Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-02 Version:7

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	9
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	1
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	0	0	14	3	17	+6
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	23	27	50
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	1	0	1

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	32	19

Comments

Home stretch, and it's more and more certain that both House and Senate will switch control. Santorum and Dewine are toast, with Chafee following along behind (should have switched when he had the chance!) Burns is making up some slack, but he won't make it in time, and Allen has fallen behind, and could very well be remembered as the man who macaca'd the Republicans out of the majority. McCaskill vs. Talent will be the nailbiter of the night, but will likely ultimately go the way of the national wave. Ford might join them, but his youth might be working against him now.

p.s. I am the son of a Parkinson's sufferer, and I give my blessing to anyone willing to risk the consequences of grusomely assassinating Rush Limbaugh.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	28/37	14/37	42/74	56.8%	8	158	359	T	456
2010 Governor	28/37	13/37	41/74	55.4%	2	315	237	T	312
2008 President	53/56	38/56	91/112	81.3%	8	1	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%	10	1	81	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	3	32	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	24/52	10/52	34/104	32.7%	3	-	134	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	31/49	8/49	39/98	39.8%	4	-	100	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%	7	5	133	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	12/36	47/72	65.3%	10	21	175	T	312
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	12	25	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	325/400	172/400	497/800	62.1%

Links

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