Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Forum Wiki Search Email Login Site Info Store
PredictionsNewsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) ForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Advertisements

History Posters!
History of the Parties


Election and History Posters from History Shots!
Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed




 Date of Prediction: 2012-08-20 Version:45

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem294
 
Rep244
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep205
 
Ind0
 
Tos96
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-6-1-65232294-65
Rep+6+1+65000222179+65
Ind0000000000


Analysis

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by a double digit margin(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14)=179ev.
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin(NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20)=58ev(237ev)
Obama-D wins by a narrow margin(NH-4,NV-6,OH-18,and FL-29)=57ev(294ev)
Romney-R wins the McCain States plus IN-11 and NC-15=206ev.
Besides FL-29 and OH-18, The Tossup States are IA-6,CO-9,WI-10,and VA-13.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-08-20 @ 21:11:20 prediction Map
Obama-D's guide to victory is winning
NH-4,IA-6,NV-6,CO-9,and WI-10.
Obama-D is favored to win NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20=237ev.
Romney-R is favored to recieve the McCain States plus IN-11 and NC-15=206ev.
The Tossup races are FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13.
Obama-D will win either FL-29,OH-18,or VA-13.
FL-29 and NH-4=270ev.
OH-18,IA-6,NV-6,and NH-4=271ev
VA-13,CO-9,NV-6,and IA-6=271ev
WI-10,CO-9,NV-6,IA-6,and NH-4=272ev.
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-08-20 @ 21:53:03 prediction Map
2012 US Senate Races.(Seniority)
1)Hatch(R-UT)38R
2)Feinstein(D-CA)31D
3)Nelson(D-FL)32D
4)Carper(D-DE)33D
5)Stabenow(D-MI)34D
6)Cantwell(D-WA)35D
7)Menendez(D-NJ)36D
8)Cardin(D-MD)37D
9)Sanders(I-VT)38D
10)Brown(D-OH)39D
11)Casey(D-PA)40D
12)Corker(R-TN)39R
13)McCaskill(D-MO)41D
14)Klobuchar(D-MN)42D
15)Whitehouse(D-RI)43D
16)Barrasso(R-WY)40R
17)Wicker(R-MS)41R
18)Gillibrand(D-NY)44D
19)Manchin(D-WV)45D
20)Heller(R-NV)42R
21)Flake(R-AZ)43R
22)Rehberg(R-MT)44R
23)Donnelly(D-IN)46D
24)Murphy(D-CT)47D
25)Hirono(D-HI)48D
26)Heinrich(D-NM)49D
27)Berg(R-ND)45R
28)Thompson(R-WI)46R
29)King(I-ME)50D
30)Kaine(D-VA)51D
31)Cruz(R-TX)47R
32)Warren(D-MA)52D
33)Fischer(R-NE)48R
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-08-21 @ 06:06:42 prediction Map
IA-6,WI-10,and FL-29 are going to be recount states.
CO-9,VA-13,and NC-15 are 51-48 percent races favoring Romney-R.
NH-4,NV-6,and OH-18 are 51-48 percent races favoring Obama-D.
Romney-R carries MO-10,AZ-11,SC-9,GA-16,IN-11,and MT-3 by a margin greater than 5 percent.
Obama-D carries PA-20,MI-16,MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5 by a margin greater than 5 percent.
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-08-21 @ 06:28:49 prediction Map
Looking at the US Senate Races.
NE and TX- Republican Favored by a 15-20 percent margin.
AZ- Republican Favored by 10-15 percent margin.
MT,NV,and WI-Republican Favored by 5-10 percent margin.
ND,MO,and IN-Republican Favored by 0-5 percent margin.
MA,VA,and FL-Democratic Favored by 0-5 percent margin.
NM,OH,and NJ-Democratic Favored by 5-10 percent margin.
HI,CT,and MI- Democratic Favored by 10-15 percent margin.
WV,WA,and PA-Democratic Favored by 15-20 percent margin.
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-08-21 @ 06:56:17 prediction Map
Regarding the 2012 MO US Senate Race. If the Republicans in MO succeed in getting Akin to drop out and replace him with Matt Blunt. MO will have a father/son US Senate duo.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 52/56 43/56 95/112 84.8% pie 111 1 314T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 27 38 74T
Aggregate Predictions 83/89 64/89 147/178 82.6% pie



Back to 2012 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Ad: History Posters! - History of the Political Parties II


Election and History Posters from History Shots!
Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

© David Leip 2012 All Rights Reserved