Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-02 Version:5

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	0
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	33	11

Comments

Changed MO from tossup to lean Democrat based on recent polling. I know it's close, but it will go one way or the other and I think it will wind up D. Changed TN to strong Republican. Corker appears to be picking up steam and will win.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	55/56	34/56	89/112	79.5%	15	10	247	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	11/33	44/66	66.7%	5	5	299	T	465
2004 President	52/56	5/56	57/112	50.9%	63	3	1820	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	140/145	50/145	190/290	65.5%

Links

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