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Dow Jones

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Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	20
Rep	13
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	18
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+3	+8	0	0	0	12	0	12	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-5	-3	-8	11	2	13	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 20 36 56 Republican 13 26 39 Independent 0 2 2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	33	18

Analysis

I will be looking for Alaska to firm up for Begich this week--hopefully we get some good polling, but I won't hold my breath. Looks like Minnesota is going down to the wire; I am still uncertain who will win the seat there. In my estimation, everything else is firming up rapidly. There is an outside chance of movement for the dems in GA, MS, and KY, but I'm not holding my breath.

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

5: 2008-10-28 @ 18:39:03 4: 2008-10-16 @ 02:25:53 3: 2008-09-05 @ 04:12:42 2: 2008-07-13 @ 03:52:18 1: 2007-11-09 @ 20:12:57 View Version

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