Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-27 Version:1

Prediction Map
DanielX Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
DanielX Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	383
Rep	155
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	285
Rep	150
Ind	0
Tos	103

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+3	0	+24	0	0	0	29	3	359	+24
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-24	19	2	155	-24
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
88	46	35	4	3

Analysis

This supposes that Rick Santorum wins the GOP nomination. If Romney or Gingrich wins, the GOP should at least win Arizona, Montana, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida. If Paul wins, the map would be completely different.

Member Comments

By: BYUmormon (R-UT) 2012-02-27 @ 14:50:36
You should do one with Romney as the Republican nominee.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	50/56	38/56	88/112	78.6%	1	253	534	T
2008 President	47/56	26/56	73/112	65.2%	1	437	791	T
2004 President	46/56	30/56	76/112	67.9%	41	3	1441	T
Aggregate Predictions	143/168	94/168	237/336	70.5%

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