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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-17 Version:66

Prediction Map
doniki80 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
doniki80 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem290
 
Rep248
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem243
 
Rep219
 
Ind0
 
Tos76
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-4-1-69252290-69
Rep+4+1+69000222179+69
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Obama/Biden v Romney/Ryan


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: timroman (D-AZ) 2012-08-17 @ 10:46:54 prediction Map
Incredibly accurate prediction.

 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-08-17 @ 13:03:27 prediction Map
I am very comfortable with this prediction as the final outcome...although there are variables in the end the road to the White House for Obama leads through Ohio and OClorado in my mind.

 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2012-08-19 @ 02:51:06 prediction Map
Glad to see you again doniki80. Remember me?

How is southern OH looking right now? I know you told us myself included in 2008 that is probably Obama's weakest region of the state. I agree with that.

I have to disagree with you on FL though, at least for now. Obama's doing much better than expected in FL right now and actually leads most polls there, especially after than Ryan pick. But FL can still go GOP as well. A 50/50 tossup.

The rest of the map I can see happening, though most will probably disagree with us on VA, but I happen to agree with you, again at least for now and again is 50/50 and can go either way.

Wait and see as always!


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 96 1 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 26 2 20T
P 2012 Rep Primary 16/52 6/52 22/104 21.2% pie 3 - 187T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 20/37 54/74 73.0% pie 73 1 151T
P 2010 Governor 36/37 19/37 55/74 74.3% pie 50 2 118T
P 2008 President 53/56 46/56 99/112 88.4% pie 80 1 26T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 16 4 117T
P 2008 Dem Primary 46/52 26/52 72/104 69.2% pie 10 - 7T
P 2008 Rep Primary 10/49 3/49 13/98 13.3% pie 1 - 195T
Aggregate Predictions 315/405 207/405 522/810 64.4% pie


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