Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-16 Version:212

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-16 @ 10:33:30
Landslide Democratic Victory to Landslide Republican Victory.<br /> Solid Democratic<br /> CA (Harris-D)37<br /> HI (Schatz-D)38<br /> NY (Schumer-D)39<br /> VT (Leahy-D)40<br /> CT (Blumenthal-D)41<br /> MD (Van Hollen-D)42<br /> OR (Wyden-D)43<br /> WA (Murray-D)44<br /> Likely Democratic<br /> CO (Bennet-D)45<br /> Lean Democratic<br /> IL (Duckworth-D)46<br /> WI (Feingold-D)47<br /> Tossup Democratic<br /> IN (Bayh-D)48<br /> NV (Cortez Masto-D)49<br /> NH (Hassan-D)50<br /> Tossup Republican<br /> FL (Rubio-R)31<br /> PA (Toomey-R)32<br /> OH (Portman-R)33<br /> Lean Republican<br /> NC (Burr-R)34<br /> AZ (McCain-R)35<br /> MO (Blunt-R)36<br /> Likely Republican<br /> IA (Grassley-R)37<br /> GA (Isakson-R)38<br /> LA (Kennedy-R)39<br /> AK (Murkowski-R)40<br /> KY (Paul-R)41<br /> Solid Republican<br /> AR (Boozman-R)42<br /> SC (Scott-R)43<br /> KS (Moran-R)44<br /> AL (Shelby-R)45<br /> OK (Lankford-R)46<br /> ND (Hoeven-R)47<br /> SD (Thune-R)48<br /> UT (Lee-R)49<br /> ID (Crapo-R)50<br />

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-16 @ 10:59:54
Assuming Warren (D-MA) is Clinton VP runningmate and Clinton/Warren-D ticket wins and Democrats end up with a 50 US Senate Seats(Hold onto NV and Pick up IL,WI,IN,and NH). Democrats will be in majority control of the US Senate from Jan 1 2017(when the new Senators get sworn in) to Jan 20 2017 (when Warren-D gets sworn in as VP). Republicans get back in the majority in Jan 21 2017(when MA GOP Governor Baker fills the US Senate vacancy) Democrats get back in the majority in June 2017 (when Democrats win the MA US Senate Special Election).<br /> Similar situation is likely to occur if Booker (D-NJ) becomes VP. Chiesa(R-NJ) could be caretaker.<br />

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-16 @ 12:29:31
If Warren (D-MA) or Booker (D-NJ) is elected Vice President and Democrats pick up 4 US Senate Seats<br /> IL-Duckworth-D unseats Kirk-R<br /> IN-Bayh-D defeats Young-R to succeed Coats-R<br /> NH-Hassan-D unseats Ayotte-R<br /> WI-Feingold-D unseats Johnson-R<br /> Democrats keep NV (Cortez Masto-D defeats Heck-R to succeed Reid-D)<br /> Democrats regain control of the US Senate in Jan 3 2017(new US Senators get sworn in),lose control in Jan 20 2017(Warren-MA or Booker-NJ resign to become VP),regain control in in the end of June 2017 when Democrats win the MA US Senate Special Election or the NJ US Senate Special Election. <br /> Democrats could remain in the majority if Schumer (D-NY) and King (I-ME) convinces Collins (R-ME) to switch to the Independent/caucus with Democrats in Jan 2017. <br /> If Kaine (D-VA) is elected Vice President, Democrats need to win special election in Nov 2017<br /> If Brown (D-OH) is elected Vice President,Democrats lose control of the US Senate in Jan 20 2017 and will be unlikely to get it back. Republicans are favored to win Nov 2018 special election in OH plus Republicans could pick up seats in the US Senate in 2018.

User's Predictions