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Date of Prediction: 2012-06-20 Version:12
|Prediction Key||Confidence Key|
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
Based on the Arizona and Colorado polls PPP released Tuesday, I'm bumping Arizona from Strong R to Lean R and Colorado from 40% D to 50% D.
If I could trust the Elway poll of Washington, I'd consider moving Washington from Strong D to Lean D, but they have no track record I know of for me to judge the value of their poll.
Based on the today's Rasmussen poll of Montana, I'm shifting Montana from Strong R to Lean R since it looks like Romney will not get a double digit margin there. It's still a very safe state for Romney, just not one that he will landslide.
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