Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2011-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Analysis
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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-05-23 @ 08:08:08
I always hate to change predictions once made, but I think I might give Maine's 1st District and Oregon to Obama. I had forgotten that Oregon has that fraud-friendly "vote by mail" system.

By: Americanadian (D-ON) 2012-05-23 @ 13:27:03
Are we back to 1988??? Okayyy then......

By: 33api (I-NAM) 2012-05-23 @ 14:52:02
is fraud a democratic speciality?

By: Gendral (I-OR) 2012-05-23 @ 18:23:42
Fraud-friendly? There has been seriously like two cases of actual fraud in the state, and those were people filling out ballots for spouses who had died after the ballots had already been sent out. I'm guessing you don't like Obama/liberals in general, but try not to spit all over the integrity of an entire state please.

By: FiveSenses82 (D-MO) 2012-05-25 @ 12:22:04
Nice, realistic, prediction.

By: BYUmormon (R-UT) 2012-05-26 @ 13:31:18
You should change four states and this will be a possible and maybe even plausible prediction. Wisconsin, Maine, Oregon, and Minnesota. If they are all Democrat then this could happen. You might also want to re-consider New Mexico, because there is lots of Latinos there.

By: Twindad46 (R-IL) 2012-06-03 @ 16:36:47
If Romney wins Minnesota, he'll also win Michigan. In fact, 0bama is more likely to win Minnesota than Michigan. Apart from that, it's a good map.

By: me (I-GA) 2012-06-03 @ 16:57:55
I have to agree with twindad, but if romney wins either, we are getting to 08 in reverse territory.

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-07-28 @ 15:03:36
Well, I got banned from the forum. No warning, no explanation.

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-07-28 @ 15:09:21
I do not understand why that happened? But I like your maps.

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-07-28 @ 20:46:14
Thanks, dnul222. I don't understand either, and there's no way to ask.

By: thornestorm (G-CA) 2012-11-10 @ 16:33:49
Was never going to happen, but deserves points for being one of the most unrealistic predictions. Last Edit: 2012-11-10 @ 16:38:23

By: FiveSenses82 (D-MO) 2012-11-13 @ 00:31:55
Whyte --you get banned because you say crazy things. Stop crying and grow up.

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-11-15 @ 10:58:15
I didn't say anything "crazy" in the forum -- just unpopular. The thing that really got me banned was when Obama said, "you didn't build that" and I claimed that was the first major gaffe of his campaign. For that "craziness" I was banned. But maybe it was the WAY I said it: I said that the reason Obama's handlers make him use a teleprompter is to stop him from saying the things he really believes. The hysterical Leftists in the forum really hated that, but what's their alternative theory -- that Obama's too dumb to be speaking without TOTUS? Last Edit: 2012-11-15 @ 10:58:42

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-11-15 @ 11:01:12
Oh, and as far as THIS map goes: I made it more than a year before the election, and MOST IMPORTANTLY, I made it when I thought Mitt Romney had zero chance of winning the nomination. I thought that the conservatives would eventually coalesce around ONE "conservative alternative" and that would be the end of Romney. However, I underestimated this year (though not as much as previous years) just how hard the MSM would work to bludgeon every "conservative alternative" and give Romney -- who I've ALWAYS said would be Obama's favorite opponent -- a red carpet to the GOP nomination.

By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-11-15 @ 11:13:05
One more thing: I did a disservice to Rasmussen by giving all the undecideds, by a margin of 2:1, to Romney. In fact, it was OBAMA who won the undecideds by at least that much. Rasmussen didn't have a prediction of a winner this year, and I'm to blame, not he, for the predictions I made using his polls. Nice job by the MSM in keeping strict radio silence on Benghazi and the other Obama fiascoes during the last week of the election while blanketing the air waves and news print publication with pictures of Obama wearing his "Air Force One" jacket for Tropical Storm Sandy photo-ops. If I know my former MSM colleagues, there were "Mission Accomplished!" banners -- at least figurative ones -- in most of their offices. Last Edit: 2012-11-15 @ 11:16:13

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