: Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain, Romney, Thompson, Paul, Hunter.

South Carolina: Governor Huckabee picks up his second state as the strong evangelical presence in South Carolina come out and give him a convincing victory over McCain and Thompson. Fred drops out after this loss and endorses McCain. Results: Huckabee, Thompson, McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Paul, Hunter.
Drop outs: Thompson (endorses McCain)

Hawaii: Very few polls here, but I am assuming that Giuliani will win the state's delagates seeing as the state is relatively moderate and lacks many evangelical voters.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Paul, others.

Florida: After campaigning heavily in Florida for months and making it a centerpiece to his campaign strategy, Giuliani wins the state over McCain and Huckabee as the split the anti-Rudy votes. Many northern transplants from New Jersey and New York come out to vote and give the former New York City mayor a comfortable win.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Huckabee, Romney, Paul, others.

Super Tuesday: Giuliani takes hold of the election on this day as he and McCain win the majority of the states. Giuliani takes states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, and Massachusetts. McCain takes the rest, including Arizona, West Virginia, Montana, and Missouri. Huckabee wins Arkansas, Alabama, and Georgia. Thompson wins his home state of Tennessee even though he has already dropped out. Romney wins Utah. He drops out after Super Tuesday.
Drop outs: Romney (endorses Giuliani)

McCain and Giuliani will battle it out from then on because they have more money than Huckabee, with Giuliani being the eventual winner. Huckabee drops out in March and endorses McCain.

This is the final prediction for the primary for the GOP.

Iowa: I believe that Huckabee will eek out a a victory in Iowa thanks to the networks of home schoolers, flat tax supporters, and faith based people.
Results: Huckabee, Romney, McCain, Thompson, Giuliani, Paul, Hunter, others.
Drop outs: Fred Thompson (endorses McCain) and Duncan Hunter (endorses McCain).

Wyoming: No polls have been done here at all. I am going totally out on a limb here and say Huckabee wins the delegates over Romney.
Results: Huckabee, Romney, Giuliani, McCain, Paul, others.

New Hampshire: The winds are definitely behind McCain in New Hampshire. Polls have him leading Romney by a comfortable margin.
Results: McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul, others.

Michigan: This state is a harder call because the polls have come few and far between. However, with a win under his belt, McCain seems poised to take the state that he won in 2000 with the momentum that he received with his victory in New Hampshire. Giuliani and Huckabee will duke it out for second. Results: McCain, Giuliani, Huckabee, Romney, Paul, others.

Nevada: Rudy Giuliani campaigns hard in Nevada followiang a surprising second in Michigan and wins the state by a slim margin over a surging McCain for his first victory.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Paul, others.

South Carolina: Governor Huckabee picks up his second state as the strong evangelical presence in South Carolina come out and give him a convincing victory over McCain and Giuliani. Results: Huckabee, Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Paul, others.

Hawaii: Very few polls here, but I am assuming that Giuliani will win the state's delagates seeing as the state is relatively moderate and lacks many evangelical voters.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Paul, others.

Florida: After campaigning heavily in Florida for months and making it a centerpiece to his campaign strategy, Giuliani wins the state over McCain and Huckabee as the split the anti-Rudy votes. Many northern transplants from New Jersey and New York come out to vote and give the former New York City mayor a comfortable win.
Results: Giuliani, McCain, Huckabee, Romney, Paul, others.

Super Tuesday: Giuliani takes hold of the election on this day as he and McCain win the majority of the states. Giuliani takes states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, and Massachusetts. McCain takes the rest, including Arizona, West Virginia, Montana, and Missouri. Huckabee wins Arkansas, Alabama, and Georgia. Thompson wins his home state of Tennessee even though he has already dropped out. Romney wins Utah. He drops out after Super Tuesday.
Drop outs: Romney (endorses Giuliani)

McCain and Giuliani will battle it out from then on because they have more money than Huckabee, with Giuliani being the eventual winner. Huckabee drops out in March and endorses McCain.

Some updates from last time. The race is very much anyone's ballgame. McCain, Giuliani, Romney, and Huckabee all have a chance. After Thursday, the race may be narrowed down quite a bit.

First of all, if Romney loses Iowa to Huckabee, which is very much a possibility, then it is all but over for him. McCain goes on to win New Hampshire, Michigan, and Maine. Giuliani pulls a surprise and wins Nevada the same day Huckabee wins South Carolina, so that somewhat overshadows the former New York City mayor's victory. Wyoming is a complete tossup, but odds are that Huckabee will win their delegates, as the Romney support outside of Utah will waver following his loses in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Rudy wins the Hawaii primary on the 25th, and then takes Florida by a slim margin over Huckabee. On Super Tuesday, he takes many big state by slim margins except big wins in NY, NJ, and CT. Romney also loses his home state to Giuliani, as he isn't the same man they supported in 2002 for governor.

Thompson drops out of the race following Super Tuesday and only wins his home state of Tennessee, as Huckabee takes the remaining southern states. Romney remains in, as he has the money to compete, but wins no states except Utah.

I do believe Huckabee will take Iowa by a substantial margin, and Romney will finish a distant second. Rudy Giuliani will see a moral victory here by finishing a strong third and picking up lots of independent votes. In New Hampshire, Romney wins barely in a tight three way race with McCain and Giuliani, as many independents come out to support them both. South Carolina gives Huckabee his second state as the religious right comes out full force to take the state for him. Giuliani picks up his first state in Nevada on the same day, and then wins Michigan barely ahead of a big win in Florida. Rudy also takes Hawaii thanks to the support of the moderate Republicans in the state.

On Super Tuesday, Huckabee fizzles out and Giuliani takes all of the delagate rich states, including a narrow defeat of Fred Thonpson in Texas. Thompson carries many of the deep south over Rudy, and McCain wins his home state of Arizona, ND, WV, and Oklahoma.

States after Super Tuesday are hard to predict as many candidates will drop out by then. But I assume Rudy wraps up the nomination if he wins that many during Super Tuesday.

I do believe Huckabee will take Iowa by a substantial margin, and Romney will finish a distant second. Rudy Giuliani will see a moral victory here by finishing a strong third and picking up lots of independent votes. In New Hampshire, Romney wins barely in a tight three way race with McCain and Giuliani, as many independents come out to support them both. South Carolina gives Huckabee his second state as the religious right comes out full force to take the state for him. Giuliani picks up his first state in Nevada on the same day, and then wins Michigan barely ahead of a big win in Florida. Rudy also takes Hawaii thanks to the support of the moderate Republicans in the state.

On Super Tuesday, Huckabee fizzles out and Giuliani takes all of the delagate rich states, including a narrow defeat of Fred Thonpson in Texas. Thompson carries many of the deep south over Rudy, and McCain wins his home state of Arizona, ND, WV, and Oklahoma.

States after Super Tuesday are hard to predict as many candidates will drop out by then. But I assume Rudy wraps up the nomination if he wins that many during Super Tuesday.

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