Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2010-08-23 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	19
Rep	17
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	13
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	-1	-2	-3	11	5	16	0
Rep	+1	+2	+3	-1	-3	-4	10	4	14	-1
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	38	57
Republican	17	23	40
Independent	1	2	3

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
38	29	9

Analysis

North Carolina is a sleeper here. The GOP's assault on government spending is going to cost them in states like KY, OH, and NC, where gov't spending is craved to rebuild the economy. The anti-Washington movement will cost the GOP in DE, OH, and maybe, MO where their candidates are established DC insiders (Castle, Portman, and Blount).

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	29/37	9/37	38/74	51.4%	1	71	408	T	456
2010 Governor	29/37	17/37	46/74	62.2%	1	71	204	T	312
2008 President	53/56	31/56	84/112	75.0%	2	21	382	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	38/52	0/52	38/104	36.5%	1	-	116	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	11/33	43/66	65.2%	3	77	328	T	465
2006 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	2	181	175	T	312
2004 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%	7	18	1441	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	260/307	112/307	372/614	60.6%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2010 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home